Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2755 | NA | NA | -18.1034 | NA |
2 | 2765 | NA | NA | -150.557 | NA |
3 | 3000 | NA | NA | 344.073 | NA |
4 | 2890 | NA | NA | -1.43673 | NA |
5 | 2940 | NA | NA | 181.248 | NA |
6 | 3290 | NA | NA | -65.8117 | NA |
7 | 2815 | 2730.61 | 2916.04 | -185.43 | 84.3881 |
8 | 3035 | 3166.03 | 2939.58 | 226.445 | -131.029 |
9 | 3070 | 2968.17 | 2967.5 | 0.674383 | 101.826 |
10 | 3040 | 3083.65 | 3004.37 | 79.2785 | -43.6535 |
11 | 2685 | 2960.47 | 3033.96 | -73.4923 | -275.466 |
12 | 2540 | 2707.9 | 3044.79 | -336.888 | -167.904 |
13 | 3090 | 3025.44 | 3043.54 | -18.1034 | 64.5617 |
14 | 2995 | 2899.86 | 3050.42 | -150.557 | 95.1404 |
15 | 3440 | 3414.49 | 3070.42 | 344.073 | 25.5108 |
16 | 3335 | 3090.85 | 3092.29 | -1.43673 | 244.145 |
17 | 3205 | 3317.5 | 3136.25 | 181.248 | -112.498 |
18 | 3285 | 3131.48 | 3197.29 | -65.8117 | 153.52 |
19 | 2790 | 3054.57 | 3240 | -185.43 | -264.57 |
20 | 3225 | 3503.74 | 3277.29 | 226.445 | -278.737 |
21 | 3360 | 3316.09 | 3315.42 | 0.674383 | 43.909 |
22 | 3275 | 3422.61 | 3343.33 | 79.2785 | -147.612 |
23 | 3505 | 3299.84 | 3373.33 | -73.4923 | 205.159 |
24 | 3185 | 3066.45 | 3403.33 | -336.888 | 118.555 |
25 | 3470 | 3411.06 | 3429.17 | -18.1034 | 58.9367 |
26 | 3510 | 3299.65 | 3450.21 | -150.557 | 210.349 |
27 | 3840 | 3796.36 | 3452.29 | 344.073 | 43.6358 |
28 | 3605 | 3454.19 | 3455.62 | -1.43673 | 150.812 |
29 | 3655 | 3633.75 | 3452.5 | 181.248 | 21.2515 |
30 | 3555 | 3373.15 | 3438.96 | -65.8117 | 181.853 |
31 | 3140 | 3242.28 | 3427.71 | -185.43 | -102.279 |
32 | 3380 | 3633.53 | 3407.08 | 226.445 | -253.529 |
33 | 3255 | 3366.51 | 3365.83 | 0.674383 | -111.508 |
34 | 3460 | 3392.82 | 3313.54 | 79.2785 | 67.1798 |
35 | 3245 | 3202.13 | 3275.62 | -73.4923 | 42.8673 |
36 | 3120 | 2898.74 | 3235.62 | -336.888 | 221.263 |
37 | 3265 | 3171.06 | 3189.17 | -18.1034 | 93.9367 |
38 | 3220 | 2992.98 | 3143.54 | -150.557 | 227.015 |
39 | 3140 | 3445.95 | 3101.88 | 344.073 | -305.948 |
40 | 3050 | 3061.69 | 3063.12 | -1.43673 | -11.6883 |
41 | 3300 | 3203.96 | 3022.71 | 181.248 | 96.0432 |
42 | 2950 | 2916.48 | 2982.29 | -65.8117 | 33.5201 |
43 | 2630 | 2830.61 | 3016.04 | -185.43 | -200.612 |
44 | 2795 | 3339.78 | 3113.33 | 226.445 | -544.779 |
45 | 2840 | 3202.13 | 3201.46 | 0.674383 | -362.133 |
46 | 2945 | 3378.86 | 3299.58 | 79.2785 | -433.862 |
47 | 2790 | 3327.13 | 3400.62 | -73.4923 | -537.133 |
48 | 2605 | 3152.7 | 3489.58 | -336.888 | -547.695 |
49 | 4590 | 3572.73 | 3590.83 | -18.1034 | 1017.27 |
50 | 4230 | 3530.9 | 3681.46 | -150.557 | 699.099 |
51 | 4245 | 4119.49 | 3775.42 | 344.073 | 125.511 |
52 | 4300 | 3863.77 | 3865.21 | -1.43673 | 436.228 |
53 | 4475 | 4116.46 | 3935.21 | 181.248 | 358.543 |
54 | 3910 | 3960.44 | 4026.25 | -65.8117 | -50.4383 |
55 | 4100 | 3833.74 | 4019.17 | -185.43 | 266.263 |
56 | 3500 | 4180.4 | 3953.96 | 226.445 | -680.404 |
57 | 4390 | 3976.3 | 3975.62 | 0.674383 | 413.701 |
58 | 3550 | 4090.53 | 4011.25 | 79.2785 | -540.529 |
59 | 3865 | 3922.55 | 3996.04 | -73.4923 | -57.5494 |
60 | 3715 | 3659.99 | 3996.88 | -336.888 | 55.0131 |
61 | 3310 | 4007.73 | 4025.83 | -18.1034 | -697.73 |
62 | 3945 | 3945.07 | 4095.63 | -150.557 | -0.0679012 |
63 | 5050 | 4509.49 | 4165.42 | 344.073 | 540.511 |
