Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[45])
33	5678	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	5274	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	5166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	5106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	5008	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	5034	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	4901	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	4853	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	4790	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	4703	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	4640	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	4544	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	4465	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	4335	4396.6925	4263.8854	4529.4995	0.1813	0.1567	0	0.1567
47	4345	4331.6882	4091.7648	4571.6116	0.4567	0.4892	0	0.1381
48	4246	4280.0873	3943.288	4616.8866	0.4214	0.3528	0	0.1409
49	4131	4230.8491	3760.0014	4701.6969	0.3388	0.4749	6e-04	0.1649
50	4112	4188.9011	3603.4431	4774.359	0.3984	0.5769	0.0023	0.1777
51	4111	4152.8082	3440.8562	4864.7601	0.4542	0.5447	0.0197	0.195
52	4096	4119.2066	3280.0729	4958.3403	0.4784	0.5076	0.0433	0.2096
53	3970	4091.5319	3131.3947	5051.6692	0.402	0.4964	0.077	0.2229
54	3970	4066.0289	2979.4655	5152.5923	0.4312	0.5688	0.1253	0.2359
55	3908	4043.8914	2837.1761	5250.6066	0.4127	0.5478	0.1665	0.247
56	3861	4024.8207	2698.18	5351.4614	0.4044	0.5685	0.2215	0.2577
57	3819	4007.3702	2562.5028	5452.2376	0.3992	0.5787	0.2674	0.2674
58	3781	3992.6434	2433.5665	5551.7204	0.3951	0.5864	0.3335	0.2763
59	3684	3979.3529	2306.843	5651.8628	0.3646	0.5919	0.3341	0.2846
60	3664	3967.7064	2185.3494	5750.0634	0.3692	0.6225	0.3798	0.2922
61	3648	3957.6385	2067.6283	5847.6487	0.3741	0.6196	0.4287	0.2994
62	3564	3948.5433	1953.1262	5943.9603	0.3528	0.6161	0.4362	0.306
63	3490	3940.7455	1842.8742	6038.6168	0.3368	0.6376	0.4368	0.3121

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
46	0.0154	-0.0142	0.0142	0.0141	3805.9616	0	0	-1.2125	1.2125
47	0.0283	0.0031	0.0086	0.0086	177.2033	1991.5824	44.6271	0.2616	0.737
48	0.0401	-0.008	0.0084	0.0084	1161.9468	1715.0372	41.413	-0.6699	0.7147
49	0.0568	-0.0242	0.0124	0.0123	9969.8503	3778.7405	61.4715	-1.9624	1.0266
50	0.0713	-0.0187	0.0136	0.0135	5913.7734	4205.7471	64.8517	-1.5114	1.1235
51	0.0875	-0.0102	0.0131	0.013	1747.9227	3796.1097	61.6126	-0.8217	1.0732
52	0.1039	-0.0057	0.012	0.0119	538.5465	3330.7435	57.7126	-0.4561	0.9851
53	0.1197	-0.0306	0.0143	0.0142	14770.0052	4760.6512	68.9975	-2.3885	1.1605
54	0.1363	-0.0242	0.0154	0.0153	9221.5505	5256.3067	72.5004	-1.8873	1.2412
55	0.1522	-0.0348	0.0174	0.0172	18466.4609	6577.3221	81.1007	-2.6707	1.3842
56	0.1682	-0.0424	0.0196	0.0194	26837.2251	8419.1315	91.7558	-3.2196	1.551
57	0.184	-0.0493	0.0221	0.0218	35483.3239	10674.4808	103.3174	-3.7021	1.7303
58	0.1992	-0.056	0.0247	0.0243	44792.9482	13298.9783	115.3212	-4.1595	1.9172
59	0.2144	-0.0802	0.0287	0.0281	87233.3427	18580.0044	136.3085	-5.8046	2.1948
60	0.2292	-0.0829	0.0323	0.0315	92237.5704	23490.5088	153.2661	-5.9688	2.4464
61	0.2437	-0.0849	0.0356	0.0346	95876.0042	28014.6022	167.3756	-6.0854	2.6739
62	0.2578	-0.1079	0.0398	0.0386	147873.5124	35065.1264	187.2568	-7.5575	2.9611
63	0.2716	-0.1292	0.0448	0.0432	203171.5005	44404.3694	210.7234	-8.8586	3.2888