Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999933893038648
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
297.6395.771.86
3100.8797.62987704105193.24012295894812
4100.39100.869785805317-0.479785805316794
598.62100.390031717182-1.77003171718168
697.4298.6201170114183-1.20011701141833
795.6297.4200793360889-1.80007933608888
897.2295.62011899777511.59988100222489
997.5697.21989423672840.340105763271595
1097.0697.5599775166415-0.499977516641451
1197.6897.06003305199440.619966948005626
1298.1897.67995901586890.500040984131061
1398.5498.179966943810.360033056190005
1498.2498.5399761993087-0.299976199308674
1598.198.240019830515-0.140019830515016
1696.3298.1000092562855-1.78000925628552
1796.1596.3201176710031-0.170117671003098
1896.6796.15001124596230.519988754037684
1994.796.6699656251235-1.96996562512354
2093.9494.7001302284415-0.760130228441454
2196.6993.94005024989962.74994975010037
2296.5496.6898182091782-0.14981820917815
2395.9496.5400099040266-0.600009904026578
2495.695.9400396648315-0.340039664831551
2599.1595.6000224789893.54997752101103
26100.3399.14976532177321.18023467822677
2799.86100.329921978272-0.469921978271728
2896.0999.8600310651141-3.77003106511405
2994.4296.0902492252979-1.67024922529792
3093.8594.420110415101-0.570110415100984
3193.7393.8500376882672-0.120037688267175
3294.6393.73000793532680.899992064673171
3395.5494.62994050425940.910059495740654
3495.4895.5399398387321-0.0599398387320917
3595.8495.48000396244060.359996037559398
3696.2995.83997620175590.450023798244146
3797.6396.28997025029421.34002974970583
3898.897.62991141470511.17008858529488
3999.8498.79992264899911.04007735100089
40100.7399.83993124364680.890068756353244
41100.44100.729941160259-0.289941160259133
42100.54100.4400191671290.0999808328709264
43100.25100.539993390571-0.289993390570956
44100.29100.2500191705820.0399808294181412
45100.7100.2899973569890.41000264301114
46100.62100.699972895971-0.0799728959711246
47100.43100.620005286765-0.190005286765128
4899.73100.430012560672-0.70001256067215
4999.1799.7300462757033-0.5600462757033
5098.999.1700370229575-0.27003702295751
5198.9498.9000178513270.0399821486729621
5298.9198.9399973569016-0.0299973569016316
5399.598.91000198303410.589998016965893
5499.5299.49996099702390.0200390029761053
5599.199.5199986752824-0.4199986752824
5699.1299.10002776483620.0199722351638201
579999.1199986796962-0.119998679696224
5898.6699.0000079327481-0.34000793274808
5998.398.6600224768913-0.360022476891274
6098.1898.300023799992-0.120023799991969
6197.9598.1800079344087-0.230007934408718
6297.8497.9500152051256-0.110015205125634
6398.6197.84000727277090.769992727229081
6499.5498.60994909812050.930050901879468
6599.6499.5399385171610.100061482839024
6699.6999.63999338523940.0500066147605764
6799.7799.68999669421470.0800033057853398
6899.8599.76999471122450.0800052887754532
6999.8799.84999471109350.0200052889065461
70100.2399.86999867751110.36000132248887
71100.46100.2299762014070.230023798593493
72100.36100.459984793826-0.0999847938256408


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73100.36000660969198.2146165920672102.505396627315
74100.36000660969197.3260672341015103.39394598528
75100.36000660969196.6442458609633104.075767358418
76100.36000660969196.0694393105081104.650573908874
77100.36000660969195.563022395015105.156990824367
78100.36000660969195.1051852651652105.614827954217
79100.36000660969194.6841597856553106.035853433727
80100.36000660969194.2922782887336106.427734930648
81100.36000660969193.9242147560042106.795798463378
82100.36000660969193.5760913249152107.143921894467
83100.36000660969193.2449805100869107.475032709295
84100.36000660969192.9286079388431107.791405280539