| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1261 | 0 | 127 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 2850 | 2860.64729069893 | 308.654166158166 | 2530.6985431429 | 10.6472906989311 |
| 2 | 2360 | 1838.15641572739 | 212.012832241444 | 2669.83075203117 | -521.843584272612 |
| 3 | 2880 | 3058.39289688347 | -107.355857802899 | 2808.96296091943 | 178.392896883466 |
| 4 | 3000 | 3118.84283162833 | -63.7371820129721 | 2944.89435038464 | 118.842831628331 |
| 5 | 3120 | 3318.38375678755 | -159.209496637403 | 3080.82573984985 | 198.383756787553 |
| 6 | 2910 | 2956.72857097581 | -351.599144324901 | 3214.87057334909 | 46.7285709758098 |
| 7 | 3380 | 3458.71573015123 | -47.6311369995614 | 3348.91540684833 | 78.7157301512279 |
| 8 | 3730 | 3850.30065761483 | 128.63216589353 | 3481.06717649164 | 120.300657614833 |
| 9 | 2960 | 2524.88543028755 | -218.104376422488 | 3613.21894613494 | -435.114569712453 |
| 10 | 4070 | 4388.80190670077 | 22.1461857844936 | 3729.05190751474 | 318.801906700769 |
| 11 | 4660 | 5027.71816538958 | 447.396965715892 | 3844.88486889453 | 367.718165389575 |
| 12 | 3880 | 3973.91365466669 | -171.205214400326 | 3957.29155973364 | 93.9136546666878 |
| 13 | 4190 | 4001.64758326909 | 308.654166158166 | 4069.69825057274 | -188.352416730911 |
| 14 | 4140 | 3895.77017752007 | 212.012832241444 | 4172.21699023849 | -244.22982247993 |
| 15 | 4060 | 3952.62012789867 | -107.355857802899 | 4274.73572990423 | -107.379872101328 |
| 16 | 4250 | 4214.34782561386 | -63.7371820129721 | 4349.38935639911 | -35.6521743861394 |
| 17 | 4380 | 4495.16651374341 | -159.209496637403 | 4424.042982894 | 115.166513743406 |
| 18 | 4780 | 5448.50550956341 | -351.599144324901 | 4463.09363476149 | 668.505509563408 |
| 19 | 4460 | 4465.48685037057 | -47.6311369995614 | 4502.14428662899 | 5.48685037057112 |
| 20 | 4820 | 5003.32498654965 | 128.63216589353 | 4508.04284755682 | 183.324986549647 |
| 21 | 4580 | 4864.16296793783 | -218.104376422488 | 4513.94140848466 | 284.162967937832 |
| 22 | 4630 | 4743.76863055276 | 22.1461857844936 | 4494.08518366274 | 113.768630552762 |
| 23 | 5030 | 5138.37407544328 | 447.396965715892 | 4474.22895884083 | 108.374075443277 |
| 24 | 4370 | 4460.83330189853 | -171.205214400326 | 4450.3719125018 | 90.8333018985304 |
| 25 | 4240 | 3744.83096767907 | 308.654166158166 | 4426.51486616276 | -495.169032320927 |
| 26 | 4220 | 3816.61428192147 | 212.012832241444 | 4411.37288583708 | -403.385718078525 |
| 27 | 4070 | 3851.1249522915 | -107.355857802899 | 4396.2309055114 | -218.875047708504 |
| 28 | 4290 | 4255.84145890223 | -63.7371820129721 | 4387.89572311075 | -34.1585410977741 |
| 29 | 4340 | 4459.64895592731 | -159.209496637403 | 4379.56054071009 | 119.648955927313 |
| 30 | 4250 | 4488.87338474466 | -351.599144324901 | 4362.72575958024 | 238.873384744659 |
| 31 | 4520 | 4741.74015854917 | -47.6311369995614 | 4345.89097845039 | 221.740158549166 |
