| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.506936910736287 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 6160 | 9290 | -3130 |
| 3 | 8320 | 7703.28746939542 | 616.712530604578 |
| 4 | 8310 | 8015.92181447246 | 294.078185527535 |
| 5 | 6750 | 8165.00090135873 | -1415.00090135873 |
| 6 | 8710 | 7447.68471573487 | 1262.31528426513 |
| 7 | 6300 | 8087.59892631543 | -1787.59892631543 |
| 8 | 5710 | 7181.39904897358 | -1471.39904897358 |
| 9 | 5740 | 6435.4925606266 | -695.492560626604 |
| 10 | 6710 | 6082.92171050248 | 627.078289497516 |
| 11 | 7310 | 6400.81084137015 | 909.18915862985 |
| 12 | 7240 | 6861.71238472089 | 378.28761527911 |
| 13 | 8650 | 7053.48033978028 | 1596.51966021972 |
| 14 | 8330 | 7862.81508426181 | 467.184915738188 |
| 15 | 7810 | 8099.64836218872 | -289.648362188722 |
| 16 | 8260 | 7952.81491626095 | 307.185083739054 |
| 17 | 6680 | 8108.53837363589 | -1428.53837363589 |
| 18 | 5580 | 7384.35954363667 | -1804.35954363667 |
| 19 | 6340 | 6469.66309072796 | -129.66309072796 |
| 20 | 4490 | 6403.93208407781 | -1913.93208407781 |
| 21 | 5000 | 5433.68926601634 | -433.689266016341 |
| 22 | 7030 | 5213.83616928253 | 1816.16383071747 |
| 23 | 6100 | 6134.51665101742 | -34.5166510174249 |
| 24 | 9740 | 6117.01888658169 | 3622.98111341831 |
| 25 | 7940 | 7953.64173987388 | -13.6417398738822 |
| 26 | 7740 | 7946.72623840515 | -206.726238405148 |
| 27 | 7820 | 7841.92907773991 | -21.9290777399092 |
| 28 | 7820 | 7830.81241881514 | -10.8124188151432 |
| 29 | 5380 | 7825.33120462341 | -2445.33120462341 |
| 30 | 7070 | 6585.70255802457 | 484.297441975426 |
| 31 | 6970 | 6831.21080713708 | 138.789192862918 |
| 32 | 4080 | 6901.56817181059 | -2821.56817181059 |
| 33 | 4930 | 5471.2111193611 | -541.211119361096 |
| 34 | 4820 | 5196.85122645605 | -376.851226456054 |
| 35 | 6220 | 5005.81142990924 | 1214.18857009076 |
| 36 | 6360 | 5621.32843268236 | 738.67156731764 |
| 37 | 7630 | 5995.7883150671 | 1634.2116849329 |
| 38 | 5130 | 6824.23053811612 | -1694.23053811612 |
| 39 | 6960 | 5965.36254304846 | 994.637456951541 |
| 40 | 5350 | 6469.58098277807 | -1119.58098277807 |
| 41 | 6290 | 5902.02405804946 | 387.975941950541 |
| 42 | 4630 | 6098.70338350187 | -1468.70338350187 |
| 43 | 5130 | 5354.1634274815 | -224.163427481499 |
| 44 | 3620 | 5240.52671205397 | -1620.52671205397 |
| 45 | 3980 | 4419.0219068797 | -439.021906879698 |
| 46 | 3120 | 4196.46549766055 | -1076.46549766055 |
| 47 | 4310 | 3650.76540376231 | 659.234596237689 |
| 48 | 4250 | 3984.95575342953 | 265.044246570471 |
| 49 | 5730 | 4119.31646499439 | 1610.68353500561 |
| 50 | 3630 | 4935.83140040394 | -1305.83140040394 |
| 51 | 5680 | 4273.85726434073 | 1406.14273565927 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 52 | 4986.68291881011 | 2393.82195750902 | 7579.5438801112 |
| 53 | 4986.68291881011 | 2079.68793787509 | 7893.67789974513 |
| 54 | 4986.68291881011 | 1796.33628032025 | 8177.02955729997 |
| 55 | 4986.68291881011 | 1536.17519844985 | 8437.19063917037 |
| 56 | 4986.68291881011 | 1294.29949034444 | 8679.06634727578 |
| 57 | 4986.68291881011 | 1067.32235395389 | 8906.04348366633 |
| 58 | 4986.68291881011 | 852.788980657817 | 9120.5768569624 |
| 59 | 4986.68291881011 | 648.852707006696 | 9324.51313061352 |
| 60 | 4986.68291881011 | 454.082914289898 | 9519.28292333032 |
| 61 | 4986.68291881011 | 267.344548284132 | 9706.02128933609 |
| 62 | 4986.68291881011 | 87.7190987701033 | 9885.64673885012 |
| 63 | 4986.68291881011 | -85.5491701821857 | 10058.9150078024 |
