| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2093 | -0.3938 | -0.1383 | -1 | -0.266 |
| (p-val) | (0.6774 ) | (0.1408 ) | (0.6088 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.5948 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.3342 | -0.2135 | -1 | -0.0629 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0273 ) | (0.1486 ) | (0 ) | (0.7026 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.3292 | -0.2065 | -1 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0297 ) | (0.1611 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.3313 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0339 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4.93721275509088 |
| -153.324167752682 |
| 385.287885036815 |
| 92.6504249487018 |
| -2.7768570690882 |
| 274.14810415172 |
| -372.750685330144 |
| 360.0303803982 |
| -107.75443985866 |
| -32.0035926240079 |
| -285.506749433904 |
| 248.800967473107 |
| -123.382890369075 |
| -89.2256861351043 |
| 334.831160673694 |
| 4.04115308585888 |
| 173.620630384736 |
| 341.721683418905 |
| 336.493722460892 |
| 48.9741852217967 |
| 494.647418385295 |
| 267.882468190967 |
| -201.195519298901 |
| 24.7546462377849 |
| 321.91856355362 |
| 393.11533747199 |
| -34.6118023387212 |
| -789.128055334711 |
| 265.776997127716 |
| 255.304536070115 |
| 139.958037811521 |
| 374.750894741363 |
| -489.99534162196 |
| 51.5865042510164 |
| -758.387754438348 |
| -136.46080237973 |
| 386.288383300641 |
| -184.290651042781 |
| 118.725258800694 |
| 156.700658444123 |
