| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6348 | 0.106 | 0.2436 | -0.7809 | 0.6439 | 0.3229 | -0.9557 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.3499 ) | (0.0573 ) | (0 ) | (0.0147 ) | (0.0096 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6998 | 0 | 0.2852 | -0.7956 | 0.6626 | 0.3289 | -0.9802 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0109 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0012 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 5.80435517819141 |
| 372.738968709699 |
| 593.322441615601 |
| -176.12254124628 |
| 869.588919567148 |
| -72.0298064845098 |
| -169.963769165257 |
| 111.498108627911 |
| 14.8781958010149 |
| -42.6151235669198 |
| 133.584277471147 |
| 20.6516723951206 |
| -83.6560865412668 |
| 207.941679679858 |
| 208.996185058568 |
| -114.29337955828 |
| 1100.33038209786 |
| -265.420799065851 |
| -387.385142827028 |
| -188.439790871266 |
| -581.13257934815 |
| -65.7257540202096 |
| 43.166070996225 |
| -466.762918558351 |
| 5.85028337420182 |
| 213.670540550413 |
| -379.155854927933 |
| -472.177124178915 |
| -596.694191234086 |
| 139.980032824474 |
| 179.160572513486 |
| 340.372023741127 |
| -309.892372902092 |
| 81.6513884120001 |
| -213.825082516659 |
| -264.160807458691 |
| 668.875019157854 |
| 384.657722101684 |
| -126.13034787345 |
| 133.994415755257 |
| 2457.97844465366 |
| 256.034446260373 |
| 236.657389584483 |
| -794.253109835823 |
| -554.270339150571 |
| 658.533169771989 |
| -234.337716033555 |
| -210.628224863006 |
| 160.536543404226 |
| -534.657096759184 |
| -181.989857494664 |
| 388.17927502403 |
| -945.49309657806 |
| 512.987143754692 |
| 1182.00947094771 |
| -587.107386601371 |
| 307.938003131462 |
| 135.183752150291 |
| -312.724832647264 |
| 128.538355626316 |
| 301.747843445113 |
| 171.620258036911 |
| -340.46615280308 |
| -251.627123145181 |
| 669.271725192181 |
| 991.515798399382 |
| 933.391485250631 |
| -234.537495832826 |
| -7.02671762513084 |
| -741.127839907436 |
| -442.079392674083 |
| -14.7808089129265 |
| -961.77183972951 |
| 413.8851434542 |
| -294.412142738635 |
| -815.020205968293 |
| 803.094837944567 |
| -315.099328799209 |
| 25.8533775175935 |
| 105.879157181888 |
| -73.1985381512353 |
| -166.181822415748 |
| 399.227898180088 |
| -333.933955086647 |
| 535.790771681314 |
| -123.215956914917 |
| -152.121003699527 |
| -766.975965919895 |
| -367.78534487422 |
| -1217.40843683943 |
| -1243.76561043273 |
| 289.410362030915 |
| -204.451608028249 |
| 730.083680360395 |
| 298.411257818282 |
| 181.237713986205 |
| 323.427399944678 |
| 118.090673580783 |
| -636.808724597566 |
| 336.280229094421 |
| -550.114245791689 |
| -557.169260379246 |
| 1098.29072325102 |
| 264.53779783036 |
| 76.8712194346358 |
