Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[25])
21	3097.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	3286.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	3491.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	3608.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	3259.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	3492.27	3463.5081	3390.4447	3538.146	0.225	1	1	1
27	3665.64	3669.0136	3588.1135	3751.7377	0.4681	1	1	1
28	3808.02	3811.8055	3724.275	3901.3932	0.467	0.9993	1	1
29	3397.47	3447.8836	3365.6851	3532.0897	0.1203	0	1	1
30	3644.83	3660.7675	3555.7733	3768.862	0.3863	1	0.9989	1
31	3812.8	3884.4836	3767.3703	4005.2374	0.1223	0.9999	0.9998	1
32	3958.78	4023.9709	3897.0316	4155.045	0.1648	0.9992	0.9994	1
33	3602.73	3636.7796	3517.2004	3760.4243	0.2947	0	0.9999	1
34	3845.49	3863.2917	3704.1404	4029.2811	0.4168	0.999	0.9951	1
35	4022.27	4095.6548	3917.5227	4281.8868	0.22	0.9958	0.9985	1
36	4195.29	4249.4131	4055.3538	4452.7587	0.3009	0.9857	0.9975	1
37	3867.28	3842.2571	3658.843	4034.8656	0.3995	2e-04	0.9926	1
38	4142.62	4080.4397	3858.67	4314.9552	0.3016	0.9626	0.9752	1
39	4217.79	4328.0019	4080.8847	4590.0831	0.2049	0.9172	0.9889	1
40	4487.61	4486.6441	4218.7558	4771.5431	0.4973	0.9678	0.9775	1
41	4089.69	4055.7674	3803.5018	4324.7644	0.4024	8e-04	0.9152	1
42	4431.36	4307.8317	4008.2457	4629.8095	0.226	0.9079	0.8427	1
43	4629.82	4567.9639	4235.4873	4926.5393	0.3676	0.7724	0.9722	1
44	4832.81	4737.6014	4378.1561	5126.557	0.3157	0.7065	0.8961	1

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
26	0.011	0.0082	0.0082	0.0083	827.2462	0	0	0.1197	0.1197
27	0.0115	-9e-04	0.0046	0.0046	11.3812	419.3137	20.4771	-0.014	0.0669
28	0.012	-0.001	0.0034	0.0034	14.3299	284.3191	16.8618	-0.0158	0.0498
29	0.0125	-0.0148	0.0062	0.0062	2541.535	848.623	29.1311	-0.2098	0.0898
30	0.0151	-0.0044	0.0059	0.0059	254.0045	729.6993	27.0129	-0.0663	0.0851
31	0.0159	-0.0188	0.008	0.008	5138.5345	1464.5052	38.2689	-0.2983	0.1206
32	0.0166	-0.0165	0.0092	0.0092	4249.8498	1862.4116	43.1557	-0.2713	0.1422
33	0.0173	-0.0095	0.0093	0.0092	1159.3763	1774.5322	42.1252	-0.1417	0.1421
34	0.0219	-0.0046	0.0087	0.0087	316.9013	1612.5732	40.1569	-0.0741	0.1345
35	0.0232	-0.0182	0.0097	0.0096	5385.3344	1989.8493	44.6077	-0.3054	0.1516
36	0.0244	-0.0129	0.01	0.0099	2929.312	2075.255	45.555	-0.2252	0.1583
37	0.0256	0.0065	0.0097	0.0096	626.1451	1954.4958	44.2097	0.1041	0.1538
38	0.0293	0.015	0.0101	0.0101	3866.3917	2101.5648	45.8428	0.2587	0.1619
39	0.0309	-0.0261	0.0112	0.0112	12146.6555	2819.0712	53.0949	-0.4586	0.1831
40	0.0324	2e-04	0.0105	0.0105	0.933	2631.1954	51.2952	0.004	0.1711
41	0.0338	0.0083	0.0104	0.0103	1150.7425	2538.667	50.3852	0.1412	0.1693
42	0.0381	0.0279	0.0114	0.0114	15259.2472	3286.9365	57.3318	0.514	0.1895
43	0.04	0.0134	0.0115	0.0115	3826.1749	3316.8942	57.5925	0.2574	0.1933
44	0.0419	0.0197	0.0119	0.0119	9064.6821	3619.4093	60.1615	0.3962	0.204