Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 5655 | NA | NA | -104.814 | NA |
2 | 5870 | NA | NA | -181.342 | NA |
3 | 6845 | NA | NA | 412.964 | NA |
4 | 6785 | NA | NA | 363.126 | NA |
5 | 7370 | NA | NA | 305.718 | NA |
6 | 7345 | NA | NA | 184.908 | NA |
7 | 6020 | 6405.33 | 6762.29 | -356.958 | -385.334 |
8 | 7105 | 6793.48 | 6834.38 | -40.8953 | 311.52 |
9 | 6940 | 6847.83 | 6904.79 | -56.9578 | 92.1661 |
10 | 7730 | 7403.73 | 6954.37 | 449.355 | 326.27 |
11 | 7065 | 6772.21 | 6966.67 | -194.458 | 292.791 |
12 | 5890 | 6181.44 | 6962.08 | -780.645 | -291.438 |
13 | 6710 | 6839.14 | 6943.96 | -104.814 | -129.144 |
14 | 6545 | 6713.45 | 6894.79 | -181.342 | -168.45 |
15 | 7860 | 7225.26 | 6812.29 | 412.964 | 634.745 |
16 | 6960 | 7083.33 | 6720.21 | 363.126 | -123.334 |
17 | 7490 | 6913.01 | 6607.29 | 305.718 | 576.99 |
18 | 7115 | 6665.95 | 6481.04 | 184.908 | 449.05 |
19 | 5815 | 6013.25 | 6370.21 | -356.958 | -198.251 |
20 | 6130 | 6230.56 | 6271.46 | -40.8953 | -100.563 |
21 | 5935 | 6080.75 | 6137.71 | -56.9578 | -145.751 |
22 | 6525 | 6444.15 | 5994.79 | 449.355 | 80.8536 |
23 | 5560 | 5622 | 5816.46 | -194.458 | -62.0006 |
24 | 4365 | 4803.94 | 5584.58 | -780.645 | -438.938 |
25 | 5575 | 5280.39 | 5385.21 | -104.814 | 294.606 |
26 | 5310 | 5039.7 | 5221.04 | -181.342 | 270.3 |
27 | 5885 | 5506.71 | 5093.75 | 412.964 | 378.286 |
28 | 5505 | 5370.42 | 5007.29 | 363.126 | 134.583 |
29 | 4665 | 5244.88 | 4939.17 | 305.718 | -579.885 |
30 | 4375 | 5097.62 | 4912.71 | 184.908 | -722.616 |
31 | 3770 | 4541.17 | 4898.12 | -356.958 | -771.167 |
32 | 4235 | 4826.81 | 4867.71 | -40.8953 | -591.813 |
33 | 4775 | 4784.5 | 4841.46 | -56.9578 | -9.50058 |
34 | 5610 | 5284.77 | 4835.42 | 449.355 | 325.229 |
35 | 4840 | 4684.92 | 4879.37 | -194.458 | 155.083 |
36 | 4450 | 4175.81 | 4956.46 | -780.645 | 274.187 |
37 | 5140 | 4939.35 | 5044.17 | -104.814 | 200.648 |
38 | 5015 | 4929.91 | 5111.25 | -181.342 | 85.092 |
39 | 5550 | 5543.38 | 5130.42 | 412.964 | 6.61979 |
40 | 5695 | 5462.29 | 5099.17 | 363.126 | 232.708 |
41 | 5530 | 5343.22 | 5037.5 | 305.718 | 186.782 |
42 | 5360 | 5146.37 | 4961.46 | 184.908 | 213.634 |
43 | 4890 | 4505.75 | 4862.71 | -356.958 | 384.249 |
44 | 4725 | 4718.27 | 4759.17 | -40.8953 | 6.72859 |
45 | 4745 | 4601.58 | 4658.54 | -56.9578 | 143.416 |
46 | 4890 | 4980.4 | 4531.04 | 449.355 | -90.3964 |
47 | 4080 | 4185.13 | 4379.58 | -194.458 | -105.126 |
48 | 3385 | 3458.52 | 4239.17 | -780.645 | -73.5214 |
49 | 3835 | 3994.56 | 4099.38 | -104.814 | -159.561 |
50 | 3835 | 3777.82 | 3959.17 | -181.342 | 57.1753 |
51 | 4315 | 4240.05 | 3827.08 | 412.964 | 74.9531 |
52 | 3870 | 4049.79 | 3686.67 | 363.126 | -179.792 |
53 | 3720 | 3870.72 | 3565 | 305.718 | -150.718 |
54 | 3800 | 3654.91 | 3470 | 184.908 | 145.092 |
55 | 3095 | 3033.25 | 3390.21 | -356.958 | 61.7494 |
56 | 3155 | 3289.73 | 3330.62 | -40.8953 | -134.73 |
57 | 3145 | 3228.88 | 3285.83 | -56.9578 | -83.8756 |
58 | 3120 | 3714.35 | 3265 | 449.355 | -594.355 |
59 | 2930 | 3080.96 | 3275.42 | -194.458 | -150.959 |
60 | 2255 | 2519.98 | 3300.62 | -780.645 | -264.98 |
61 | 3050 | 3227.69 | 3332.5 | -104.814 | -177.686 |
62 | 3190 | 3218.66 | 3400 | -181.342 | -28.658 |
63 | 3885 | 3904.01 | 3491.04 | 412.964 | -19.0052 |
