Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1081 | 0 | 109 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 7440 | 8730.00974295638 | -352.464651565221 | 6502.45490860884 | 1290.00974295638 |
2 | 3640 | 2245.08507619879 | -1517.75269038551 | 6552.66761418671 | -1394.91492380121 |
3 | 4940 | 4162.38201679769 | -885.262336562272 | 6602.88031976458 | -777.617983202308 |
4 | 5060 | 5095.41209875666 | -1604.4429489636 | 6629.03085020693 | 35.4120987566639 |
5 | 3300 | 1932.88474743927 | -1988.06612808856 | 6655.18138064928 | -1367.11525256073 |
6 | 7140 | 7272.25002598061 | 354.885949040452 | 6652.86402497893 | 132.250025980615 |
7 | 6060 | 5822.72612758111 | -353.272796889688 | 6650.54666930858 | -237.273872418895 |
8 | 9560 | 11706.3876032688 | 772.272229408834 | 6641.34016732237 | 2146.3876032688 |
9 | 10140 | 11841.161258628 | 1806.70507603584 | 6632.13366533615 | 1701.16125862801 |
10 | 9760 | 10773.9649227632 | 2151.50751432302 | 6594.52756291383 | 1013.96492276316 |
11 | 9360 | 9975.65897882715 | 2187.41956068135 | 6556.9214604915 | 615.658978827152 |
12 | 6600 | 7367.52091001201 | -571.529762657828 | 6404.00885264582 | 767.52091001201 |
13 | 4280 | 2661.36840676508 | -352.464651565221 | 6251.09624480014 | -1618.63159323492 |
14 | 3980 | 3405.88273470018 | -1517.75269038551 | 6071.86995568533 | -574.117265299825 |
15 | 3500 | 1992.61866999175 | -885.262336562272 | 5892.64366657052 | -1507.38133000825 |
16 | 2840 | 1438.04503557453 | -1604.4429489636 | 5846.39791338906 | -1401.95496442547 |
17 | 5360 | 6907.91396788095 | -1988.06612808856 | 5800.15216020761 | 1547.91396788095 |
18 | 6240 | 6228.90293998463 | 354.885949040452 | 5896.21111097492 | -11.0970600153687 |
19 | 3200 | 761.002735147459 | -353.272796889688 | 5992.27006174223 | -2438.99726485254 |
20 | 6480 | 6116.23845008195 | 772.272229408834 | 6071.48932050922 | -363.761549918053 |
21 | 9180 | 10402.586344688 | 1806.70507603584 | 6150.70857927621 | 1222.58634468795 |
22 | 8320 | 8368.04379467665 | 2151.50751432302 | 6120.44869100033 | 48.0437946766542 |
23 | 11920 | 15562.3916365942 | 2187.41956068135 | 6090.18880272445 | 3642.3916365942 |
24 | 6120 | 6815.50805431231 | -571.529762657828 | 5996.02170834552 | 695.508054312309 |
25 | 5420 | 5290.61003759863 | -352.464651565221 | 5901.85461396659 | -129.389962401369 |
26 | 4880 | 5491.56097538918 | -1517.75269038551 | 5786.19171499632 | 611.560975389184 |
27 | 3380 | 1974.73352053622 | -885.262336562272 | 5670.52881602605 | -1405.26647946378 |
28 | 2240 | 570.716625615197 | -1604.4429489636 | 5513.7263233484 | -1669.2833743848 |
29 | 2740 | 2111.14229741781 | -1988.06612808856 | 5356.92383067074 | -628.857702582187 |
30 | 5640 | 5654.11896508158 | 354.885949040452 | 5270.99508587797 | 14.1189650815759 |
31 | 4360 | 3888.20645580449 | -353.272796889688 | 5185.0663410852 | -471.793544195511 |
32 | 4720 | 3453.42996674025 | 772.272229408834 | 5214.29780385091 | -1266.57003325975 |
33 | 9520 | 11989.7656573475 | 1806.70507603584 | 5243.52926661663 | 2469.76565734754 |
34 | 6820 | 6171.6752874504 | 2151.50751432302 | 5316.81719822658 | -648.324712549596 |
35 | 7060 | 6542.47530948212 | 2187.41956068135 | 5390.10512983653 | -517.524690517882 |
