| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.161 | -1 | -0.161 |
| (p-val) | (0.5532 ) | (0 ) | (0.5532 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -1 | -0.3054 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (5e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4.75832909072958 |
| 134.6587740092 |
| -615.773644194969 |
| -483.033202541846 |
| -67.93161592484 |
| -525.160778418854 |
| 444.296733240452 |
| 39.6558763498648 |
| 276.851826567033 |
| -218.045780566326 |
| 215.000917229773 |
| 36.3271733900261 |
| -548.470139426675 |
| -364.896805477158 |
| -126.617045575808 |
| -69.6287750050313 |
| -711.302079018898 |
| 519.357520341286 |
| 1021.70914715976 |
| -298.848491911844 |
| -175.181346330679 |
| 117.900622641323 |
| -275.960728525431 |
| 622.307760817353 |
| 298.776084235276 |
| 398.875134836226 |
| -2405.18453692254 |
| -424.089164718397 |
| -1042.21081191241 |
| 924.503646226783 |
| 376.870210864577 |
| -394.031744037275 |
| 306.578085981477 |
| -97.6846803235013 |
| 581.955146605603 |
| 866.954784136351 |
| 404.661935484322 |
| 518.477090287519 |
| 324.917734815198 |
| -143.941252243015 |
| -508.031302852836 |
| 70.0349870446304 |
| 104.242435456666 |
| -350.52114397338 |
| 498.183385332278 |
| -236.897278443034 |
| -52.9275308609247 |
| 760.330939313298 |
| -161.143788511424 |
| 87.2038557547195 |
| -356.697248562783 |
| -1004.11538846806 |
| -381.002667925873 |
| 120.234358821136 |
| -96.0577214503674 |
| 67.9034763171829 |
| 72.0695100736794 |
| -301.712072191557 |
| 270.839131595023 |
| 150.090651809323 |
| 20.2754025067787 |
| 415.251205907952 |
| -261.811427228809 |
| 238.448557427607 |
| 66.5519633866639 |
| 287.667491186962 |
| -375.526563143535 |
| 259.191427399248 |
| 166.483441844922 |
| -471.457756657934 |
| 95.0864776518042 |
| 329.332702085077 |
| 148.645567647417 |
| 827.77948095102 |
| -71.0678797494747 |
| -312.927667191761 |
| 151.063735903793 |
| -128.372153689773 |
| 542.427761158543 |
| -113.853657155985 |
| 47.4934046269247 |
| -285.896418781224 |
| -17.7860610207737 |
| 178.38380182342 |
| -165.569002776 |
| 283.449792050497 |
| -4.49067315829303 |
| 41.943365408027 |
| 256.279609839787 |
| -204.611638952291 |
| 460.926148159984 |
| -256.424433776513 |
| -35.6610815189759 |
| -195.332619286929 |
| -335.87565908051 |
| 764.772115325354 |
| -56.6291827090935 |
| 2.96674144897308 |
| -214.51452078835 |
| 262.830664770769 |
| -92.7766318647216 |
| 559.019890428735 |
| 670.055355976325 |
| -740.482707709642 |
| 260.878573042256 |
| -327.920818077736 |
| -325.6869526929 |
| 530.304283955356 |
| 149.047170910622 |
| 52.5072468344607 |
| -363.685387907565 |
| -744.804123254112 |
| -92.6900941723818 |
| 1512.82157211976 |
| -159.597791047062 |
| -666.111021648647 |
| 106.187312085709 |
| -1005.16353926864 |
| -519.606225309515 |
| 913.044374334154 |
| 122.011370689704 |
| -30.9750777441788 |
| -276.158701140365 |
| -49.8048229774664 |
| 102.548699575185 |