64 | 3800 | 3951.46 | 3588.33 | 363.126 | -151.459 |
65 | 4040 | 3994.47 | 3688.75 | 305.718 | 45.5318 |
66 | 4085 | 3975.95 | 3791.04 | 184.908 | 109.05 |
67 | 3575 | 3550.75 | 3907.71 | -356.958 | 24.2494 |
68 | 4295 | 3981.81 | 4022.71 | -40.8953 | 313.187 |
69 | 4190 | 4053.04 | 4110 | -56.9578 | 136.958 |
70 | 4410 | 4629.35 | 4180 | 449.355 | -219.355 |
71 | 4050 | 4062.83 | 4257.29 | -194.458 | -12.8339 |
72 | 3590 | 3539.35 | 4320 | -780.645 | 50.6453 |
73 | 4515 | 4260.6 | 4365.42 | -104.814 | 254.398 |
74 | 4485 | 4218.03 | 4399.37 | -181.342 | 266.967 |
75 | 4685 | 4819.84 | 4406.87 | 412.964 | -134.839 |
76 | 4680 | 4779.79 | 4416.67 | 363.126 | -99.7922 |
77 | 5015 | 4730.93 | 4425.21 | 305.718 | 284.073 |
78 | 4615 | 4586.99 | 4402.08 | 184.908 | 28.0087 |
79 | 4135 | 3995.75 | 4352.71 | -356.958 | 139.249 |
80 | 4550 | 4238.69 | 4279.58 | -40.8953 | 311.312 |
81 | 4115 | 4151.58 | 4208.54 | -56.9578 | -36.5839 |
82 | 4720 | 4609.77 | 4160.42 | 449.355 | 110.229 |
83 | 3945 | 3906.58 | 4101.04 | -194.458 | 38.4161 |
84 | 3140 | 3244.98 | 4025.62 | -780.645 | -104.98 |
85 | 3780 | 3861.85 | 3966.67 | -104.814 | -81.8524 |
86 | 3465 | 3728.66 | 3910 | -181.342 | -263.658 |
87 | 4000 | 4261.71 | 3848.75 | 412.964 | -261.714 |
88 | 4210 | 4152.71 | 3789.58 | 363.126 | 57.2911 |
89 | 4060 | 4035.93 | 3730.21 | 305.718 | 24.0735 |
90 | 3760 | 3874.07 | 3689.17 | 184.908 | -114.075 |
91 | 3575 | 3302 | 3658.96 | -356.958 | 272.999 |
92 | 3750 | 3590.77 | 3631.67 | -40.8953 | 159.229 |
93 | 3445 | 3539.71 | 3596.67 | -56.9578 | -94.7089 |
94 | 3970 | 4011.85 | 3562.5 | 449.355 | -41.8547 |
95 | 3270 | 3344.29 | 3538.75 | -194.458 | -74.2922 |
96 | 2830 | 2730.6 | 3511.25 | -780.645 | 99.3953 |
97 | 3365 | 3383.31 | 3488.13 | -104.814 | -18.3108 |
98 | 3225 | 3277.41 | 3458.75 | -181.342 | -52.408 |
99 | 3400 | 3854.42 | 3441.46 | 412.964 | -454.422 |
100 | 3990 | 3804.38 | 3441.25 | 363.126 | 185.624 |
101 | 3710 | 3742.8 | 3437.08 | 305.718 | -32.8015 |
102 | 3450 | 3638.45 | 3453.54 | 184.908 | -188.45 |
103 | 3330 | 3110.96 | 3467.92 | -356.958 | 219.041 |
104 | 3290 | 3422.65 | 3463.54 | -40.8953 | -132.646 |
105 | 3490 | 3421.58 | 3478.54 | -56.9578 | 68.4161 |
106 | 3920 | 3939.35 | 3490 | 449.355 | -19.3547 |
107 | 3220 | 3285.96 | 3480.42 | -194.458 | -65.9589 |
108 | 3275 | 2712.27 | 3492.92 | -780.645 | 562.729 |
109 | 3265 | 3414.35 | 3519.17 | -104.814 | -149.352 |
110 | 3220 | 3352.62 | 3533.96 | -181.342 | -132.616 |
111 | 3765 | 3955.88 | 3542.92 | 412.964 | -190.88 |
112 | 3900 | 3922.08 | 3558.96 | 363.126 | -22.0839 |
113 | 3570 | 3890.3 | 3584.58 | 305.718 | -320.302 |
114 | 3890 | 3775.95 | 3591.04 | 184.908 | 114.05 |
115 | 3520 | 3229.29 | 3586.25 | -356.958 | 290.708 |
116 | 3455 | 3559.73 | 3600.62 | -40.8953 | -104.73 |
117 | 3540 | 3573.04 | 3630 | -56.9578 | -33.0422 |
118 | 4255 | 4094.77 | 3645.42 | 449.355 | 160.229 |
119 | 3500 | 3477.63 | 3672.08 | -194.458 | 22.3744 |
120 | 3150 | 2925.6 | 3706.25 | -780.645 | 224.395 |
121 | 3275 | NA | NA | -104.814 | NA |
122 | 3555 | NA | NA | -181.342 | NA |
123 | 4135 | NA | NA | 412.964 | NA |
124 | 3900 | NA | NA | 363.126 | NA |
125 | 4210 | NA | NA | 305.718 | NA |
126 | 4070 | NA | NA | 184.908 | NA |