| 32 | 4680 | 4935.93223944337 | 128.63216589353 | 4295.4355946631 | 255.932239443372 |
| 33 | 4200 | 4373.12416554669 | -218.104376422488 | 4244.9802108758 | 173.124165546687 |
| 34 | 4490 | 4800.40319424022 | 22.1461857844936 | 4157.45061997528 | 310.403194240223 |
| 35 | 4840 | 5162.68200520934 | 447.396965715892 | 4069.92102907476 | 322.682005209344 |
| 36 | 3840 | 3871.92176876813 | -171.205214400326 | 3979.2834456322 | 31.9217687681312 |
| 37 | 3940 | 3682.69997165221 | 308.654166158166 | 3888.64586218963 | -257.300028347793 |
| 38 | 3510 | 2968.21998989047 | 212.012832241444 | 3839.76717786808 | -541.780010109526 |
| 39 | 3240 | 2796.46736425636 | -107.355857802899 | 3790.88849354654 | -443.532635743639 |
| 40 | 3410 | 3050.50921569848 | -63.7371820129721 | 3833.22796631449 | -359.490784301519 |
| 41 | 3290 | 2863.64205755496 | -159.209496637403 | 3875.56743908244 | -426.357942445041 |
| 42 | 3190 | 2689.70696938826 | -351.599144324901 | 4041.89217493664 | -500.293030611739 |
| 43 | 3790 | 3419.41422620872 | -47.6311369995614 | 4208.21691079084 | -370.585773791275 |
| 44 | 4090 | 3576.30362875191 | 128.63216589353 | 4475.06420535456 | -513.696371248086 |
| 45 | 4180 | 3836.19287650421 | -218.104376422488 | 4741.91149991827 | -343.807123495786 |
| 46 | 5020 | 5003.93547775038 | 22.1461857844936 | 5013.91833646513 | -16.0645222496196 |
| 47 | 5910 | 6086.67786127213 | 447.396965715892 | 5285.92517301198 | 176.67786127213 |
| 48 | 5850 | 6381.37636146967 | -171.205214400326 | 5489.82885293066 | 531.376361469667 |
| 49 | 6660 | 7317.61330099249 | 308.654166158166 | 5693.73253284934 | 657.613300992492 |
| 50 | 6950 | 7892.21721460233 | 212.012832241444 | 5795.76995315623 | 942.217214602328 |
| 51 | 6850 | 7909.54848433978 | -107.355857802899 | 5897.80737346312 | 1059.54848433978 |
| 52 | 6360 | 6898.78472635081 | -63.7371820129721 | 5884.95245566216 | 538.784726350812 |
| 53 | 5600 | 5487.1119587762 | -159.209496637403 | 5872.0975378612 | -112.888041223802 |
| 54 | 5290 | 5185.28173931138 | -351.599144324901 | 5746.31740501352 | -104.718260688619 |
| 55 | 5630 | 5687.09386483372 | -47.6311369995614 | 5620.53727216584 | 57.0938648337242 |
| 56 | 5410 | 5272.85631924007 | 128.63216589353 | 5418.5115148664 | -137.143680759934 |
| 57 | 5020 | 5041.61861885552 | -218.104376422488 | 5216.48575756697 | 21.6186188555166 |
| 58 | 5070 | 5112.79847107568 | 22.1461857844936 | 5005.05534313982 | 42.7984710756846 |
| 59 | 5370 | 5498.97810557143 | 447.396965715892 | 4793.62492871267 | 128.978105571435 |
| 60 | 4860 | 5284.74197511442 | -171.205214400326 | 4606.46323928591 | 424.741975114421 |
| 61 | 4440 | 4152.0442839827 | 308.654166158166 | 4419.30154985914 | -287.955716017304 |
| 62 | 4220 | 3983.96848261465 | 212.012832241444 | 4244.0186851439 | -236.031517385349 |
| 63 | 3720 | 3478.62003737423 | -107.355857802899 | 4068.73582042867 | -241.379962625773 |
