Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2298.3 | NA | NA | 0.941682 | NA |
2 | 2424.67 | NA | NA | 0.986822 | NA |
3 | 2584.65 | 2561.31 | 2505.98 | 1.02208 | 1.00911 |
4 | 2639.42 | 2664.78 | 2539.29 | 1.04942 | 0.990485 |
5 | 2452.02 | 2421.17 | 2571.11 | 0.941682 | 1.01274 |
6 | 2537.49 | 2579.93 | 2614.38 | 0.986822 | 0.983552 |
7 | 2726.36 | 2719.05 | 2660.32 | 1.02208 | 1.00269 |
8 | 2843.85 | 2844.73 | 2710.78 | 1.04942 | 0.999689 |
9 | 2615.11 | 2603.65 | 2764.9 | 0.941682 | 1.0044 |
10 | 2778.08 | 2774.35 | 2811.39 | 0.986822 | 1.00135 |
11 | 2918.75 | 2911.48 | 2848.58 | 1.02208 | 1.0025 |
12 | 3023.41 | 3025.19 | 2882.73 | 1.04942 | 0.999413 |
13 | 2733.07 | 2752.95 | 2923.44 | 0.941682 | 0.992779 |
14 | 2933.31 | 2934.71 | 2973.89 | 0.986822 | 0.999525 |
15 | 3089.19 | 3099.46 | 3032.5 | 1.02208 | 0.996687 |
16 | 3256.6 | 3235.36 | 3083.01 | 1.04942 | 1.00656 |
17 | 2968.74 | 2945.17 | 3127.56 | 0.941682 | 1.008 |
18 | 3101.7 | 3129.71 | 3171.5 | 0.986822 | 0.991051 |
19 | 3277.21 | 3278.87 | 3208.04 | 1.02208 | 0.999494 |
20 | 3420.1 | 3407.67 | 3247.2 | 1.04942 | 1.00365 |
21 | 3097.55 | 3104.83 | 3297.11 | 0.941682 | 0.997656 |
22 | 3286.21 | 3303.4 | 3347.51 | 0.986822 | 0.994797 |
23 | 3491.96 | 3466.13 | 3391.25 | 1.02208 | 1.00745 |
24 | 3608.53 | 3607.05 | 3437.19 | 1.04942 | 1.00041 |
25 | 3259.04 | 3281.44 | 3484.66 | 0.941682 | 0.993174 |
26 | 3492.27 | 3484.77 | 3531.31 | 0.986822 | 1.00215 |
27 | 3665.64 | 3652.45 | 3573.55 | 1.02208 | 1.00361 |
28 | 3808.02 | 3788.31 | 3609.92 | 1.04942 | 1.0052 |
29 | 3397.47 | 3434.68 | 3647.38 | 0.941682 | 0.989168 |
30 | 3644.83 | 3636.07 | 3684.62 | 0.986822 | 1.00241 |
31 | 3812.8 | 3811.46 | 3729.13 | 1.02208 | 1.00035 |
32 | 3958.78 | 3966.66 | 3779.87 | 1.04942 | 0.998015 |
33 | 3602.73 | 3607.71 | 3831.13 | 0.941682 | 0.99862 |
34 | 3845.49 | 3835.66 | 3886.88 | 0.986822 | 1.00256 |
35 | 4022.27 | 4036.72 | 3949.51 | 1.02208 | 0.996421 |
36 | 4195.29 | 4218.36 | 4019.72 | 1.04942 | 0.99453 |
37 | 3867.28 | 3843.29 | 4081.3 | 0.941682 | 1.00624 |
38 | 4142.62 | 4087.7 | 4142.28 | 0.986822 | 1.01344 |
39 | 4217.79 | 4299.51 | 4206.63 | 1.02208 | 0.980994 |
40 | 4487.61 | 4481.55 | 4270.52 | 1.04942 | 1.00135 |
41 | 4089.69 | 4103.96 | 4358.12 | 0.941682 | 0.996523 |
42 | 4431.36 | 4394.09 | 4452.77 | 0.986822 | 1.00848 |
43 | 4629.82 | NA | NA | 1.02208 | NA |
44 | 4832.81 | NA | NA | 1.04942 | NA |