| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1171 | 0 | 118 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 4393.9 | 4487.39329732721 | -118.174555704323 | 4418.58125837712 | 93.4932973272062 |
| 2 | 4248 | 4249.92291729459 | -175.069144086135 | 4421.14622679154 | 1.92291729458975 |
| 3 | 4346.2 | 4352.22249013733 | -83.5336853433006 | 4423.71119520597 | 6.02249013732762 |
| 4 | 4351.7 | 4310.27662025535 | -34.2201859210899 | 4427.34356566574 | -41.4233797446523 |
| 5 | 4424.4 | 4380.59075340983 | 37.2333104646575 | 4430.97593612551 | -43.8092465901691 |
| 6 | 4468.4 | 4449.05693969274 | 52.3003153308319 | 4435.44274497643 | -19.3430603072602 |
| 7 | 4519.1 | 4522.69308185186 | 75.5973643207904 | 4439.90955382735 | 3.59308185186455 |
| 8 | 4518.2 | 4487.24409177764 | 103.661268340134 | 4445.49463988223 | -30.9559082223604 |
| 9 | 4574.5 | 4599.55506332362 | 98.3652107392703 | 4451.07972593711 | 25.0550633236226 |
| 10 | 4509.6 | 4431.25469873705 | 125.240829539343 | 4462.70447172361 | -78.3453012629498 |
| 11 | 4337.9 | 4263.07883986011 | -61.6080573702223 | 4474.32921751011 | -74.8211601398871 |
| 12 | 4441.8 | 4414.71573534055 | -19.7926537342572 | 4488.6769183937 | -27.0842646594456 |
| 13 | 4414.1 | 4443.34993642703 | -118.174555704323 | 4503.0246192773 | 29.2499364270261 |
| 14 | 4465.9 | 4590.02237176096 | -175.069144086135 | 4516.84677232518 | 124.122371760956 |
| 15 | 4426 | 4404.86475997024 | -83.5336853433006 | 4530.66892537306 | -21.1352400297583 |
| 16 | 4518.8 | 4528.78325701408 | -34.2201859210899 | 4543.03692890701 | 9.98325701407521 |
| 17 | 4606.3 | 4619.96175709437 | 37.2333104646575 | 4555.40493244097 | 13.6617570943727 |
| 18 | 4647.4 | 4677.44589175144 | 52.3003153308319 | 4565.05379291773 | 30.0458917514379 |
| 19 | 4650.8 | 4651.29998228472 | 75.5973643207904 | 4574.70265339449 | 0.499982284719408 |
| 20 | 4650.2 | 4613.24709277331 | 103.661268340134 | 4583.49163888655 | -36.9529072266851 |
| 21 | 4720.1 | 4749.55416488212 | 98.3652107392703 | 4592.28062437861 | 29.4541648821187 |
| 22 | 4655 | 4583.36479308061 | 125.240829539343 | 4601.39437738005 | -71.6352069193936 |
| 23 | 4520.8 | 4492.69992698873 | -61.6080573702223 | 4610.50813038149 | -28.1000730112692 |
| 24 | 4617.3 | 4637.38819041566 | -19.7926537342572 | 4617.0044633186 | 20.0881904156568 |
| 25 | 4488.1 | 4470.87375944861 | -118.174555704323 | 4623.50079625571 | -17.2262405513857 |
| 26 | 4527.4 | 4600.30597772055 | -175.069144086135 | 4629.56316636558 | 72.9059777205539 |
| 27 | 4618.3 | 4684.50814886785 | -83.5336853433006 | 4635.62553647545 | 66.2081488678496 |
| 28 | 4642.8 | 4679.76026769607 | -34.2201859210899 | 4640.05991822502 | 36.9602676960667 |
| 29 | 4667.3 | 4652.87238956075 | 37.2333104646575 | 4644.4942999746 | -14.4276104392529 |
| 30 | 4640.6 | 4583.61048260958 | 52.3003153308319 | 4645.28920205959 | -56.9895173904179 |
| 31 | 4716.9 | 4712.11853153463 | 75.5973643207904 | 4646.08410414458 | -4.78146846536856 |
| 32 | 4719.4 | 4692.90642741265 | 103.661268340134 | 4642.23230424722 | -26.4935725873538 |
| 33 | 4817.3 | 4897.85428491087 | 98.3652107392703 | 4638.38050434986 | 80.554284910867 |
| 34 | 4764.5 | 4768.38344126015 | 125.240829539343 | 4635.3757292005 | 3.88344126015454 |
| 35 | 4514.1 | 4457.43710331908 | -61.6080573702223 | 4632.37095405114 | -56.6628966809194 |
| 36 | 4625 | 4637.37936582436 | -19.7926537342572 | 4632.41328790989 | 12.3793658243649 |
| 37 | 4617.7 | 4721.11893393568 | -118.174555704323 | 4632.45562176864 | 103.418933935679 |
| 38 | 4361.3 | 4262.43427685615 | -175.069144086135 | 4635.23486722999 | -98.8657231438519 |
