Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 511 | 0 | 52 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 5520 | 5856.64445455632 | 565.922974387792 | 4617.43257105589 | 336.644454556323 |
2 | 3880 | 3712.9489651549 | -579.426121276943 | 4626.47715612205 | -167.051034845103 |
3 | 4840 | 4965.25315338932 | 79.2251054224691 | 4635.52174118821 | 125.253153389323 |
4 | 4360 | 4278.11254885654 | -201.796375609857 | 4643.68382675331 | -81.8874511434578 |
5 | 3800 | 3330.25769856253 | -382.103610880948 | 4651.84591231842 | -469.742301437474 |
6 | 4560 | 4461.21105129129 | 2.39863488527854 | 4656.39031382343 | -98.7889487087114 |
7 | 4560 | 4277.16381259331 | 181.901472078244 | 4660.93471532844 | -282.836187406688 |
8 | 5120 | 5549.10770256493 | 26.8838654054882 | 4664.00843202958 | 429.107702564933 |
9 | 4320 | 4351.05135113788 | -378.133499868598 | 4667.08214873071 | 31.0513511378849 |
10 | 5380 | 5902.79879408363 | 175.52332068759 | 4681.67788522878 | 522.798794083626 |
11 | 4860 | 5214.5462128895 | -190.819834616354 | 4696.27362172685 | 354.546212889501 |
12 | 4560 | 3704.3665448462 | 700.424145318344 | 4715.20930983545 | -855.633455153798 |
13 | 5820 | 6339.93202766815 | 565.922974387792 | 4734.14499794405 | 519.932027668154 |
14 | 4260 | 4359.62636742553 | -579.426121276943 | 4739.79975385141 | 99.6263674255342 |
15 | 3720 | 2615.32038481877 | 79.2251054224691 | 4745.45450975876 | -1104.67961518123 |
16 | 4500 | 4460.88403872633 | -201.796375609857 | 4740.91233688352 | -39.1159612736674 |
17 | 5200 | 6045.73344687266 | -382.103610880948 | 4736.37016400829 | 845.733446872662 |
18 | 4300 | 3859.21174551751 | 2.39863488527854 | 4738.38961959721 | -440.788254482492 |
19 | 5460 | 5997.68945273561 | 181.901472078244 | 4740.40907518614 | 537.689452735613 |
20 | 4800 | 4830.09725917245 | 26.8838654054882 | 4743.01887542206 | 30.0972591724503 |
21 | 4500 | 4632.50482421062 | -378.133499868598 | 4745.62867565798 | 132.504824210619 |
22 | 4640 | 4369.601444958 | 175.52332068759 | 4734.87523435441 | -270.398555042001 |
23 | 4600 | 4666.69804156551 | -190.819834616354 | 4724.12179305084 | 66.6980415655125 |
24 | 5400 | 5405.34667449574 | 700.424145318344 | 4694.22918018591 | 5.34667449574226 |
25 | 5220 | 5209.74045829122 | 565.922974387792 | 4664.33656732099 | -10.2595417087778 |
26 | 3700 | 3336.83666647416 | -579.426121276943 | 4642.58945480278 | -363.16333352584 |
27 | 5180 | 5659.93255229295 | 79.2251054224691 | 4620.84234228458 | 479.932552292952 |
28 | 4360 | 4312.74259575484 | -201.796375609857 | 4609.05377985501 | -47.2574042451552 |
29 | 3920 | 3624.8383934555 | -382.103610880948 | 4597.26521742545 | -295.161606544498 |
30 | 4760 | 4929.61588697433 | 2.39863488527854 | 4587.98547814039 | 169.615886974333 |
31 | 4600 | 4439.39278906642 | 181.901472078244 | 4578.70573885533 | -160.607210933576 |
32 | 4580 | 4555.40570140232 | 26.8838654054882 | 4577.71043319219 | -24.594298597679 |
33 | 4300 | 4401.41837233955 | -378.133499868598 | 4576.71512752905 | 101.418372339549 |
34 | 4920 | 5079.90776627856 | 175.52332068759 | 4584.56891303385 | 159.90776627856 |
35 | 3940 | 3478.3971360777 | -190.819834616354 | 4592.42269853865 | -461.602863922296 |
36 | 5640 | 5978.71371756343 | 700.424145318344 | 4600.86213711822 | 338.713717563432 |
37 | 4800 | 4424.77544991441 | 565.922974387792 | 4609.3015756978 | -375.224550085592 |
38 | 4120 | 4220.32859844157 | -579.426121276943 | 4599.09752283537 | 100.328598441573 |
39 | 4940 | 5211.88142460459 | 79.2251054224691 | 4588.89346997294 | 271.881424604592 |
40 | 4540 | 4705.0016605919 | -201.796375609857 | 4576.79471501796 | 165.001660591898 |
41 | 4100 | 4017.40765081797 | -382.103610880948 | 4564.69596006298 | -82.5923491820313 |
42 | 4940 | 5307.87415813691 | 2.39863488527854 | 4569.72720697781 | 367.87415813691 |
43 | 4660 | 4563.34007402911 | 181.901472078244 | 4574.75845389264 | -96.6599259708892 |
44 | 4180 | 3740.88932907875 | 26.8838654054882 | 4592.22680551577 | -439.110670921254 |
45 | 3960 | 3688.43834272971 | -378.133499868598 | 4609.69515713889 | -271.561657270288 |
46 | 4380 | 3958.26665956097 | 175.52332068759 | 4626.21001975144 | -421.733340439035 |
47 | 4480 | 4508.09495225235 | -190.819834616354 | 4642.724882364 | 28.0949522523524 |
48 | 5860 | 6357.53789542504 | 700.424145318344 | 4662.03795925661 | 497.537895425045 |
49 | 4760 | 4272.72598946299 | 565.922974387792 | 4681.35103614922 | -487.274010537015 |
50 | 4440 | 4753.99923740832 | -579.426121276943 | 4705.42688386862 | 313.999237408323 |
51 | 5020 | 5231.27216298951 | 79.2251054224691 | 4729.50273158802 | 211.272162989515 |