Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[38])
34	9983.40000000001	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	9913.40000000001	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	10031.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	10184.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	10125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	10065.4	10052.0102	9996.3644	10107.9658	0.3195	0.0053	1	0.0053
40	10188.6	10170.1816	10109.3473	10231.382	0.2776	0.9996	1	0.926
41	10350.4	10329.2443	10265.6667	10393.2157	0.2584	1	1	1
42	10320.6	10268.0289	10190.7124	10345.932	0.093	0.0191	0.9998	0.9998
43	10232.6	10192.6478	10073.4774	10313.228	0.258	0.0188	0.9807	0.8642
44	10357.2	10314.2186	10184.4342	10445.6568	0.2608	0.8882	0.9695	0.9976
45	10520.2	10475.432	10332.6999	10620.1357	0.2721	0.9454	0.9548	1
46	10473.8	10412.4707	10248.7809	10578.7748	0.2349	0.1021	0.8605	0.9996
47	10407	10336.8072	10133.6765	10544.0098	0.2534	0.0975	0.8379	0.9774
48	10536	10460.1685	10237.6759	10687.4964	0.2566	0.6767	0.8127	0.9981
49	10700.2	10623.1548	10379.0953	10872.9531	0.2727	0.753	0.7904	1
50	10664.2	10559.6437	10291.0859	10835.2098	0.2285	0.1587	0.7293	0.999
51	10606	10483.0128	10172.9653	10802.5097	0.2253	0.1332	0.6795	0.986
52	10716.6	10607.845	10271.2117	10955.5113	0.2699	0.5041	0.6573	0.9968
53	10882.8	10773.2693	10408.3904	11150.9396	0.2849	0.6157	0.6477	0.9996
54	10849.4	10708.946	10315.8737	11116.9957	0.2499	0.2018	0.5851	0.9975
55	10794	10631.0909	10194.9041	11085.9399	0.2413	0.1734	0.543	0.9854
56	10907.8	10757.7344	10289.0382	11247.781	0.2742	0.4423	0.5653	0.9943

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
39	0.0028	0.0013	0.0013	0.0013	179.2867	0	0	0.1363	0.1363
40	0.0031	0.0018	0.0016	0.0016	339.2376	259.2621	16.1016	0.1874	0.1619
41	0.0032	0.002	0.0017	0.0017	447.5627	322.029	17.9452	0.2153	0.1797
42	0.0039	0.0051	0.0026	0.0026	2763.7157	932.4507	30.5361	0.535	0.2685
43	0.006	0.0039	0.0028	0.0028	1596.1778	1065.1961	32.6373	0.4066	0.2961
44	0.0065	0.0041	0.0031	0.0031	1847.4039	1195.5641	34.5769	0.4374	0.3197
45	0.007	0.0043	0.0032	0.0032	2004.1722	1311.0795	36.2088	0.4556	0.3391
46	0.0081	0.0059	0.0036	0.0036	3761.2859	1617.3553	40.2164	0.6242	0.3747
47	0.0102	0.0067	0.0039	0.0039	4927.0259	1985.0965	44.5544	0.7144	0.4125
48	0.0111	0.0072	0.0042	0.0042	5750.4208	2361.6289	48.5966	0.7718	0.4484
49	0.012	0.0072	0.0045	0.0045	5935.9681	2686.5689	51.8321	0.7841	0.4789
50	0.0133	0.0098	0.0049	0.005	10932.0193	3373.6897	58.0835	1.0641	0.5277
51	0.0155	0.0116	0.0055	0.0055	15125.8609	4277.7029	65.4042	1.2517	0.5834
52	0.0167	0.0101	0.0058	0.0058	11827.648	4816.9847	69.4045	1.1068	0.6208
53	0.0179	0.0101	0.0061	0.0061	11996.9645	5295.65	72.7712	1.1147	0.6537
54	0.0194	0.0129	0.0065	0.0065	19727.3295	6197.63	78.725	1.4294	0.7022
55	0.0218	0.0151	0.007	0.007	26539.3657	7394.2027	85.9895	1.658	0.7584
56	0.0232	0.0138	0.0074	0.0074	22519.6876	8234.5074	90.7442	1.5272	0.8011