| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.975053546703438 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 4380 | 4304 | 76 |
| 3 | 4465 | 4378.10406954946 | 86.8959304505388 |
| 4 | 4528 | 4462.83225472935 | 65.1677452706463 |
| 5 | 4557.5 | 4526.37429588616 | 31.125704113836 |
| 6 | 4557.5 | 4556.723524076 | 0.776475923998987 |
| 7 | 4588.5 | 4557.48062967963 | 31.019370320374 |
| 8 | 4627.5 | 4587.72617672701 | 39.7738232729862 |
| 9 | 4711 | 4626.50778417529 | 84.4922158247055 |
| 10 | 4776.5 | 4708.89221888401 | 67.6077811159939 |
| 11 | 4781.5 | 4774.81342564591 | 6.68657435409386 |
| 12 | 4603 | 4781.33319368516 | -178.333193685162 |
| 13 | 4770.5 | 4607.44878068749 | 163.051219312507 |
| 14 | 4792 | 4766.43245037247 | 25.5675496275271 |
| 15 | 4803.5 | 4791.36218031731 | 12.1378196826909 |
| 16 | 4747.5 | 4803.19720444816 | -55.6972044481645 |
| 17 | 4838 | 4748.88944770952 | 89.1105522904845 |
| 18 | 4854 | 4835.77700776905 | 18.2229922309452 |
| 19 | 4902.5 | 4853.54540097539 | 48.9545990246124 |
| 20 | 4953.5 | 4901.27875638178 | 52.221243618219 |
| 21 | 4969.5 | 4952.19726518499 | 17.3027348150108 |
| 22 | 4971 | 4969.06835813403 | 1.9316418659655 |
| 23 | 4998.5 | 4970.95181238641 | 27.5481876135946 |
| 24 | 5080 | 4997.81277042429 | 82.1872295757075 |
| 25 | 5111 | 5077.94972011582 | 33.0502798841844 |
| 26 | 5110.5 | 5110.17551273643 | 0.324487263569608 |
| 27 | 5096 | 5110.49190519363 | -14.491905193634 |
| 28 | 4939.5 | 5096.36152163609 | -156.86152163609 |
| 29 | 5108 | 4943.41313862352 | 164.586861376478 |
| 30 | 5137.5 | 5103.89414154944 | 33.6058584505563 |
| 31 | 5185.5 | 5136.66165302167 | 48.8383469783275 |
| 32 | 5103 | 5184.28165645802 | -81.2816564580235 |
| 33 | 5168 | 5105.0276890467 | 62.9723109533024 |
| 34 | 5208 | 5166.42906418583 | 41.570935814173 |
| 35 | 5250.5 | 5206.96295259122 | 43.5370474087831 |
| 36 | 5204.5 | 5249.41390508015 | -44.9139050801459 |
| 37 | 5293.5 | 5205.62044263545 | 87.8795573645521 |
| 38 | 5339.5 | 5291.30771672648 | 48.1922832735172 |
| 39 | 5484 | 5338.29777345606 | 145.702226543937 |
| 40 | 5533 | 5480.36524621032 | 52.6347537896836 |
| 41 | 5513 | 5531.68694957281 | -18.6869495728097 |
| 42 | 5595.5 | 5513.46617311477 | 82.0338268852274 |
| 43 | 5605 | 5593.45354696887 | 11.5464530311301 |
| 44 | 5919.5 | 5604.71195694872 | 314.788043051282 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 45 | 5911.6471547857 | 5755.61043133645 | 6067.68387823496 |
| 46 | 5911.6471547857 | 5693.7129796913 | 6129.58132988011 |
| 47 | 5911.6471547857 | 5645.85936296039 | 6177.43494661102 |
| 48 | 5911.6471547857 | 5605.39399824251 | 6217.9003113289 |
| 49 | 5911.6471547857 | 5569.68393819367 | 6253.61037137774 |
| 50 | 5911.6471547857 | 5537.36559350961 | 6285.9287160618 |
| 51 | 5911.6471547857 | 5507.62421890141 | 6315.67009067 |
| 52 | 5911.6471547857 | 5479.92690007224 | 6343.36740949917 |
| 53 | 5911.6471547857 | 5453.90243997279 | 6369.39186959862 |
| 54 | 5911.6471547857 | 5429.2800025578 | 6394.01430701361 |
| 55 | 5911.6471547857 | 5405.85479110496 | 6417.43951846645 |
| 56 | 5911.6471547857 | 5383.46748765807 | 6439.82682191333 |
| 57 | 5911.6471547857 | 5361.99125663091 | 6461.3030529405 |
| 58 | 5911.6471547857 | 5341.32316617428 | 6481.97114339713 |
| 59 | 5911.6471547857 | 5321.37831976649 | 6501.91598980492 |
| 60 | 5911.6471547857 | 5302.08571965037 | 6521.20858992104 |
| 61 | 5911.6471547857 | 5283.38527561943 | 6539.90903395198 |
| 62 | 5911.6471547857 | 5265.22559386525 | 6558.06871570616 |