| 64 | 3650 | 3457.59239705758 | -63.7371820129721 | 3906.1447849554 | -192.407602942423 |
| 65 | 3650 | 3715.65574715528 | -159.209496637403 | 3743.55374948212 | 65.6557471552842 |
| 66 | 3040 | 2815.55114524551 | -351.599144324901 | 3616.0479990794 | -224.448854754494 |
| 67 | 3530 | 3619.08888832289 | -47.6311369995614 | 3488.54224867667 | 89.0888883228895 |
| 68 | 3520 | 3505.33467751113 | 128.63216589353 | 3406.03315659534 | -14.6653224888719 |
| 69 | 3030 | 2954.58031190848 | -218.104376422488 | 3323.52406451401 | -75.4196880915242 |
| 70 | 2920 | 2552.24223677871 | 22.1461857844936 | 3265.6115774368 | -367.757763221291 |
| 71 | 3530 | 3404.90394392453 | 447.396965715892 | 3207.69909035958 | -125.096056075475 |
| 72 | 2920 | 2844.91580405469 | -171.205214400326 | 3166.28941034563 | -75.0841959453082 |
| 73 | 3520 | 3606.46610351015 | 308.654166158166 | 3124.87973033169 | 86.4661035101471 |
| 74 | 3380 | 3447.70969094031 | 212.012832241444 | 3100.27747681825 | 67.7096909403072 |
| 75 | 2920 | 2871.68063449809 | -107.355857802899 | 3075.67522330481 | -48.3193655019122 |
| 76 | 3000 | 3017.2937110631 | -63.7371820129721 | 3046.44347094987 | 17.2937110631001 |
| 77 | 2860 | 2861.99777804247 | -159.209496637403 | 3017.21171859493 | 1.99777804247015 |
| 78 | 2760 | 2902.72052513375 | -351.599144324901 | 2968.87861919115 | 142.720525133754 |
| 79 | 2810 | 2747.0856172122 | -47.6311369995614 | 2920.54551978736 | -62.9143827878015 |
| 80 | 3400 | 3807.033759168 | 128.63216589353 | 2864.33407493847 | 407.033759167997 |
| 81 | 2730 | 2869.98174633291 | -218.104376422488 | 2808.12263008958 | 139.981746332905 |
| 82 | 2670 | 2561.37414950665 | 22.1461857844936 | 2756.47966470885 | -108.625850493347 |
| 83 | 2900 | 2647.76633495598 | 447.396965715892 | 2704.83669932812 | -252.233665044016 |
| 84 | 2240 | 1998.70396678825 | -171.205214400326 | 2652.50124761207 | -241.296033211746 |
| 85 | 2920 | 2931.18003794581 | 308.654166158166 | 2600.16579589602 | 11.1800379458118 |
| 86 | 2650 | 2522.80293147863 | 212.012832241444 | 2565.18423627992 | -127.197068521366 |
| 87 | 2370 | 2317.15318113908 | -107.355857802899 | 2530.20267666382 | -52.8468188609245 |
| 88 | 2560 | 2655.18063234626 | -63.7371820129721 | 2528.55654966671 | 95.1806323462579 |
| 89 | 2430 | 2492.2990739678 | -159.209496637403 | 2526.9104226696 | 62.299073967798 |
| 90 | 1930 | 1655.46359192022 | -351.599144324901 | 2556.13555240468 | -274.536408079775 |
| 91 | 2360 | 2182.27045485981 | -47.6311369995614 | 2585.36068213975 | -177.729545140187 |
| 92 | 2470 | 2179.47865998778 | 128.63216589353 | 2631.88917411869 | -290.521340012217 |
| 93 | 2720 | 2979.68671032486 | -218.104376422488 | 2678.41766609763 | 259.686710324863 |
| 94 | 2750 | 2739.52656773802 | 22.1461857844936 | 2738.32724647748 | -10.4734322619784 |
