| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 2850 | NA | NA | 336.725 | NA |
| 2 | 2360 | NA | NA | 253.113 | NA |
| 3 | 2880 | NA | NA | -98.3218 | NA |
| 4 | 3000 | NA | NA | -82.8588 | NA |
| 5 | 3120 | NA | NA | -201.563 | NA |
| 6 | 2910 | NA | NA | -372.998 | NA |
| 7 | 3380 | 3323.34 | 3372.5 | -49.1551 | 56.6551 |
| 8 | 3730 | 3628.26 | 3502.5 | 125.762 | 101.738 |
| 9 | 2960 | 3405.22 | 3625.83 | -220.613 | -445.22 |
| 10 | 4070 | 3751.14 | 3727.08 | 24.0532 | 318.863 |
| 11 | 4660 | 4284.34 | 3831.67 | 452.678 | 375.655 |
| 12 | 3880 | 3795.26 | 3962.08 | -166.822 | 84.7384 |
| 13 | 4190 | 4421.72 | 4085 | 336.725 | -231.725 |
| 14 | 4140 | 4428.53 | 4175.42 | 253.113 | -288.53 |
| 15 | 4060 | 4190.01 | 4288.33 | -98.3218 | -130.012 |
| 16 | 4250 | 4296.31 | 4379.17 | -82.8588 | -46.3079 |
| 17 | 4380 | 4216.35 | 4417.92 | -201.563 | 163.646 |
| 18 | 4780 | 4080.75 | 4453.75 | -372.998 | 699.248 |
| 19 | 4460 | 4427.09 | 4476.25 | -49.1551 | 32.9051 |
| 20 | 4820 | 4607.43 | 4481.67 | 125.762 | 212.572 |
| 21 | 4580 | 4264.8 | 4485.42 | -220.613 | 315.197 |
| 22 | 4630 | 4511.55 | 4487.5 | 24.0532 | 118.447 |
| 23 | 5030 | 4940.18 | 4487.5 | 452.678 | 89.8218 |
| 24 | 4370 | 4296.93 | 4463.75 | -166.822 | 73.0718 |
| 25 | 4240 | 4780.89 | 4444.17 | 336.725 | -540.891 |
| 26 | 4220 | 4693.95 | 4440.83 | 253.113 | -473.947 |
| 27 | 4070 | 4320.84 | 4419.17 | -98.3218 | -250.845 |
| 28 | 4290 | 4314.64 | 4397.5 | -82.8588 | -24.6412 |
| 29 | 4340 | 4182.19 | 4383.75 | -201.563 | 157.813 |
| 30 | 4250 | 3980.75 | 4353.75 | -372.998 | 269.248 |
| 31 | 4520 | 4270.01 | 4319.17 | -49.1551 | 249.988 |
| 32 | 4680 | 4402.84 | 4277.08 | 125.762 | 277.155 |
| 33 | 4200 | 3992.3 | 4212.92 | -220.613 | 207.697 |
| 34 | 4490 | 4165.72 | 4141.67 | 24.0532 | 324.28 |
| 35 | 4840 | 4513.93 | 4061.25 | 452.678 | 326.072 |
| 36 | 3840 | 3806.51 | 3973.33 | -166.822 | 33.4884 |
| 37 | 3940 | 4235.47 | 3898.75 | 336.725 | -295.475 |
| 38 | 3510 | 4096.86 | 3843.75 | 253.113 | -586.863 |
| 39 | 3240 | 3720.01 | 3818.33 | -98.3218 | -480.012 |
| 40 | 3410 | 3756.72 | 3839.58 | -82.8588 | -346.725 |
| 41 | 3290 | 3704.69 | 3906.25 | -201.563 | -414.687 |
| 42 | 3190 | 3661.59 | 4034.58 | -372.998 | -471.586 |
| 43 | 3790 | 4182.51 | 4231.67 | -49.1551 | -392.512 |
| 44 | 4090 | 4614.09 | 4488.33 | 125.762 | -524.095 |
| 45 | 4180 | 4561.47 | 4782.08 | -220.613 | -381.47 |
| 46 | 5020 | 5079.47 | 5055.42 | 24.0532 | -59.4699 |
| 47 | 5910 | 5727.26 | 5274.58 | 452.678 | 182.738 |
| 48 | 5850 | 5291.51 | 5458.33 | -166.822 | 558.488 |
| 49 | 6660 | 5959.22 | 5622.5 | 336.725 | 700.775 |
| 50 | 6950 | 6007.28 | 5754.17 | 253.113 | 942.72 |
| 51 | 6850 | 5745.84 | 5844.17 | -98.3218 | 1104.16 |
| 52 | 6360 | 5798.39 | 5881.25 | -82.8588 | 561.609 |
| 53 | 5600 | 5659.27 | 5860.83 | -201.563 | -59.2708 |
| 54 | 5290 | 5424.09 | 5797.08 | -372.998 | -134.086 |
| 55 | 5630 | 5614.18 | 5663.33 | -49.1551 | 15.8218 |
| 56 | 5410 | 5582.84 | 5457.08 | 125.762 | -172.845 |
| 57 | 5020 | 4992.3 | 5212.92 | -220.613 | 27.6968 |
| 58 | 5070 | 4993.64 | 4969.58 | 24.0532 | 76.3634 |
| 59 | 5370 | 5228.09 | 4775.42 | 452.678 | 141.905 |
| 60 | 4860 | 4433.59 | 4600.42 | -166.822 | 426.405 |
| 61 | 4440 | 4755.89 | 4419.17 | 336.725 | -315.891 |
| 62 | 4220 | 4506.03 | 4252.92 | 253.113 | -286.03 |
| 63 | 3720 | 3992.93 | 4091.25 | -98.3218 | -272.928 |