| 39 | 4474.9 | 4395.31957265197 | -83.5336853433006 | 4638.01411269133 | -79.5804273480298 |
| 40 | 4623.8 | 4638.36928926016 | -34.2201859210899 | 4643.45089666093 | 14.5692892601564 |
| 41 | 4692 | 4697.8790089048 | 37.2333104646575 | 4648.88768063054 | 5.87900890480432 |
| 42 | 4672.1 | 4632.6868704892 | 52.3003153308319 | 4659.21281417997 | -39.4131295108027 |
| 43 | 4721.5 | 4697.86468794981 | 75.5973643207904 | 4669.5379477294 | -23.6353120501944 |
| 44 | 4784.6 | 4781.188682535 | 103.661268340134 | 4684.35004912486 | -3.4113174649965 |
| 45 | 4858.7 | 4919.87263874041 | 98.3652107392703 | 4699.16215052032 | 61.1726387404078 |
| 46 | 4813.3 | 4786.01780484933 | 125.240829539343 | 4715.34136561133 | -27.2821951506721 |
| 47 | 4628.2 | 4586.48747666788 | -61.6080573702223 | 4731.52058070234 | -41.7125233321158 |
| 48 | 4710.4 | 4696.05185902963 | -19.7926537342572 | 4744.54079470463 | -14.3481409703727 |
| 49 | 4698.4 | 4757.4135469974 | -118.174555704323 | 4757.56100870692 | 59.0135469974011 |
| 50 | 4631 | 4672.44366758363 | -175.069144086135 | 4764.62547650251 | 41.443667583625 |
| 51 | 4727.4 | 4766.6437410452 | -83.5336853433006 | 4771.6899442981 | 39.2437410452021 |
| 52 | 4719.9 | 4697.90795125633 | -34.2201859210899 | 4776.11223466476 | -21.9920487436657 |
| 53 | 4890.6 | 4963.43216450393 | 37.2333104646575 | 4780.53452503141 | 72.8321645039305 |
| 54 | 4839.9 | 4842.84674432451 | 52.3003153308319 | 4784.65294034466 | 2.94674432450665 |
| 55 | 4867.5 | 4870.6312800213 | 75.5973643207904 | 4788.77135565791 | 3.13128002129906 |
| 56 | 4898.3 | 4899.66311739559 | 103.661268340134 | 4793.27561426427 | 1.36311739559278 |
| 57 | 4675.7 | 4455.25491639009 | 98.3652107392703 | 4797.77987287064 | -220.445083609908 |
| 58 | 4981.9 | 5031.70105291503 | 125.240829539343 | 4806.85811754563 | 49.801052915026 |
| 59 | 4771.1 | 4787.8716951496 | -61.6080573702223 | 4815.93636222063 | 16.7716951495968 |
| 60 | 4827.8 | 4844.97642748589 | -19.7926537342572 | 4830.41622624837 | 17.1764274858915 |
| 61 | 4685 | 4643.27846542822 | -118.174555704323 | 4844.89609027611 | -41.7215345717841 |
| 62 | 4646.1 | 4603.95235906073 | -175.069144086135 | 4863.3167850254 | -42.1476409392681 |
| 63 | 4815 | 4831.7962055686 | -83.5336853433006 | 4881.7374797747 | 16.7962055686012 |
| 64 | 4911.8 | 4957.15664689657 | -34.2201859210899 | 4900.66353902452 | 45.3566468965673 |
| 65 | 4958.4 | 4959.97709126099 | 37.2333104646575 | 4919.58959827435 | 1.57709126099508 |
| 66 | 5019.4 | 5051.5169620762 | 52.3003153308319 | 4934.98272259297 | 32.1169620761966 |
| 67 | 5024.3 | 5022.62678876761 | 75.5973643207904 | 4950.37584691159 | -1.67321123238526 |
| 68 | 5035.8 | 5003.76674657404 | 103.661268340134 | 4964.17198508583 | -32.0332534259614 |
| 69 | 5082.4 | 5088.46666600067 | 98.3652107392703 | 4977.96812326006 | 6.06666600066728 |
| 70 | 5179.2 | 5243.30676135667 | 125.240829539343 | 4989.85240910399 | 64.106761356672 |
| 71 | 4963.2 | 4986.27136242231 | -61.6080573702223 | 5001.73669494791 | 23.0713624223126 |
| 72 | 4951.3 | 4908.41267959451 | -19.7926537342572 | 5013.97997413975 | -42.8873204054889 |
| 73 | 4876.4 | 4844.75130237274 | -118.174555704323 | 5026.22325333158 | -31.6486976272608 |
| 74 | 4812.1 | 4758.0052087974 | -175.069144086135 | 5041.26393528874 | -54.0947912026049 |
| 75 | 5004.1 | 5035.4290680974 | -83.5336853433006 | 5056.3046172459 | 31.3290680974042 |
| 76 | 5093.8 | 5146.61371061239 | -34.2201859210899 | 5075.2064753087 | 52.8137106123868 |
| 77 | 5063.1 | 4994.85835616383 | 37.2333104646575 | 5094.10833337151 | -68.2416438361679 |
| 78 | 5078.6 | 4990.1094630743 | 52.3003153308319 | 5114.79022159487 | -88.4905369257003 |