36 | 6140 | 7442.44274207228 | -571.529762657828 | 5409.08702058555 | 1302.44274207228 |
37 | 5460 | 5844.39574023066 | -352.464651565221 | 5428.06891133456 | 384.395740230658 |
38 | 2700 | 1485.64196130595 | -1517.75269038551 | 5432.11072907955 | -1214.35803869405 |
39 | 4800 | 5049.10978973773 | -885.262336562272 | 5436.15254682454 | 249.109789737732 |
40 | 5380 | 6902.1730846181 | -1604.4429489636 | 5462.2698643455 | 1522.1730846181 |
41 | 3220 | 2939.6789462221 | -1988.06612808856 | 5488.38718186645 | -280.321053777897 |
42 | 2940 | -13.0871876547635 | 354.885949040452 | 5538.20123861431 | -2953.08718765476 |
43 | 5460 | 5685.25750152752 | -353.272796889688 | 5588.01529536217 | 225.25750152752 |
44 | 7500 | 8581.3169977051 | 772.272229408834 | 5646.41077288606 | 1081.3169977051 |
45 | 6200 | 4888.48867355421 | 1806.70507603584 | 5704.80625040996 | -1311.51132644579 |
46 | 9800 | 11688.1949970725 | 2151.50751432302 | 5760.29748860446 | 1888.19499707253 |
47 | 8040 | 8076.7917125197 | 2187.41956068135 | 5815.78872679895 | 36.7917125196982 |
48 | 4680 | 4065.283243162 | -571.529762657828 | 5866.24651949583 | -614.716756838002 |
49 | 7100 | 8635.76033937251 | -352.464651565221 | 5916.70431219271 | 1535.76033937251 |
50 | 2880 | 1357.06573567951 | -1517.75269038551 | 5920.68695470599 | -1522.93426432049 |
51 | 7120 | 9200.592739343 | -885.262336562272 | 5924.66959721928 | 2080.592739343 |
52 | 2560 | 894.370911373767 | -1604.4429489636 | 5830.07203758983 | -1665.62908862623 |
53 | 4380 | 5012.59165012818 | -1988.06612808856 | 5735.47447796038 | 632.591650128175 |
54 | 5640 | 5336.51689616528 | 354.885949040452 | 5588.59715479427 | -303.483103834723 |
55 | 5060 | 5031.55296526153 | -353.272796889688 | 5441.71983162816 | -28.4470347384713 |
56 | 7500 | 8881.16020735334 | 772.272229408834 | 5346.56756323782 | 1381.16020735334 |
57 | 8300 | 9541.87962911667 | 1806.70507603584 | 5251.41529484749 | 1241.87962911667 |
58 | 6580 | 5782.13158927153 | 2151.50751432302 | 5226.36089640546 | -797.868410728473 |
59 | 4520 | 1651.27394135523 | 2187.41956068135 | 5201.30649796342 | -2868.72605864477 |
60 | 4440 | 4244.60927921796 | -571.529762657828 | 5206.92048343987 | -195.390720782041 |
61 | 3440 | 2019.9301826489 | -352.464651565221 | 5212.53446891632 | -1420.0698173511 |
62 | 5200 | 6680.69966396051 | -1517.75269038551 | 5237.05302642499 | 1480.69966396051 |
63 | 4180 | 3983.69075262861 | -885.262336562272 | 5261.57158393366 | -196.309247371391 |
64 | 4980 | 6187.3981139819 | -1604.4429489636 | 5377.0448349817 | 1207.3981139819 |
65 | 2460 | 1415.54804205882 | -1988.06612808856 | 5492.51808602974 | -1044.45195794118 |
66 | 7400 | 8854.34243976613 | 354.885949040452 | 5590.77161119342 | 1454.34243976613 |
67 | 4600 | 3864.24766053258 | -353.272796889688 | 5689.02513635711 | -735.75233946742 |
68 | 7820 | 9153.62370263849 | 772.272229408834 | 5714.10406795267 | 1333.62370263849 |
69 | 4580 | 1614.11192441592 | 1806.70507603584 | 5739.18299954824 | -2965.88807558408 |
70 | 9460 | 11055.1956756202 | 2151.50751432302 | 5713.29681005682 | 1595.19567562016 |
71 | 11060 | 14245.1698187532 | 2187.41956068135 | 5687.41062056541 | 3185.16981875324 |
72 | 1620 | -1812.68767799054 | -571.529762657828 | 5624.21744064836 | -3432.68767799054 |