| 64 | 3650 | 3835.89 | 3918.75 | -82.8588 | -185.891 |
| 65 | 3650 | 3550.94 | 3752.5 | -201.563 | 99.0625 |
| 66 | 3040 | 3222 | 3595 | -372.998 | -182.002 |
| 67 | 3530 | 3426.68 | 3475.83 | -49.1551 | 103.322 |
| 68 | 3520 | 3528.26 | 3402.5 | 125.762 | -8.26157 |
| 69 | 3030 | 3113.55 | 3334.17 | -220.613 | -83.5532 |
| 70 | 2920 | 3297.8 | 3273.75 | 24.0532 | -377.803 |
| 71 | 3530 | 3666.43 | 3213.75 | 452.678 | -136.428 |
| 72 | 2920 | 3002.34 | 3169.17 | -166.822 | -82.3449 |
| 73 | 3520 | 3464.22 | 3127.5 | 336.725 | 55.7755 |
| 74 | 3380 | 3345.61 | 3092.5 | 253.113 | 34.3866 |
| 75 | 2920 | 2976.68 | 3075 | -98.3218 | -56.6782 |
| 76 | 3000 | 2969.22 | 3052.08 | -82.8588 | 30.7755 |
| 77 | 2860 | 2813.85 | 3015.42 | -201.563 | 46.1458 |
| 78 | 2760 | 2587.84 | 2960.83 | -372.998 | 172.164 |
| 79 | 2810 | 2858.34 | 2907.5 | -49.1551 | -48.3449 |
| 80 | 3400 | 2977.84 | 2852.08 | 125.762 | 422.155 |
| 81 | 2730 | 2578.14 | 2798.75 | -220.613 | 151.863 |
| 82 | 2670 | 2781.55 | 2757.5 | 24.0532 | -111.553 |
| 83 | 2900 | 3173.93 | 2721.25 | 452.678 | -273.928 |
| 84 | 2240 | 2501.93 | 2668.75 | -166.822 | -261.928 |
| 85 | 2920 | 2952.14 | 2615.42 | 336.725 | -32.1412 |
| 86 | 2650 | 2811.03 | 2557.92 | 253.113 | -161.03 |
| 87 | 2370 | 2420.43 | 2518.75 | -98.3218 | -50.4282 |
| 88 | 2560 | 2438.81 | 2521.67 | -82.8588 | 121.192 |
| 89 | 2430 | 2328.02 | 2529.58 | -201.563 | 101.979 |
| 90 | 1930 | 2176.59 | 2549.58 | -372.998 | -246.586 |
| 91 | 2360 | 2537.51 | 2586.67 | -49.1551 | -177.512 |
| 92 | 2470 | 2771.18 | 2645.42 | 125.762 | -301.178 |
| 93 | 2720 | 2479.39 | 2700 | -220.613 | 240.613 |
| 94 | 2750 | 2762.39 | 2738.33 | 24.0532 | -12.3866 |
| 95 | 3010 | 3237.68 | 2785 | 452.678 | -227.678 |
| 96 | 2610 | 2688.59 | 2855.42 | -166.822 | -78.5949 |
| 97 | 3440 | 3271.72 | 2935 | 336.725 | 168.275 |
| 98 | 3540 | 3267.28 | 3014.17 | 253.113 | 272.72 |
| 99 | 2790 | 2998.34 | 3096.67 | -98.3218 | -208.345 |
| 100 | 3060 | 3097.14 | 3180 | -82.8588 | -37.1412 |
| 101 | 3050 | 3083.85 | 3285.42 | -201.563 | -33.8542 |
| 102 | 3000 | 3006.59 | 3379.58 | -372.998 | -6.58565 |
| 103 | 3200 | 3436.68 | 3485.83 | -49.1551 | -236.678 |
| 104 | 3530 | 3757.84 | 3632.08 | 125.762 | -227.845 |
| 105 | 3640 | 3571.89 | 3792.5 | -220.613 | 68.1134 |
| 106 | 3830 | 3965.3 | 3941.25 | 24.0532 | -135.303 |
| 107 | 4460 | 4516.84 | 4064.17 | 452.678 | -56.8449 |
| 108 | 3420 | 4015.68 | 4182.5 | -166.822 | -595.678 |
| 109 | 5180 | 4662.56 | 4325.83 | 336.725 | 517.442 |
| 110 | 5310 | 4737.28 | 4484.17 | 253.113 | 572.72 |
| 111 | 4870 | 4498.76 | 4597.08 | -98.3218 | 371.238 |
| 112 | 4550 | 4596.72 | 4679.58 | -82.8588 | -46.7245 |
| 113 | 4510 | 4544.69 | 4746.25 | -201.563 | -34.6875 |
| 114 | 4380 | 4453.67 | 4826.67 | -372.998 | -73.669 |
| 115 | 5260 | 4834.59 | 4883.75 | -49.1551 | 425.405 |
| 116 | 5270 | 5020.34 | 4894.58 | 125.762 | 249.655 |
| 117 | 4610 | 4681.89 | 4902.5 | -220.613 | -71.8866 |
| 118 | 4840 | 4952.39 | 4928.33 | 24.0532 | -112.387 |
| 119 | 5050 | 5442.26 | 4989.58 | 452.678 | -392.262 |
| 120 | 4760 | 4888.59 | 5055.42 | -166.822 | -128.595 |
| 121 | 5210 | NA | NA | 336.725 | NA |
| 122 | 5540 | NA | NA | 253.113 | NA |
| 123 | 4830 | NA | NA | -98.3218 | NA |
| 124 | 5210 | NA | NA | -82.8588 | NA |
| 125 | 5320 | NA | NA | -201.563 | NA |
| 126 | 5150 | NA | NA | -372.998 | NA |
