Structural Time Series Model -- Interpolation | |||||
t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
1 | 6932.35 | 6932.35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 6910.78 | 6918.8617998745 | -14.1561174300181 | -8.08179987450186 | -0.717303528520587 |
3 | 6869.61 | 6874.92906971925 | -33.3247783983701 | -5.31906971925129 | -0.796545121457138 |
4 | 6877.45 | 6864.30739008153 | -18.0015394289319 | 13.1426099184692 | 0.661597690460011 |
5 | 6887.25 | 6878.40185117127 | 3.54869578767497 | 8.84814882872927 | 0.865936981497776 |
6 | 6893.14 | 6892.98128566809 | 10.8278603887426 | 0.158714331906316 | 0.294859604340015 |
7 | 6920.59 | 6917.03961048011 | 19.5849167400756 | 3.55038951989009 | 0.355947231352772 |
8 | 6881.37 | 6897.61399590351 | -6.29327821748193 | -16.2439959035114 | -1.05000640530444 |
9 | 6951.96 | 6932.1197741144 | 20.7760199717385 | 19.8402258855989 | 1.0982564854987 |
10 | 6883.33 | 6905.86243076184 | -10.4231252715883 | -22.5324307618421 | -1.26589752138648 |
11 | 6904.9 | 6898.29119550395 | -8.53175632379974 | 6.60880449605284 | 0.0767395853245228 |
12 | 6834.31 | 6849.69329844624 | -35.1016747441297 | -15.383298446239 | -1.07803374535761 |
13 | 6847.06 | 6834.54665030889 | -21.9141350798375 | 12.5133496911067 | 0.537090363451122 |
14 | 6874.51 | 6854.2462187422 | 5.71029363191159 | 20.2637812577963 | 1.1391777409422 |
15 | 6874.51 | 6882.12710802593 | 20.0234573140771 | -7.61710802592517 | 0.575770245308412 |
16 | 7031.37 | 6994.95459033227 | 79.1275097794605 | 36.4154096677256 | 2.43344830680419 |
17 | 7031.37 | 7046.39356677321 | 61.2743376911307 | -15.0235667732138 | -0.728802132949225 |
Structural Time Series Model -- Extrapolation | |||
t | Observed | Level | Seasonal |
1 | 7116.09810455696 | 7085.88397201329 | 30.2141325436726 |
2 | 7183.31552719544 | 7120.58328527612 | 62.7322419193261 |
3 | 7183.53652034446 | 7155.28259853894 | 28.2539218055209 |
4 | 7288.28851398148 | 7189.98191180177 | 98.3066021797103 |
5 | 7248.54131348811 | 7224.6812250646 | 23.8600884235105 |
6 | 7293.71281003905 | 7259.38053832742 | 34.3322717116271 |
7 | 7241.44039575597 | 7294.07985159025 | -52.6394558342812 |
8 | 7267.22076466879 | 7328.77916485308 | -61.5584001842888 |
9 | 7302.41152562535 | 7363.4784781159 | -61.0669524905498 |
10 | 7300.67334554264 | 7398.17779137873 | -97.5044458360861 |
11 | 7447.76175915386 | 7432.87710464156 | 14.8846545123009 |
12 | 7447.76175915392 | 7467.57641790438 | -19.8146587504625 |
13 | 7532.48986371088 | 7502.27573116721 | 30.2141325436726 |
14 | 7599.70728634936 | 7536.97504443004 | 62.7322419193261 |
15 | 7599.92827949838 | 7571.67435769286 | 28.2539218055209 |
16 | 7704.6802731354 | 7606.37367095569 | 98.3066021797103 |
17 | 7664.93307264203 | 7641.07298421852 | 23.8600884235105 |
18 | 7710.10456919297 | 7675.77229748134 | 34.332271711627 |