73 | 5260 | 5311.4403908339 | -352.464651565221 | 5561.02426073132 | 51.4403908338982 |
74 | 4900 | 5913.69669063922 | -1517.75269038551 | 5404.05599974628 | 1013.69669063922 |
75 | 6220 | 8078.17459780103 | -885.262336562272 | 5247.08773876125 | 1858.17459780103 |
76 | 2320 | 1265.82926788021 | -1604.4429489636 | 4978.61368108338 | -1054.17073211979 |
77 | 2780 | 2837.92650468304 | -1988.06612808856 | 4710.13962340552 | 57.9265046830378 |
78 | 6560 | 8348.73833230587 | 354.885949040452 | 4416.37571865367 | 1788.73833230587 |
79 | 4460 | 5150.66098298786 | -353.272796889688 | 4122.61181390183 | 690.660982987858 |
80 | 2880 | 1084.07416232248 | 772.272229408834 | 3903.65360826868 | -1795.92583767752 |
81 | 5640 | 5788.59952132863 | 1806.70507603584 | 3684.69540263553 | 148.599521328629 |
82 | 5280 | 4871.05893641606 | 2151.50751432302 | 3537.43354926092 | -408.941063583938 |
83 | 2740 | -97.5912565676558 | 2187.41956068135 | 3390.17169588631 | -2837.59125656766 |
84 | 1600 | 460.546737610754 | -571.529762657828 | 3310.98302504707 | -1139.45326238925 |
85 | 3260 | 3640.67029735738 | -352.464651565221 | 3231.79435420784 | 380.670297357381 |
86 | 2900 | 4126.66070479183 | -1517.75269038551 | 3191.09198559368 | 1226.66070479183 |
87 | 2800 | 3334.87271958275 | -885.262336562272 | 3150.38961697952 | 534.872719582752 |
88 | 2380 | 3249.44886169046 | -1604.4429489636 | 3114.99408727313 | 869.448861690462 |
89 | 1720 | 2348.46757052181 | -1988.06612808856 | 3079.59855756675 | 628.467570521811 |
90 | 2680 | 1966.81066345802 | 354.885949040452 | 3038.30338750153 | -713.189336541978 |
91 | 4640 | 6636.26457945338 | -353.272796889688 | 2997.0082174363 | 1996.26457945338 |
92 | 2620 | 1540.90846241497 | 772.272229408834 | 2926.8193081762 | -1079.09153758503 |
93 | 3640 | 2616.66452504807 | 1806.70507603584 | 2856.63039891609 | -1023.33547495193 |
94 | 3220 | 1446.05038425134 | 2151.50751432302 | 2842.44210142564 | -1773.94961574866 |
95 | 3980 | 2944.32663538346 | 2187.41956068135 | 2828.2538039352 | -1035.67336461654 |
96 | 3940 | 5568.20500561737 | -571.529762657828 | 2883.32475704046 | 1628.20500561737 |
97 | 2000 | 1414.0689414195 | -352.464651565221 | 2938.39571014572 | -585.931058580502 |
98 | 1740 | 1998.18738432348 | -1517.75269038551 | 2999.56530606203 | 258.187384323476 |
99 | 1220 | 264.527434583937 | -885.262336562272 | 3060.73490197834 | -955.472565416063 |
100 | 3540 | 5613.98329153156 | -1604.4429489636 | 3070.45965743203 | 2073.98329153156 |
101 | 1500 | 1907.88171520283 | -1988.06612808856 | 3080.18441288573 | 407.881715202828 |
102 | 4080 | 4683.37285369058 | 354.885949040452 | 3121.74119726897 | 603.372853690579 |
103 | 3880 | 4949.97481523748 | -353.272796889688 | 3163.29798165221 | 1069.97481523748 |
104 | 2640 | 1313.59829523179 | 772.272229408834 | 3194.12947535937 | -1326.40170476821 |
105 | 3700 | 2368.33395489763 | 1806.70507603584 | 3224.96096906654 | -1331.66604510237 |
106 | 4620 | 3849.5506872836 | 2151.50751432302 | 3238.94179839338 | -770.449312716395 |
107 | 5360 | 5279.65781159843 | 2187.41956068135 | 3252.92262772022 | -80.3421884015679 |
108 | 3800 | 4911.41018155766 | -571.529762657828 | 3260.11958110017 | 1111.41018155766 |