Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 631 | 0 | 64 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 15283 | 15473.7150996789 | 86.423627250559 | 15005.8612730706 | 190.715099678855 |
2 | 14698 | 14488.5687564629 | 14.3169998038003 | 14893.1142437333 | -209.431243537072 |
3 | 14664 | 14527.4225022438 | 20.2102833602833 | 14780.367214396 | -136.57749775624 |
4 | 14660 | 14669.2591030845 | -15.8577369719508 | 14666.5986338874 | 9.25910308451421 |
5 | 14605 | 14625.4684152658 | 31.7015313552953 | 14552.8300533789 | 20.4684152657865 |
6 | 14480 | 14512.3674837494 | 8.56851494480699 | 14439.0640013058 | 32.3674837493782 |
7 | 14412 | 14529.2665885098 | -30.5645377425421 | 14325.2979492327 | 117.266588509832 |
8 | 14454 | 14696.2542462411 | -2.61197343372966 | 14214.3577271926 | 242.254246241084 |
9 | 13915 | 13795.0417458687 | -68.4592510212337 | 14103.4175051526 | -119.958254131348 |
10 | 13858 | 13784.9419775342 | -65.5112916751962 | 13996.569314141 | -73.0580224658061 |
11 | 13768 | 13671.2421578923 | -24.9632810217322 | 13889.7211231294 | -96.7578421076923 |
12 | 13738 | 13644.2938349575 | 46.7471836992331 | 13784.9589813433 | -93.7061650425367 |
13 | 13647 | 13527.3795331923 | 86.423627250559 | 13680.1968395572 | -119.620466807741 |
14 | 13591 | 13582.5345670726 | 14.3169998038003 | 13585.1484331236 | -8.46543292737442 |
15 | 13589 | 13667.6896899498 | 20.2102833602833 | 13490.10002669 | 78.6896899497515 |
16 | 13294 | 13194.2218295914 | -15.8577369719508 | 13409.6359073805 | -99.7781704085592 |
17 | 13418 | 13475.1266805736 | 31.7015313552953 | 13329.1717880711 | 57.1266805736486 |
18 | 13251 | 13243.9283300687 | 8.56851494480699 | 13249.5031549864 | -7.07166993125429 |
19 | 13156 | 13172.7300158407 | -30.5645377425421 | 13169.8345219018 | 16.7300158407033 |
20 | 13045 | 13013.344883485 | -2.61197343372966 | 13079.2670899487 | -31.6551165149522 |
21 | 12980 | 13039.7595930257 | -68.4592510212337 | 12988.6996579955 | 59.7595930257085 |
22 | 12910 | 12992.0555761281 | -65.5112916751962 | 12893.4557155471 | 82.0555761280575 |
23 | 12851 | 12928.751507923 | -24.9632810217322 | 12798.2117730988 | 77.7515079229779 |
24 | 12907 | 13065.3712926258 | 46.7471836992331 | 12701.881523675 | 158.371292625783 |
25 | 12586 | 12480.0250984982 | 86.423627250559 | 12605.5512742512 | -105.974901501771 |
26 | 12384 | 12248.8507706176 | 14.3169998038003 | 12504.8322295786 | -135.149229382407 |
27 | 12297 | 12169.6765317337 | 20.2102833602833 | 12404.113184906 | -127.323468266282 |
28 | 12312 | 12342.6371345619 | -15.8577369719508 | 12297.22060241 | 30.6371345619245 |
29 | 12301 | 12379.9704487306 | 31.7015313552953 | 12190.3280199141 | 78.9704487306499 |
30 | 12218 | 12350.2764332303 | 8.56851494480699 | 12077.1550518249 | 132.276433230258 |
31 | 11897 | 11860.5824540067 | -30.5645377425421 | 11963.9820837358 | -36.417545993274 |
32 | 11877 | 11916.1892784668 | -2.61197343372966 | 11840.4226949669 | 39.1892784668107 |
33 | 11802 | 11955.5959448232 | -68.4592510212337 | 11716.863306198 | 153.595944823212 |
34 | 11582 | 11652.0039911078 | -65.5112916751962 | 11577.5073005674 | 70.0039911077547 |
35 | 11493 | 11572.8119860849 | -24.9632810217322 | 11438.1512949369 | 79.8119860848692 |
36 | 11390 | 11443.2503484297 | 46.7471836992331 | 11290.002467871 | 53.2503484297267 |
37 | 11162 | 11095.7227319442 | 86.423627250559 | 11141.8536408052 | -66.2772680557737 |
38 | 10962 | 10911.3754194792 | 14.3169998038003 | 10998.307580717 | -50.6245805207927 |
39 | 10805 | 10735.0281960109 | 20.2102833602833 | 10854.7615206288 | -69.971803989054 |
40 | 10602 | 10493.1541488618 | -15.8577369719508 | 10726.7035881102 | -108.845851138214 |
41 | 10552 | 10473.6528130531 | 31.7015313552953 | 10598.6456555916 | -78.347186946854 |
42 | 10373 | 10244.3963248937 | 8.56851494480699 | 10493.0351601615 | -128.603675106337 |
43 | 10279 | 10201.139873011 | -30.5645377425421 | 10387.4246647315 | -77.860126988955 |
44 | 10131 | 9964.75215729456 | -2.61197343372966 | 10299.8598161392 | -166.247842705439 |
45 | 10164 | 10184.1642834744 | -68.4592510212337 | 10212.2949675468 | 20.1642834743925 |
46 | 10090 | 10118.5500114968 | -65.5112916751962 | 10126.9612801784 | 28.550011496809 |
47 | 10107 | 10197.3356882118 | -24.9632810217322 | 10041.6275928099 | 90.3356882117987 |
48 | 10042 | 10085.4302860699 | 46.7471836992331 | 9951.82253023085 | 43.4302860699136 |
49 | 10029 | 10109.5589050977 | 86.423627250559 | 9862.01746765177 | 80.5589050976705 |
50 | 9950 | 10114.9781387046 | 14.3169998038003 | 9770.70486149157 | 164.978138704624 |
51 | 9781 | 9862.39746130834 | 20.2102833602833 | 9679.39225533138 | 81.3974613083374 |
52 | 9559 | 9543.63507018601 | -15.8577369719508 | 9590.22266678594 | -15.3649298139917 |
53 | 9275 | 9017.2453904042 | 31.7015313552953 | 9501.05307824051 | -257.754609595801 |
54 | 9275 | 9112.999717648 | 8.56851494480699 | 9428.43176740719 | -162.000282351997 |
55 | 9219 | 9112.75408116867 | -30.5645377425421 | 9355.81045657387 | -106.24591883133 |
56 | 9192 | 9085.43612368701 | -2.61197343372966 | 9301.17584974672 | -106.56387631299 |
57 | 9105 | 9031.91800810166 | -68.4592510212337 | 9246.54124291957 | -73.0819918983361 |
58 | 9100 | 9070.77309531965 | -65.5112916751962 | 9194.73819635555 | -29.2269046803503 |
59 | 9083 | 9048.02813123021 | -24.9632810217322 | 9142.93514979152 | -34.9718687697932 |
60 | 9092 | 9042.60864791983 | 46.7471836992331 | 9094.64416838094 | -49.3913520801689 |
61 | 9098 | 9063.2231857791 | 86.423627250559 | 9046.35318697035 | -34.7768142209043 |
62 | 9195 | 9373.75960365542 | 14.3169998038003 | 9001.92339654078 | 178.759603655419 |
63 | 9087 | 9196.2961105285 | 20.2102833602833 | 8957.49360611122 | 109.296110528499 |