64 | 4350 | 4227.1 | 4228.54 | -1.43673 | 122.895 |
65 | 4060 | 4500 | 4318.75 | 181.248 | -439.998 |
66 | 4345 | 4311.9 | 4377.71 | -65.8117 | 33.1034 |
67 | 4360 | 4241.03 | 4426.46 | -185.43 | 118.971 |
68 | 4915 | 4675.4 | 4448.96 | 226.445 | 239.596 |
69 | 4650 | 4463.8 | 4463.13 | 0.674383 | 186.201 |
70 | 4805 | 4584.49 | 4505.21 | 79.2785 | 220.513 |
71 | 4775 | 4515.88 | 4589.38 | -73.4923 | 259.117 |
72 | 4220 | 4309.15 | 4646.04 | -336.888 | -89.1535 |
73 | 3975 | 4595.44 | 4613.54 | -18.1034 | -620.438 |
74 | 3820 | 4463.4 | 4613.96 | -150.557 | -643.401 |
75 | 5515 | 5000.74 | 4656.67 | 344.073 | 514.261 |
76 | 4895 | 4672.73 | 4674.17 | -1.43673 | 222.27 |
77 | 5535 | 4841.04 | 4659.79 | 181.248 | 693.96 |
78 | 4230 | 4584.4 | 4650.21 | -65.8117 | -354.397 |
79 | 3695 | 4494.36 | 4679.79 | -185.43 | -799.362 |
80 | 5590 | 4938.53 | 4712.08 | 226.445 | 651.471 |
81 | 5000 | 4693.38 | 4692.71 | 0.674383 | 306.617 |
82 | 4875 | 4708.24 | 4628.96 | 79.2785 | 166.763 |
83 | 4360 | 4492.97 | 4566.46 | -73.4923 | -132.966 |
84 | 4405 | 4195.82 | 4532.71 | -336.888 | 209.18 |
85 | 4500 | 4513.98 | 4532.08 | -18.1034 | -13.9799 |
86 | 4070 | 4364.03 | 4514.58 | -150.557 | -294.026 |
87 | 4800 | 4797.41 | 4453.33 | 344.073 | 2.59414 |
88 | 4080 | 4401.27 | 4402.71 | -1.43673 | -321.272 |
89 | 4850 | 4583.96 | 4402.71 | 181.248 | 266.043 |
90 | 4105 | 4327.31 | 4393.12 | -65.8117 | -222.313 |
91 | 3805 | 4170.82 | 4356.25 | -185.43 | -365.82 |
92 | 5060 | 4562.28 | 4335.83 | 226.445 | 497.721 |
93 | 4060 | 4315.26 | 4314.58 | 0.674383 | -255.258 |
94 | 4600 | 4361.36 | 4282.08 | 79.2785 | 238.638 |
95 | 4635 | 4156.09 | 4229.58 | -73.4923 | 478.909 |
96 | 3900 | 3874.57 | 4211.46 | -336.888 | 25.4298 |
97 | 4120 | 4267.52 | 4285.63 | -18.1034 | -147.522 |
98 | 3960 | 4188.19 | 4338.75 | -150.557 | -228.193 |
99 | 4400 | 4663.24 | 4319.17 | 344.073 | -263.239 |
100 | 3700 | 4288.15 | 4289.58 | -1.43673 | -588.147 |
101 | 3970 | 4417.29 | 4236.04 | 181.248 | -447.29 |
102 | 4550 | 4106.48 | 4172.29 | -65.8117 | 443.52 |
103 | 5140 | 3959.15 | 4144.58 | -185.43 | 1180.85 |
104 | 5000 | 4344.78 | 4118.33 | 226.445 | 655.221 |
105 | 3650 | 4051.72 | 4051.04 | 0.674383 | -401.716 |
106 | 4300 | 4071.36 | 3992.08 | 79.2785 | 228.638 |
107 | 3650 | 3882.55 | 3956.04 | -73.4923 | -232.549 |
108 | 3355 | 3549.78 | 3886.67 | -336.888 | -194.779 |
109 | 4000 | 3761.48 | 3779.58 | -18.1034 | 238.52 |
110 | 3450 | 3522.36 | 3672.92 | -150.557 | -72.3596 |
111 | 3295 | 3984.28 | 3640.21 | 344.073 | -689.281 |
112 | 3390 | 3651.69 | 3653.12 | -1.43673 | -261.688 |
113 | 3415 | 3857.5 | 3676.25 | 181.248 | -442.498 |
114 | 3440 | 3664.81 | 3730.62 | -65.8117 | -224.813 |
115 | 3680 | 3604.99 | 3790.42 | -185.43 | 75.0131 |
116 | 3900 | 4062.7 | 3836.25 | 226.445 | -162.695 |
117 | 3965 | 3893.8 | 3893.12 | 0.674383 | 71.2006 |
118 | 4295 | 4058.24 | 3978.96 | 79.2785 | 236.763 |
119 | 4210 | 3967.55 | 4041.04 | -73.4923 | 242.451 |
120 | 4100 | 3737.07 | 4073.96 | -336.888 | 362.93 |
121 | 4690 | NA | NA | -18.1034 | NA |
122 | 3860 | NA | NA | -150.557 | NA |
123 | 4250 | NA | NA | 344.073 | NA |
124 | 4495 | NA | NA | -1.43673 | NA |
125 | 3800 | NA | NA | 181.248 | NA |
126 | 3845 | NA | NA | -65.8117 | NA |