| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.579111871216531 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 10 | 9400 | 7639.46764877147 | 1760.53235122853 |
| 11 | 8500 | 7726.35511922791 | 773.644880772087 |
| 12 | 8300 | 7816.1761326082 | 483.823867391799 |
| 13 | 9200 | 9261.50745308265 | -61.5074530826514 |
| 14 | 10400 | 10742.0828907365 | -342.082890736525 |
| 15 | 11700 | 9948.26154533351 | 1751.73845466649 |
| 16 | 12200 | 10504.5534450929 | 1695.44655490715 |
| 17 | 10400 | 16201.8863778255 | -5801.88637782549 |
| 18 | 10400 | 13071.1360135098 | -2671.13601350983 |
| 19 | 9800 | 10673.2497512481 | -873.249751248137 |
| 20 | 9200 | 9016.27864181186 | 183.721358188137 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 21 | 8688.53502350621 | 6132.42918610291 | 11244.6408609095 |
| 22 | 9914.97869941434 | 6108.39501861183 | 13721.5623802169 |
| 23 | 11516.9538630842 | 6531.39187993127 | 16502.5158462372 |
| 24 | 10835.3281317284 | 5620.54145089038 | 16050.1148125664 |
| 25 | 10386.1134195262 | 4905.02853545937 | 15867.198303593 |
| 26 | 14690.8981233545 | 6741.76680511516 | 22640.0294415939 |
| 27 | 14892.3788154606 | 6655.72030447788 | 23129.0373264433 |
| 28 | 13682.5566322504 | 5892.11090055657 | 21473.0023639443 |
| 29 | 12021.9259952789 | 5360.40787185867 | 18683.4441186991 |
| 30 | 11355.6342812201 | 4715.80114616167 | 17995.4674162785 |
| 31 | 12858.1715008902 | 5097.93929091863 | 20618.4037108617 |
| 32 | 14826.5238007576 | 5733.60970527134 | 23919.4378962439 |
