Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[98])
95	2190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	2160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	2290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	2270	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	2200	2211.5129	1504.7403	2918.2855	0.4873	0.4356	0.5568	0.4356
100	2120	2262.7499	1344.4555	3181.0442	0.3803	0.5533	0.4768	0.4938
101	2050	2193.467	1028.8727	3358.0612	0.4046	0.5492	0.4488	0.4488
102	2080	2220.0725	752.2996	3687.8455	0.4258	0.5898	0.5107	0.4734
103	2180	2261.1921	598.6063	3923.7779	0.4619	0.5846	0.5661	0.4959
104	2070	2249.2974	380.2238	4118.3709	0.4254	0.529	0.5828	0.4913
105	2170	2279.2356	176.5601	4381.9112	0.4594	0.5773	0.5737	0.5034
106	2240	2317.5806	-5.3618	4640.5231	0.4739	0.5495	0.5462	0.516
107	2320	2284.1912	-241.7661	4810.1485	0.4889	0.5137	0.566	0.5044
108	2250	2259.82	-536.3502	5055.9901	0.4973	0.4832	0.5251	0.4972

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
99	0.1631	-0.0052	0.0052	0.0052	132.5473	0	0	-0.1459	0.1459
100	0.2071	-0.0673	0.0363	0.0352	20377.5213	10255.0343	101.2671	-1.8095	0.9777
101	0.2709	-0.07	0.0475	0.046	20582.7723	13697.6136	117.0368	-1.8186	1.258
102	0.3373	-0.0673	0.0525	0.0508	19620.3148	15178.2889	123.2002	-1.7756	1.3874
103	0.3751	-0.0372	0.0494	0.0479	6592.1527	13461.0617	116.0218	-1.0292	1.3158
104	0.424	-0.0866	0.0556	0.0538	32147.5445	16575.4755	128.7458	-2.2728	1.4753
105	0.4707	-0.0503	0.0549	0.0531	11932.4194	15912.1817	126.1435	-1.3847	1.4623
106	0.5114	-0.0346	0.0523	0.0507	6018.7536	14675.5032	121.1425	-0.9834	1.4025
107	0.5642	0.0154	0.0482	0.0468	1282.2725	13187.3665	114.8363	0.4539	1.2971
108	0.6313	-0.0044	0.0439	0.0426	96.4315	11878.273	108.9875	-0.1245	1.1798