Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 631 | 0 | 64 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 7984 | 7970.33980305539 | -15.4471332736343 | 8013.10733021824 | -13.6601969446074 |
2 | 7937 | 7934.54201761422 | 2.25739252171239 | 7937.20058986407 | -2.45798238577936 |
3 | 7821 | 7793.24426513489 | -12.5381146447811 | 7861.29384950989 | -27.7557348651135 |
4 | 7749 | 7696.55142084771 | 17.3274787408507 | 7784.12110041144 | -52.4485791522939 |
5 | 7785 | 7843.40623698463 | 19.6454117023793 | 7706.94835131299 | 58.4062369846279 |
6 | 7632 | 7610.23029280429 | 25.525846022367 | 7628.24386117334 | -21.7697071957082 |
7 | 7533 | 7507.85436365454 | 8.60626531176616 | 7549.53937103369 | -25.1456363454572 |
8 | 7536 | 7586.40767753 | 16.1164115404931 | 7469.47591092951 | 50.4076775299982 |
9 | 7470 | 7514.16095942308 | 36.4265897515962 | 7389.41245082533 | 44.1609594230767 |
10 | 7367 | 7473.23379759016 | -40.9535409181737 | 7301.71974332802 | 106.233797590157 |
11 | 7246 | 7312.30652873492 | -34.3335645656218 | 7214.0270358307 | 66.3065287349173 |
12 | 7150 | 7207.47244584735 | -22.633079526623 | 7115.16063367928 | 57.4724458473456 |
13 | 7050 | 7099.15290174578 | -15.4471332736343 | 7016.29423152785 | 49.1529017457824 |
14 | 6907 | 6893.01751996214 | 2.25739252171239 | 6918.72508751615 | -13.9824800378619 |
15 | 6803 | 6797.38217114033 | -12.5381146447811 | 6821.15594350445 | -5.61782885966841 |
16 | 6626 | 6499.32280579786 | 17.3274787408507 | 6735.34971546129 | -126.677194202136 |
17 | 6512 | 6354.8111008795 | 19.6454117023793 | 6649.54348741812 | -157.188899120501 |
18 | 6509 | 6411.27505571276 | 25.525846022367 | 6581.19909826487 | -97.724944287238 |
19 | 6419 | 6316.53902557661 | 8.60626531176616 | 6512.85470911162 | -102.460974423386 |
20 | 6365 | 6255.12884713187 | 16.1164115404931 | 6458.75474132764 | -109.871152868132 |
21 | 6395 | 6348.91863670474 | 36.4265897515962 | 6404.65477354366 | -46.0813632952559 |
22 | 6360 | 6402.94391420625 | -40.9535409181737 | 6358.00962671192 | 42.9439142062492 |
23 | 6386 | 6494.96908468543 | -34.3335645656218 | 6311.36447988019 | 108.969084685433 |
24 | 6360 | 6479.52038176054 | -22.633079526623 | 6263.11269776608 | 119.520381760539 |
25 | 6259 | 6318.58621762165 | -15.4471332736343 | 6214.86091565198 | 59.5862176216542 |
26 | 6198 | 6239.36935863603 | 2.25739252171239 | 6154.37324884226 | 41.3693586360287 |
27 | 6103 | 6124.65253261224 | -12.5381146447811 | 6093.88558203254 | 21.6525326122428 |
28 | 6064 | 6099.44613060552 | 17.3274787408507 | 6011.22639065363 | 35.44613060552 |
29 | 5968 | 5987.7873890229 | 19.6454117023793 | 5928.56719927472 | 19.7873890229002 |
30 | 5908 | 5961.91437854318 | 25.525846022367 | 5828.55977543446 | 53.9143785431761 |
31 | 5805 | 5872.84138309404 | 8.60626531176616 | 5728.55235159419 | 67.8413830940399 |
