| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.8522 | -0.0465 | 0.0912 | 0.8528 | 0.2937 | -0.0564 | -0.8453 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.7259 ) | (0.4075 ) | (0 ) | (0.3605 ) | (0.7768 ) | (0.07 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.8461 | -0.0459 | 0.0867 | 0.8542 | 0.3486 | 0 | -0.9994 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.7293 ) | (0.4225 ) | (0 ) | (0.0034 ) | (NA ) | (0.2014 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.8225 | 0 | 0.1098 | 0.8534 | 0.3473 | 0 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.1951 ) | (0 ) | (0.0035 ) | (NA ) | (0.1671 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.0079 | 0 | 0 | -0.0199 | 0.339 | 0 | -1.0017 |
| (p-val) | (0.9749 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.5863 ) | (0.2132 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0291 | 0.3371 | 0 | -0.9982 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.7799 ) | (0.0036 ) | (NA ) | (0.0996 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.338 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0034 ) | (NA ) | (0.0448 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -13.7563133507184 |
| 44.660894477436 |
| 2.52181889708448 |
| -1.77370738337853 |
| -81.3255198392276 |
| -67.6001936347366 |
| 16.0283189901382 |
| -105.855373776171 |
| -24.1658931323848 |
| -4.93273523194193 |
| -31.8731148071538 |
| 30.4811501425228 |
| -72.8579303040625 |
| 38.8936628196623 |
| 0.865400254522251 |
| -63.9048962930326 |
| 28.5717673454131 |
| -64.5504640035462 |
| -28.9991332291106 |
| -5.49723481756123 |
| -13.3847000915761 |
| 19.6747996261923 |
| 53.6958236548534 |
| -36.594296451548 |
| 26.5077336234835 |
| -100.531693411738 |
| -175.609524282068 |
| 64.9195762555451 |
| -62.619073083164 |
| 26.6067031685686 |
| -68.0889501163241 |
| 69.5907125954849 |
| 95.5343148467975 |
| -64.4421341865123 |
| -30.7423367208228 |
| 19.7736740586538 |
| 27.4983438364709 |
| 199.349684114035 |
| 36.6266902526185 |
| -0.28169254789482 |
| -31.3428459445541 |
| 107.067346146011 |
| 92.7473283445345 |
| -117.988681323194 |
| 63.6098692051651 |
| 24.9631573539082 |
| -46.5323320105324 |
| -49.3783758992668 |
| 9.84266441393682 |
| -14.4977866984958 |
| 70.8329256017106 |
| -4.52900909233375 |
| 0.0580469130286938 |
| 80.4380920118692 |
| -73.4261957686153 |
| 89.5282514434621 |
| -52.0288049302259 |
| -28.9903292619456 |
| 29.064883934801 |
| 20.6098611516631 |
| 27.5013642892204 |
| 1.77815888745135 |
| -3.18033234568361 |
| 43.2110392900522 |
| -12.2714607164087 |
| -27.3923224972393 |
| -164.219098794161 |
| 66.0386845365379 |
| -38.8072987810248 |
| 35.2957605544084 |
| -49.4071340018648 |
| -106.238999420951 |
| 75.9470285865822 |
| 28.291741288414 |
| 100.966370373729 |
| -86.5359475746905 |
| 8.42278365173003 |
| 15.8178378339543 |
| -23.7242332953985 |
| 326.46769941735 |
| 10.8436817102091 |
| 93.3188284911731 |
| -96.1877714345981 |
| -283.926262234285 |
| -102.007845213179 |
| -50.9221595906017 |
| -98.6963085764837 |
| 55.4324231845963 |
| 126.98419547348 |
| -128.956099289986 |
| 38.7657502893604 |
| -66.1484137938691 |
| -13.4681821287054 |
| 8.50613869081826 |
| -13.6580168213598 |
| -121.560967855047 |
| -58.1533874049546 |
| 76.5784441361046 |
| 151.927304220602 |
| 1.33425358137497 |
| -30.8808838991672 |
| 178.240510569899 |
| -12.236724468577 |
| -198.157177022811 |
