Structural Time Series Model -- Interpolation | |||||
t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
1 | 691.72 | 691.72 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 839.86 | 819.848159560375 | 28.8083062585787 | 20.0118404396252 | 0.761907318391191 |
3 | 1083.36 | 1037.07935741206 | 108.808127217997 | 46.2806425879429 | 1.25105920865598 |
4 | 1326.82 | 1300.33921298185 | 183.214892336752 | 26.4807870181528 | 0.953965116071532 |
5 | 1555.92 | 1546.6617067266 | 213.601258533007 | 9.25829327339531 | 0.387621898642 |
6 | 1385.54 | 1455.43962645701 | 66.74722066005 | -69.8996264570106 | -1.89111475769963 |
7 | 1704.08 | 1644.84082336416 | 125.948890656162 | 59.2391766358435 | 0.763496532816836 |
8 | 1737.16 | 1745.47358950615 | 113.720541989136 | -8.31358950615171 | -0.157704309256131 |
9 | 1913.56 | 1895.88092355245 | 131.444086434827 | 17.6790764475458 | 0.228566491656865 |
10 | 2487.28 | 2395.40022409138 | 309.270284291119 | 91.879775908622 | 2.29326680519597 |
11 | 2696.24 | 2714.79398068634 | 314.161339275104 | -18.5539806863395 | 0.063075562895928 |
12 | 2982.52 | 2986.42972526533 | 293.615025703169 | -3.90972526532664 | -0.264967461197746 |
13 | 3165.84 | 3240.4231592389 | 274.936938548064 | -74.5831592389042 | -0.264874442851182 |
14 | 3580.66 | 3585.4485850613 | 307.116722749547 | -4.78858506130434 | 0.392854545083798 |
Structural Time Series Model -- Extrapolation | |||
t | Observed | Level | Seasonal |
1 | 3945.61473942641 | 3857.17412366324 | 88.4406157631718 |
2 | 4334.40124861543 | 4157.14017504476 | 177.261073570668 |
3 | 4687.51845852781 | 4457.10622642629 | 230.412232101516 |
4 | 4627.37655893129 | 4757.07227780782 | -129.695718876533 |
5 | 5042.374779077 | 5057.03832918935 | -14.6635501123477 |
6 | 5158.13313003556 | 5357.00438057088 | -198.871250535316 |
7 | 5403.43121130842 | 5656.97043195241 | -253.539220643986 |
8 | 6032.26895658787 | 5956.93648333394 | 75.3324732539358 |
9 | 6282.56703713179 | 6256.90253471547 | 25.6645024163243 |
10 | 6596.40553528091 | 6556.868586097 | 39.5369491839134 |
11 | 6793.50460363888 | 6856.83463747852 | -63.3300338396402 |
12 | 7180.25261657835 | 7156.80068886005 | 23.4519277182928 |