Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
V2[t] = + 11455.1 -53.4529V1[t] -2396.37V3[t] + 462.269V4[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | +1.146e+04 | 57.32 | +1.9980e+02 | 3.128e-85 | 1.564e-85 |
V1 | -53.45 | 3.18 | -1.6810e+01 | 3.62e-24 | 1.81e-24 |
V3 | -2396 | 126.2 | -1.8990e+01 | 8.261e-27 | 4.131e-27 |
V4 | +462.3 | 89.75 | +5.1500e+00 | 3.144e-06 | 1.572e-06 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.9966 |
R-squared | 0.9931 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.9928 |
F-TEST (value) | 2851 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 3 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 59 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 180.2 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 1.915e+06 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 1.128e+04 | 1.14e+04 | -116.7 |
2 | 1.122e+04 | 1.135e+04 | -130.2 |
3 | 1.12e+04 | 1.129e+04 | -99.74 |
4 | 1.114e+04 | 1.124e+04 | -96.29 |
5 | 1.115e+04 | 1.119e+04 | -34.84 |
6 | 1.123e+04 | 1.113e+04 | 95.61 |
7 | 1.113e+04 | 1.108e+04 | 52.07 |
8 | 1.122e+04 | 1.103e+04 | 189.5 |
9 | 1.115e+04 | 1.097e+04 | 174 |
10 | 1.11e+04 | 1.092e+04 | 174.4 |
11 | 1.102e+04 | 1.087e+04 | 155.9 |
12 | 1.101e+04 | 1.081e+04 | 192.3 |
13 | 1.092e+04 | 1.076e+04 | 160.8 |
14 | 1.085e+04 | 1.071e+04 | 139.2 |
15 | 1.077e+04 | 1.065e+04 | 117.7 |
16 | 1.081e+04 | 1.06e+04 | 212.1 |
17 | 1.071e+04 | 1.055e+04 | 167.6 |
18 | 1.059e+04 | 1.049e+04 | 98.05 |
19 | 1.044e+04 | 1.044e+04 | 3.502 |
20 | 1.036e+04 | 1.039e+04 | -26.04 |
21 | 1.026e+04 | 1.033e+04 | -77.59 |
22 | 1.016e+04 | 1.028e+04 | -114.1 |
23 | 1.011e+04 | 1.023e+04 | -117.7 |
24 | 9999 | 1.017e+04 | -173.2 |
25 | 1.005e+04 | 1.012e+04 | -67.78 |
26 | 9794 | 1.007e+04 | -271.3 |
27 | 9696 | 1.001e+04 | -315.9 |
28 | 9667 | 9958 | -291.4 |
29 | 1.042e+04 | 1.037e+04 | 54.76 |
30 | 1.059e+04 | 1.031e+04 | 279.2 |
31 | 1.034e+04 | 1.026e+04 | 84.67 |
32 | 1.03e+04 | 1.021e+04 | 98.12 |
33 | 1.027e+04 | 1.015e+04 | 112.6 |
34 | 1.009e+04 | 1.01e+04 | -11.97 |
35 | 1.008e+04 | 1.005e+04 | 28.48 |
36 | 1.007e+04 | 9993 | 80.93 |
37 | 1.004e+04 | 9940 | 97.39 |
38 | 9062 | 9886 | -824.2 |
39 | 6608 | 6974 | -366.1 |
40 | 6604 | 6921 | -316.6 |
41 | 6798 | 6867 | -69.17 |
42 | 6720 | 6814 | -93.72 |
43 | 6729 | 6760 | -31.26 |
44 | 6695 | 6707 | -11.81 |
45 | 6564 | 6653 | -89.36 |
46 | 6536 | 6600 | -63.9 |
47 | 6491 | 6546 | -55.45 |
48 | 6452 | 6493 | -41 |
49 | 6391 | 6440 | -48.55 |
50 | 6348 | 6386 | -38.09 |
51 | 6331 | 6333 | -1.64 |
52 | 6414 | 6279 | 134.8 |
53 | 6299 | 6226 | 73.27 |
54 | 6299 | 6172 | 126.7 |
55 | 6268 | 6119 | 149.2 |
56 | 6135 | 6065 | 69.62 |
57 | 6107 | 6012 | 95.08 |
