Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[31])
302397-------
312666-------
3223651668.3563340.64872996.06390.15190.07040.07040.0704
3328701970.78361.2893880.27710.1780.34290.34290.2377
3427832423.4016-45.28964892.09290.38760.36150.36150.4236
3526642587.3765-309.67235484.42540.47930.44740.44740.4788
3619791663.69-1679.91585007.29580.42670.27880.27880.2784


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
320.4060.29460.29460.3454485312.4621001.99611.9961
330.49430.31330.30390.3585808591.1464646951.8043804.33312.57662.2863
340.51970.12920.24570.285129310.974474404.8608688.77051.03041.8677
350.57130.02880.19150.22115871.1538357271.4341597.72190.21961.4556
361.02540.15930.1850.211599420.4118305701.2296552.90250.90351.3452