| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3821 | 0.0152 | 0.3423 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.875 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3873 | 0 | 0.3476 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -6.27617489490905 |
| 0.801618307964213 |
| -21.4081113749008 |
| 10.9933639346123 |
| -20.8317208895228 |
| 10.488308505283 |
| -32.1119761771978 |
| -9.81719001416412 |
| 14.9551990037741 |
| -26.007645078765 |
| -7.07062624310888 |
| 5.77154629813148 |
| -6.75043154253643 |
| 7.9901063467357 |
| -7.79552911366606 |
| -6.32829350543356 |
| 7.58150135902173 |
| -27.3437181993903 |
| -22.8072940785909 |
| 11.5421884288542 |
| -26.8287337005004 |
| 28.7964237767401 |
| 12.8272034341357 |
| 12.9757509612766 |
| 32.4878052899034 |
| -20.1932343738316 |
| -4.78968618549728 |
| 1.5852801346389 |
| 43.5763528785816 |
| 3.33009756608356 |
| 20.9485024992844 |
| 5.35645573938652 |
| -24.500228814031 |
| -2.49351966893142 |
| 16.6566899109011 |
| -42.4133858565764 |
| 10.5316792484521 |
| 33.2078021866008 |
| 24.2535092121934 |
| 52.507855828232 |
| 5.65735313798205 |
| 17.2203700887105 |
| 8.54544869380799 |
| -7.84416122572502 |
| 0.841791920901672 |
| 39.0547106757727 |
| 92.7887142992009 |
| -54.5700271576628 |
| -70.537639318358 |
| -52.50139987829 |
| 57.0896234927106 |
| -22.9670249962396 |
| -73.5019938552087 |
| -32.2237517360037 |
| 7.7819906236374 |
| 10.5631436486815 |
| 65.9709158389797 |
| -87.230742286381 |
| -44.1065289960613 |
| 47.9776001716333 |
| -23.1498866249762 |
| 33.1771680133958 |
| 20.3979257153238 |
| -9.27171991471137 |
| 27.6948772759851 |
| -20.6938535501056 |
| -34.3168975763216 |
| -36.040780146128 |
| -16.0390183108921 |
| -8.92374417158775 |
| 3.44948534472223 |
| -31.2534784071077 |
| -26.6718247805812 |
| -22.7012282332236 |
| -30.2283004569989 |
| -43.3513529452269 |
| -0.816287583985273 |
| 61.276947548537 |
| -6.78052282764475 |
| 15.4720492897525 |
| 16.567242410414 |
| -22.0775219157082 |
| 37.9806750398606 |
| -40.0752063630732 |
| 9.77000680060089 |
| -7.11186834513992 |
| 15.0691628615773 |
| -50.7171184626741 |
| 38.9503790083812 |
| -43.6507183305287 |
| 49.4064919912548 |
| 5.36052324715215 |
| -50.7551828097274 |
| -1.70798282481315 |
| 2.50739498393477 |
| -7.60901806013743 |
| 40.3161184783288 |
| 22.7981197431509 |
| -21.455097662561 |
| 30.0351088170921 |
| 33.6614692261137 |
| -24.576980222522 |
| 9.83372477195196 |
| -29.9674995646607 |
| 32.2698111300982 |
| 53.7626086975008 |
| 20.0598921349746 |
| 64.2687258506861 |
| 61.4255491140549 |
| -0.789740457363577 |
| -40.9963078163021 |
| -1.63176494477935 |
| -62.6664048217547 |
| 54.3931362060815 |
| 39.8065650974165 |