32 | 5728 | 5815.32280374908 | 16.1164115404931 | 5624.56078471043 | 87.3228037490753 |
33 | 5678 | 5799.00419242173 | 36.4265897515962 | 5520.56921782667 | 121.004192421734 |
34 | 5274 | 5171.4660821567 | -40.9535409181737 | 5417.48745876147 | -102.533917843299 |
35 | 5166 | 5051.92786486935 | -34.3335645656218 | 5314.40569969628 | -114.072135130654 |
36 | 5106 | 5020.68923963109 | -22.633079526623 | 5213.94383989553 | -85.3107603689068 |
37 | 5008 | 4917.96515317885 | -15.4471332736343 | 5113.48198009478 | -90.0348468211496 |
38 | 5034 | 5045.78206046379 | 2.25739252171239 | 5019.96054701449 | 11.7820604637936 |
39 | 4901 | 4888.09900071057 | -12.5381146447811 | 4926.43911393421 | -12.9009992894253 |
40 | 4853 | 4843.53421299647 | 17.3274787408507 | 4845.13830826268 | -9.46578700352802 |
41 | 4790 | 4796.51708570647 | 19.6454117023793 | 4763.83750259115 | 6.51708570647224 |
42 | 4703 | 4690.29157544091 | 25.525846022367 | 4690.18257853673 | -12.708424559095 |
43 | 4640 | 4654.86608020593 | 8.60626531176616 | 4616.52765448231 | 14.8660802059258 |
44 | 4544 | 4526.60696788076 | 16.1164115404931 | 4545.27662057874 | -17.3930321192365 |
45 | 4465 | 4419.54782357322 | 36.4265897515962 | 4474.02558667518 | -45.4521764267756 |
46 | 4335 | 4304.06492588133 | -40.9535409181737 | 4406.88861503685 | -30.9350741186718 |
47 | 4345 | 4384.58192116711 | -34.3335645656218 | 4339.75164339851 | 39.5819211671096 |
48 | 4246 | 4236.78090271457 | -22.633079526623 | 4277.85217681206 | -9.21909728543324 |
49 | 4131 | 4061.49442304803 | -15.4471332736343 | 4215.9527102256 | -69.5055769519668 |
50 | 4112 | 4062.53941199957 | 2.25739252171239 | 4159.20319547872 | -49.4605880004337 |
51 | 4111 | 4132.08443391294 | -12.5381146447811 | 4102.45368073184 | 21.0844339129389 |
52 | 4096 | 4123.51911425452 | 17.3274787408507 | 4051.15340700463 | 27.51911425452 |
53 | 3970 | 3920.5014550202 | 19.6454117023793 | 3999.85313327742 | -49.4985449797964 |
54 | 3970 | 3961.42891645123 | 25.525846022367 | 3953.0452375264 | -8.57108354877209 |
55 | 3908 | 3901.15639291284 | 8.60626531176616 | 3906.23734177539 | -6.84360708715849 |
56 | 3861 | 3846.39268553746 | 16.1164115404931 | 3859.49090292205 | -14.6073144625393 |
57 | 3819 | 3788.8289461797 | 36.4265897515962 | 3812.7444640687 | -30.1710538202956 |
58 | 3781 | 3836.98165900841 | -40.9535409181737 | 3765.97188190977 | 55.9816590084074 |
59 | 3684 | 3683.13426481479 | -34.3335645656218 | 3719.19929975083 | -0.865735185211634 |
60 | 3664 | 3677.94445253974 | -22.633079526623 | 3672.68862698688 | 13.9444525397412 |
61 | 3648 | 3685.2691790507 | -15.4471332736343 | 3626.17795422293 | 37.2691790507033 |
62 | 3564 | 3546.01553675475 | 2.25739252171239 | 3579.72707072354 | -17.9844632452523 |
63 | 3490 | 3459.26192742063 | -12.5381146447811 | 3533.27618722415 | -30.7380725793673 |