Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.276706723331251 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 3444 | 3128 | 316 |
3 | 3428 | 3215.43932457268 | 212.560675427324 |
4 | 3803 | 3274.25629257925 | 528.743707420752 |
5 | 3044 | 3420.56323134166 | -376.563231341663 |
6 | 3427 | 3316.36565347008 | 110.634346529917 |
7 | 3246 | 3346.97892098627 | -100.978920986271 |
8 | 3505 | 3319.03737463463 | 185.962625365366 |
9 | 3052 | 3370.49448336156 | -318.494483361562 |
10 | 3613 | 3282.3649184715 | 330.635081528496 |
11 | 3555 | 3373.85386849962 | 181.146131500384 |
12 | 3675 | 3423.97822099122 | 251.021779008781 |
13 | 3267 | 3493.43763494552 | -226.437634945521 |
14 | 3601 | 3430.78081894087 | 170.219181059132 |
15 | 3501 | 3477.88161077987 | 23.1183892201307 |
16 | 3855 | 3484.27862450967 | 370.721375490332 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
17 | 3586.85972159045 | 3072.31252174929 | 4101.40692143162 |
18 | 3586.85972159045 | 3052.97723785398 | 4120.74220532692 |
19 | 3586.85972159045 | 3034.31814666884 | 4139.40129651207 |
20 | 3586.85972159045 | 3016.2689070893 | 4157.45053609161 |
21 | 3586.85972159045 | 2998.77336469265 | 4174.94607848825 |
22 | 3586.85972159045 | 2981.78348776073 | 4191.93595542018 |