| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0702 | -0.1355 | -0.1095 | -0.6964 |
| (p-val) | (0.6178 ) | (0.2119 ) | (0.3179 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.1568 | -0.1365 | -0.6501 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1211 ) | (0.1468 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.1433 | 0 | -0.6882 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1621 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3546 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.66993799152037 |
| 88.6864590948936 |
| -77.1774260364736 |
| -46.5307936437066 |
| 369.001801570518 |
| -79.6448784839128 |
| 6.70005925782055 |
| -34.0777936688173 |
| -145.603623415872 |
| 58.2071792247138 |
| 121.696844486588 |
| 232.896015070231 |
| -94.3140867608679 |
| 129.848148970616 |
| -78.3478176082914 |
| 27.2941471089502 |
| 80.7680053455247 |
| -61.9841374361508 |
| -77.1788258324763 |
| -87.3930204475 |
| -46.8248222057289 |
| 146.422169741115 |
| 55.7615415350954 |
| 446.774326776856 |
| -78.2736439149752 |
| 21.0105068588159 |
| -65.3453669778059 |
| -45.4949117055892 |
| 117.395910670449 |
| 33.063497326411 |
| 174.851657635806 |
| -29.3595279306856 |
| -7.25488852267357 |
| 117.322625092969 |
| 335.200538869182 |
| 868.269442405562 |
| -292.695618959857 |
| -73.2591245873583 |
| -106.136749113411 |
| 225.43067770087 |
| 164.472935242966 |
| -9.507238908622 |
| 133.410676692972 |
| 23.7514312375623 |
| -39.0597074932756 |
| 43.8870369628484 |
| 386.781303651899 |
| 1132.17586125832 |
| -167.227496400732 |
| -80.7465062037463 |
| -250.84074125134 |
| 3.89199722098783 |
| 50.3938470921416 |
| -188.707231728701 |
| -145.457719649094 |
| -196.24669622393 |
| 322.056537878211 |
| 61.7622746030133 |
| -25.5154722308148 |
| 213.403354622959 |
| -212.826712233813 |
| -226.114724501221 |
| -59.13089804727 |
| -19.8994900375551 |
| -115.251768668983 |
| 160.065278661029 |
| -6.66514643515848 |
| 160.015031622847 |
| -100.248818864588 |
| -82.9256018373239 |
| 294.038730114623 |
| 272.545092281546 |
| -164.563560019506 |
| 18.5613270136982 |
| -192.466759760707 |
| -94.4195915212217 |
| 219.294738124004 |
| -169.37926999453 |
| -102.341128067423 |
| -121.682883882957 |
| -15.2350216010359 |
| -60.9097859915037 |
| 83.028203627106 |
| 414.772934593504 |
| 60.037101347119 |
| 107.457797092349 |
| -138.62839846706 |
| -149.196281172975 |
| 54.7433006792721 |
| -151.321058582821 |
| -137.340002802308 |
| -124.098768743009 |
| 86.9797081430202 |
| 50.4369394516393 |
| -54.3014760783244 |
| 848.114578352871 |
| -352.869394664439 |
| -87.4628634997594 |
| -193.222729193716 |
| -197.420803190728 |
| 35.5505048074037 |
| -47.7925181150276 |
| -88.2179404871504 |
| -7.50028090157548 |
| -32.8565050218558 |
| 66.6177968565858 |
| 371.33810465245 |
| 463.123776877269 |
| -57.9361384214299 |
| 22.190012216789 |
| 40.5909379675227 |
| 144.901784383092 |
| 116.292167702085 |
| -54.7215530268772 |
| 102.368832324015 |
| 27.3523889344297 |