| 79 | 5251.5 | 5291.93052586098 | 75.5973643207904 | 5135.47210981823 | 40.4305258609829 |
| 80 | 5263.2 | 5268.53793596279 | 103.661268340134 | 5154.20079569708 | 5.3379359627852 |
| 81 | 5280.5 | 5289.70530768479 | 98.3652107392703 | 5172.92948157594 | 9.20530768479421 |
| 82 | 5386.1 | 5460.23151018796 | 125.240829539343 | 5186.7276602727 | 74.1315101879618 |
| 83 | 5227.3 | 5315.68221840077 | -61.6080573702223 | 5200.52583896946 | 88.3822184007668 |
| 84 | 5149.5 | 5107.59519533792 | -19.7926537342572 | 5211.19745839634 | -41.9048046620828 |
| 85 | 5128.6 | 5153.5054778811 | -118.174555704323 | 5221.86907782322 | 24.9054778810996 |
| 86 | 5087.7 | 5121.82316286222 | -175.069144086135 | 5228.64598122391 | 34.1231628622209 |
| 87 | 5188.5 | 5225.1108007187 | -83.5336853433006 | 5235.4228846246 | 36.6108007186967 |
| 88 | 5084 | 4961.44961500785 | -34.2201859210899 | 5240.77057091324 | -122.550384992151 |
| 89 | 5258.6 | 5233.84843233347 | 37.2333104646575 | 5246.11825720188 | -24.7515676665353 |
| 90 | 5348.9 | 5393.85659652608 | 52.3003153308319 | 5251.64308814309 | 44.9565965260763 |
| 91 | 5280 | 5227.2347165949 | 75.5973643207904 | 5257.16791908431 | -52.7652834050959 |
| 92 | 5374.2 | 5381.63613794656 | 103.661268340134 | 5263.10259371331 | 7.43613794655539 |
| 93 | 5458.4 | 5549.39752091841 | 98.3652107392703 | 5269.03726834232 | 90.9975209184122 |
| 94 | 5315 | 5229.02894937491 | 125.240829539343 | 5275.73022108575 | -85.9710506250894 |
| 95 | 5294.5 | 5368.18488354105 | -61.6080573702223 | 5282.42317382918 | 73.6848835410465 |
| 96 | 5341.4 | 5414.26190706213 | -19.7926537342572 | 5288.33074667212 | 72.8619070621326 |
| 97 | 5068 | 4959.93623618925 | -118.174555704323 | 5294.23831951507 | -108.06376381075 |
| 98 | 5156.9 | 5188.19430265715 | -175.069144086135 | 5300.67484142898 | 31.2943026571538 |
| 99 | 5184.7 | 5145.82232200041 | -83.5336853433006 | 5307.11136334289 | -38.8776779995869 |
| 100 | 5280.7 | 5280.85104236007 | -34.2201859210899 | 5314.76914356102 | 0.15104236006664 |
| 101 | 5339 | 5318.33976575618 | 37.2333104646575 | 5322.42692377916 | -20.6602342438173 |
| 102 | 5377.7 | 5374.67297177824 | 52.3003153308319 | 5328.42671289092 | -3.02702822175524 |
| 103 | 5388.6 | 5367.17613367652 | 75.5973643207904 | 5334.42650200269 | -21.4238663234764 |
| 104 | 5443.6 | 5445.19624274688 | 103.661268340134 | 5338.34248891299 | 1.59624274687576 |
| 105 | 5528.7 | 5616.77631343743 | 98.3652107392703 | 5342.2584758233 | 88.0763134374347 |
| 106 | 5539 | 5605.11552864287 | 125.240829539343 | 5347.64364181779 | 66.1155286428693 |
| 107 | 5292 | 5292.57924955794 | -61.6080573702223 | 5353.02880781228 | 0.579249557940784 |
| 108 | 5351.5 | 5362.58296987743 | -19.7926537342572 | 5360.20968385683 | 11.0829698774269 |
| 109 | 5163.7 | 5078.18399580294 | -118.174555704323 | 5367.39055990138 | -85.5160041970566 |
| 110 | 5105 | 5016.59302604678 | -175.069144086135 | 5368.47611803935 | -88.406973953216 |
| 111 | 5248.1 | 5210.17200916598 | -83.5336853433006 | 5369.56167617732 | -37.9279908340204 |
| 112 | 5370.9 | 5406.67361156257 | -34.2201859210899 | 5369.34657435852 | 35.773611562573 |
| 113 | 5484.9 | 5563.43521699563 | 37.2333104646575 | 5369.13147253971 | 78.5352169956304 |
| 114 | 5510.7 | 5599.56256265293 | 52.3003153308319 | 5369.53712201624 | 88.862562652931 |
| 115 | 5484.9 | 5524.25986418645 | 75.5973643207904 | 5369.94277149276 | 39.3598641864464 |
| 116 | 5567.8 | 5661.312990009 | 103.661268340134 | 5370.62574165087 | 93.5129900089951 |
| 117 | 5275.6 | 5081.52607745175 | 98.3652107392703 | 5371.30871180898 | -194.07392254825 |