| 95 | 3010 | 2774.36620742676 | 447.396965715892 | 2798.23682685734 | -235.633792573236 |
| 96 | 2610 | 2522.48064351179 | -171.205214400326 | 2868.72457088853 | -87.5193564882084 |
| 97 | 3440 | 3632.13351892211 | 308.654166158166 | 2939.21231491973 | 192.133518922108 |
| 98 | 3540 | 3848.6719743817 | 212.012832241444 | 3019.31519337686 | 308.671974381696 |
| 99 | 2790 | 2587.9377859689 | -107.355857802899 | 3099.41807183399 | -202.062214031096 |
| 100 | 3060 | 2996.92704771307 | -63.7371820129721 | 3186.8101342999 | -63.0729522869269 |
| 101 | 3050 | 2985.0072998716 | -159.209496637403 | 3274.2021967658 | -64.9927001284004 |
| 102 | 3000 | 2969.99452175882 | -351.599144324901 | 3381.60462256609 | -30.0054782411844 |
| 103 | 3200 | 2958.62408863319 | -47.6311369995614 | 3489.00704836637 | -241.375911366807 |
| 104 | 3530 | 3304.93856699837 | 128.63216589353 | 3626.4292671081 | -225.061433001634 |
| 105 | 3640 | 3734.25289057265 | -218.104376422488 | 3763.85148584984 | 94.2528905726494 |
| 106 | 3830 | 3724.32120533001 | 22.1461857844936 | 3913.53260888549 | -105.678794669986 |
| 107 | 4460 | 4409.38930236296 | 447.396965715892 | 4063.21373192115 | -50.6106976370384 |
| 108 | 3420 | 2805.06606373616 | -171.205214400326 | 4206.13915066416 | -614.933936263838 |
| 109 | 5180 | 5702.28126443465 | 308.654166158166 | 4349.06456940718 | 522.28126443465 |
| 110 | 5310 | 5932.42063271707 | 212.012832241444 | 4475.56653504149 | 622.420632717068 |
| 111 | 4870 | 5245.28735712711 | -107.355857802899 | 4602.06850067579 | 375.287357127106 |
| 112 | 4550 | 4474.5048716187 | -63.7371820129721 | 4689.23231039427 | -75.4951283812998 |
| 113 | 4510 | 4402.81337652465 | -159.209496637403 | 4776.39612011275 | -107.186623475348 |
| 114 | 4380 | 4289.76561585536 | -351.599144324901 | 4821.83352846955 | -90.2343841446445 |
| 115 | 5260 | 5700.36020017322 | -47.6311369995614 | 4867.27093682634 | 440.360200173221 |
| 116 | 5270 | 5522.13376715874 | 128.63216589353 | 4889.23406694773 | 252.133767158738 |
| 117 | 4610 | 4526.90717935336 | -218.104376422488 | 4911.19719706912 | -83.0928206466351 |
| 118 | 4840 | 4703.11317451091 | 22.1461857844936 | 4954.7406397046 | -136.886825489092 |
| 119 | 5050 | 4654.31895194403 | 447.396965715892 | 4998.28408234007 | -395.681048055966 |
| 120 | 4760 | 4647.02103522686 | -171.205214400326 | 5044.18417917346 | -112.978964773138 |
| 121 | 5210 | 5021.26155783498 | 308.654166158166 | 5090.08427600685 | -188.73844216502 |
| 122 | 5540 | 5730.73951157744 | 212.012832241444 | 5137.24765618111 | 190.739511577443 |
| 123 | 4830 | 4582.94482144753 | -107.355857802899 | 5184.41103635537 | -247.055178552471 |
| 124 | 5210 | 5248.91800728624 | -63.7371820129721 | 5234.81917472674 | 38.9180072862364 |
| 125 | 5320 | 5513.9821835393 | -159.209496637403 | 5285.2273130981 | 193.982183539301 |
| 126 | 5150 | 5312.68567931498 | -351.599144324901 | 5338.91346500992 | 162.685679314977 |