58 | 5992 | 5958 | 33.53 |
59 | 5952 | 5905 | 46.98 |
60 | 5914 | 5852 | 62.44 |
61 | 5902 | 5798 | 103.9 |
62 | 5886 | 5745 | 141.3 |
63 | 5881 | 5691 | 189.8 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
7 | 0.03696 | 0.07391 | 0.963 |
8 | 0.01932 | 0.03864 | 0.9807 |
9 | 0.005354 | 0.01071 | 0.9946 |
10 | 0.001808 | 0.003616 | 0.9982 |
11 | 0.001212 | 0.002424 | 0.9988 |
12 | 0.0005494 | 0.001099 | 0.9995 |
13 | 0.0005732 | 0.001146 | 0.9994 |
14 | 0.0008266 | 0.001653 | 0.9992 |
15 | 0.001308 | 0.002617 | 0.9987 |
16 | 0.0007746 | 0.001549 | 0.9992 |
17 | 0.0007699 | 0.00154 | 0.9992 |
18 | 0.001844 | 0.003688 | 0.9982 |
19 | 0.009134 | 0.01827 | 0.9909 |
20 | 0.02346 | 0.04693 | 0.9765 |
21 | 0.04939 | 0.09877 | 0.9506 |
22 | 0.07996 | 0.1599 | 0.92 |
23 | 0.09681 | 0.1936 | 0.9032 |
24 | 0.1188 | 0.2375 | 0.8812 |
25 | 0.1074 | 0.2148 | 0.8926 |
26 | 0.1467 | 0.2934 | 0.8533 |
27 | 0.1818 | 0.3637 | 0.8182 |
28 | 0.1764 | 0.3528 | 0.8236 |
29 | 0.136 | 0.2721 | 0.864 |
30 | 0.1941 | 0.3883 | 0.8059 |
31 | 0.1705 | 0.341 | 0.8295 |
32 | 0.1555 | 0.3109 | 0.8445 |
33 | 0.1573 | 0.3146 | 0.8427 |
34 | 0.142 | 0.2841 | 0.858 |
35 | 0.1436 | 0.2872 | 0.8564 |
36 | 0.2508 | 0.5017 | 0.7492 |
37 | 0.9965 | 0.007047 | 0.003524 |
38 | 1 | 5.83e-05 | 2.915e-05 |
39 | 1 | 7.162e-06 | 3.581e-06 |
40 | 1 | 1.655e-07 | 8.275e-08 |
41 | 1 | 4.202e-07 | 2.101e-07 |
42 | 1 | 1.322e-06 | 6.609e-07 |
43 | 1 | 3.238e-06 | 1.619e-06 |
44 | 1 | 6.334e-06 | 3.167e-06 |
45 | 1 | 1.917e-05 | 9.586e-06 |
46 | 1 | 5.908e-05 | 2.954e-05 |
47 | 0.9999 | 0.0001662 | 8.312e-05 |
48 | 0.9998 | 0.0004392 | 0.0002196 |
49 | 0.9996 | 0.0008053 | 0.0004027 |
50 | 0.9995 | 0.001019 | 0.0005094 |
51 | 0.9993 | 0.001374 | 0.0006868 |
52 | 0.9986 | 0.002877 | 0.001439 |
53 | 0.9953 | 0.009349 | 0.004675 |
54 | 0.9895 | 0.02109 | 0.01055 |
55 | 0.992 | 0.01596 | 0.00798 |
56 | 0.9751 | 0.04977 | 0.02488 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 26 | 0.52 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 33 | 0.66 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 35 | 0.7 | NOK |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of fitted values |
> reset_test_fitted RESET test data: mylm RESET = 20.033, df1 = 2, df2 = 57, p-value = 2.577e-07 |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of regressors |
> reset_test_regressors RESET test data: mylm RESET = 4.8032, df1 = 6, df2 = 53, p-value = 0.0005588 |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of principal components |
> reset_test_principal_components RESET test data: mylm RESET = 15.504, df1 = 2, df2 = 57, p-value = 4.202e-06 |
Variance Inflation Factors (Multicollinearity) |
> vif V1 V3 V4 6.490731 7.401105 2.087972 |