Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 95.77 | NA | NA | 0.575243 | NA |
2 | 97.63 | NA | NA | 0.852743 | NA |
3 | 100.87 | NA | NA | 1.05958 | NA |
4 | 100.39 | NA | NA | 0.26191 | NA |
5 | 98.62 | NA | NA | -0.0756736 | NA |
6 | 97.42 | NA | NA | -0.0930069 | NA |
7 | 95.62 | 96.7769 | 97.9504 | -1.17351 | -1.15691 |
8 | 97.22 | 97.2578 | 98.0912 | -0.833424 | -0.0378264 |
9 | 97.56 | 98.0429 | 98.0012 | 0.0416597 | -0.48291 |
10 | 97.06 | 97.5578 | 97.7162 | -0.158424 | -0.497826 |
11 | 97.68 | 97.2499 | 97.4438 | -0.19384 | 0.43009 |
12 | 98.18 | 97.0463 | 97.3096 | -0.263257 | 1.13367 |
13 | 98.54 | 97.8152 | 97.24 | 0.575243 | 0.724757 |
14 | 98.24 | 97.9177 | 97.065 | 0.852743 | 0.322257 |
15 | 98.1 | 97.9517 | 96.8921 | 1.05958 | 0.14834 |
16 | 96.32 | 97.0961 | 96.8342 | 0.26191 | -0.776076 |
17 | 96.15 | 96.6643 | 96.74 | -0.0756736 | -0.514326 |
18 | 96.67 | 96.467 | 96.56 | -0.0930069 | 0.203007 |
19 | 94.7 | 95.3044 | 96.4779 | -1.17351 | -0.60441 |
20 | 93.94 | 95.757 | 96.5904 | -0.833424 | -1.81699 |
21 | 96.69 | 96.7925 | 96.7508 | 0.0416597 | -0.102493 |
22 | 96.54 | 96.6562 | 96.8146 | -0.158424 | -0.11616 |
23 | 95.94 | 96.5391 | 96.7329 | -0.19384 | -0.599076 |
24 | 95.6 | 96.2801 | 96.5433 | -0.263257 | -0.680076 |
25 | 99.15 | 96.9607 | 96.3854 | 0.575243 | 2.18934 |
26 | 100.33 | 97.2265 | 96.3738 | 0.852743 | 3.10351 |
27 | 99.86 | 97.4142 | 96.3546 | 1.05958 | 2.44584 |
28 | 96.09 | 96.5244 | 96.2625 | 0.26191 | -0.43441 |
29 | 94.42 | 96.1385 | 96.2142 | -0.0756736 | -1.71849 |
30 | 93.85 | 96.1457 | 96.2388 | -0.0930069 | -2.29574 |
31 | 93.73 | 95.0307 | 96.2042 | -1.17351 | -1.30066 |
32 | 94.63 | 95.2437 | 96.0771 | -0.833424 | -0.61366 |
33 | 95.54 | 96.0542 | 96.0125 | 0.0416597 | -0.51416 |
34 | 95.48 | 96.0466 | 96.205 | -0.158424 | -0.566576 |
35 | 95.84 | 96.4553 | 96.6492 | -0.19384 | -0.615326 |
36 | 96.29 | 96.9155 | 97.1788 | -0.263257 | -0.625493 |
37 | 97.63 | 98.3044 | 97.7292 | 0.575243 | -0.67441 |
38 | 98.8 | 99.0894 | 98.2367 | 0.852743 | -0.28941 |
39 | 99.84 | 99.7471 | 98.6875 | 1.05958 | 0.0929236 |
40 | 100.73 | 99.3786 | 99.1167 | 0.26191 | 1.35142 |
41 | 100.44 | 99.4464 | 99.5221 | -0.0756736 | 0.99359 |
42 | 100.54 | 99.7637 | 99.8567 | -0.0930069 | 0.77634 |
43 | 100.25 | 98.8907 | 100.064 | -1.17351 | 1.35934 |
44 | 100.29 | 99.2991 | 100.132 | -0.833424 | 0.990924 |
45 | 100.7 | 100.141 | 100.099 | 0.0416597 | 0.559174 |
46 | 100.62 | 99.8274 | 99.9858 | -0.158424 | 0.79259 |
47 | 100.43 | 99.677 | 99.8708 | -0.19384 | 0.753007 |
48 | 99.73 | 99.5259 | 99.7892 | -0.263257 | 0.20409 |
49 | 99.17 | 100.274 | 99.6988 | 0.575243 | -1.10399 |
50 | 98.9 | 100.455 | 99.6021 | 0.852743 | -1.55483 |
51 | 98.94 | 100.542 | 99.4825 | 1.05958 | -1.60208 |
52 | 98.91 | 99.5919 | 99.33 | 0.26191 | -0.68191 |
53 | 99.5 | 99.0839 | 99.1596 | -0.0756736 | 0.41609 |
54 | 99.52 | 98.9132 | 99.0063 | -0.0930069 | 0.606757 |
55 | 99.1 | 97.7173 | 98.8908 | -1.17351 | 1.38267 |
56 | 99.12 | 97.9624 | 98.7958 | -0.833424 | 1.15759 |
57 | 99 | 98.7796 | 98.7379 | 0.0416597 | 0.220424 |
58 | 98.66 | 98.592 | 98.7504 | -0.158424 | 0.0680069 |
59 | 98.3 | 98.5887 | 98.7825 | -0.19384 | -0.28866 |
60 | 98.18 | 98.5322 | 98.7954 | -0.263257 | -0.35216 |
61 | 97.95 | 99.4057 | 98.8304 | 0.575243 | -1.45566 |
62 | 97.84 | 99.7415 | 98.8887 | 0.852743 | -1.90149 |
63 | 98.61 | 100.015 | 98.9554 | 1.05958 | -1.40499 |
64 | 99.54 | 99.319 | 99.0571 | 0.26191 | 0.221007 |
65 | 99.64 | 99.1368 | 99.2125 | -0.0756736 | 0.503174 |
66 | 99.69 | 99.3003 | 99.3933 | -0.0930069 | 0.389674 |
67 | 99.77 | NA | NA | -1.17351 | NA |
68 | 99.85 | NA | NA | -0.833424 | NA |
69 | 99.87 | NA | NA | 0.0416597 | NA |
70 | 100.23 | NA | NA | -0.158424 | NA |
71 | 100.46 | NA | NA | -0.19384 | NA |
72 | 100.36 | NA | NA | -0.263257 | NA |