Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2622.4 | NA | NA | 2.7329 | NA |
2 | 2607.5 | NA | NA | -4.62127 | NA |
3 | 2556.6 | NA | NA | -22.8157 | NA |
4 | 2569.3 | NA | NA | -5.08099 | NA |
5 | 2533.2 | NA | NA | -21.0879 | NA |
6 | 2529 | NA | NA | -7.59349 | NA |
7 | 2577.8 | 2554.21 | 2541.18 | 13.0339 | 23.5869 |
8 | 2556.6 | 2529.3 | 2525.34 | 3.95477 | 27.3036 |
9 | 2558.7 | 2517.58 | 2508.71 | 8.87457 | 41.1171 |
10 | 2541.7 | 2504.31 | 2490.13 | 14.1839 | 37.3869 |
11 | 2473.8 | 2473.83 | 2469.52 | 4.31415 | -0.030816 |
12 | 2461 | 2461.5 | 2447.4 | 14.1051 | -0.500955 |
13 | 2435.5 | 2425.8 | 2423.06 | 2.7329 | 9.7046 |
14 | 2414.3 | 2391.9 | 2396.52 | -4.62127 | 22.4046 |
15 | 2350.6 | 2344.86 | 2367.67 | -22.8157 | 5.74488 |
16 | 2329.4 | 2333.39 | 2338.48 | -5.08099 | -3.99401 |
17 | 2278.4 | 2291.73 | 2312.82 | -21.0879 | -13.3287 |
18 | 2252.9 | 2282.84 | 2290.43 | -7.59349 | -29.9398 |
19 | 2269.9 | 2281.09 | 2268.05 | 13.0339 | -11.1881 |
20 | 2227.4 | 2249.1 | 2245.14 | 3.95477 | -21.6964 |
21 | 2195.6 | 2233.31 | 2224.44 | 8.87457 | -37.7121 |
22 | 2204.1 | 2220.13 | 2205.95 | 14.1839 | -16.0298 |
23 | 2195.6 | 2192.56 | 2188.25 | 4.31415 | 3.03585 |
24 | 2202 | 2186.43 | 2172.32 | 14.1051 | 15.5699 |
25 | 2157.4 | 2160.46 | 2157.73 | 2.7329 | -3.06207 |
26 | 2142.5 | 2137.36 | 2141.98 | -4.62127 | 5.13793 |
27 | 2125.5 | 2102.71 | 2125.53 | -22.8157 | 22.7865 |
28 | 2110.7 | 2103.37 | 2108.45 | -5.08099 | 7.32682 |
29 | 2072.4 | 2068.17 | 2089.25 | -21.0879 | 4.23377 |
30 | 2076.7 | 2059.63 | 2067.22 | -7.59349 | 17.0727 |
31 | 2095.8 | 2056.8 | 2043.77 | 13.0339 | 38.9952 |
32 | 2023.6 | 2022.86 | 2018.91 | 3.95477 | 0.736892 |
33 | 2004.5 | 1999.83 | 1990.95 | 8.87457 | 4.67127 |
34 | 1985.4 | 1977.18 | 1963 | 14.1839 | 8.22023 |
35 | 1953.5 | 1940.86 | 1936.54 | 4.31415 | 12.6442 |
36 | 1915.3 | 1923.84 | 1909.74 | 14.1051 | -8.54262 |
37 | 1881.3 | 1881.42 | 1878.68 | 2.7329 | -0.116233 |
38 | 1821.9 | 1842.92 | 1847.54 | -4.62127 | -21.0162 |
39 | 1775.2 | 1797.21 | 1820.02 | -22.8157 | -22.0051 |
40 | 1790 | 1786.81 | 1791.89 | -5.08099 | 3.19349 |
41 | 1758.2 | 1742.58 | 1763.67 | -21.0879 | 15.6213 |
42 | 1747.6 | 1728.21 | 1735.8 | -7.59349 | 19.3935 |
43 | 1679.6 | 1722.29 | 1709.26 | 13.0339 | -42.6923 |
44 | 1692.3 | 1689.94 | 1685.99 | 3.95477 | 2.35773 |
45 | 1675.4 | 1674.77 | 1665.9 | 8.87457 | 0.625434 |
46 | 1639.3 | 1660.18 | 1645.99 | 14.1839 | -20.8756 |
47 | 1622.3 | 1629.25 | 1624.93 | 4.31415 | -6.94748 |
48 | 1577.7 | NA | NA | 14.1051 | NA |
49 | 1581.9 | NA | NA | 2.7329 | NA |
50 | 1562.8 | NA | NA | -4.62127 | NA |
51 | 1552.2 | NA | NA | -22.8157 | NA |
52 | 1535.2 | NA | NA | -5.08099 | NA |
53 | 1507.6 | NA | NA | -21.0879 | NA |