| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1261 | 0 | 127 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 2755 | 2657.70988470878 | 33.7921722257367 | 2818.49794306548 | -97.2901152912182 |
| 2 | 2765 | 2847.30884474341 | -154.753947182354 | 2837.44510243894 | 82.3088447434088 |
| 3 | 3000 | 2842.36226906876 | 301.245469118833 | 2856.39226181241 | -157.637730931241 |
| 4 | 2890 | 2879.87003483433 | 25.7020840244615 | 2874.42788114121 | -10.1299651656695 |
| 5 | 2940 | 2873.74078150326 | 113.795718026736 | 2892.46350047001 | -66.2592184967448 |
| 6 | 3290 | 3722.21338154417 | -53.327899863865 | 2911.1145183197 | 432.213381544165 |
| 7 | 2815 | 2885.62204545803 | -185.387581627424 | 2929.76553616939 | 70.6220454580348 |
| 8 | 3035 | 2891.09293016496 | 228.465658503057 | 2950.44141133198 | -143.907069835035 |
| 9 | 3070 | 3167.0639005311 | 1.81881297433507 | 2971.11728649457 | 97.0639005310973 |
| 10 | 3040 | 3003.31478083809 | 84.987262307603 | 2991.69795685431 | -36.6852191619123 |
| 11 | 2685 | 2422.56542546217 | -64.8440526762199 | 3012.27862721405 | -262.434574537831 |
| 12 | 2540 | 2383.46917543941 | -331.493738125581 | 3028.02456268617 | -156.530824560591 |
| 13 | 3090 | 3102.43732961597 | 33.7921722257367 | 3043.77049815829 | 12.4373296159697 |
| 14 | 2995 | 3081.92371462382 | -154.753947182354 | 3062.83023255853 | 86.923714623822 |
| 15 | 3440 | 3496.8645639224 | 301.245469118833 | 3081.88996695877 | 56.8645639223973 |
| 16 | 3335 | 3530.31007045894 | 25.7020840244615 | 3113.9878455166 | 195.310070458941 |
| 17 | 3205 | 3150.11855789884 | 113.795718026736 | 3146.08572407443 | -54.8814421011625 |
| 18 | 3285 | 3436.73964958092 | -53.327899863865 | 3186.58825028295 | 151.739649580918 |
| 19 | 2790 | 2538.29680513596 | -185.387581627424 | 3227.09077649147 | -251.703194864043 |
| 20 | 3225 | 2956.80162519618 | 228.465658503057 | 3264.73271630077 | -268.198374803824 |
| 21 | 3360 | 3415.8065309156 | 1.81881297433507 | 3302.37465611007 | 55.8065309155968 |
| 22 | 3275 | 3125.94467883217 | 84.987262307603 | 3339.06805886023 | -149.055321167833 |
| 23 | 3505 | 3699.08259106583 | -64.8440526762199 | 3375.76146161039 | 194.082591065829 |
| 24 | 3185 | 3293.47508639733 | -331.493738125581 | 3408.01865172825 | 108.475086397327 |
| 25 | 3470 | 3465.93198592814 | 33.7921722257367 | 3440.27584184612 | -4.06801407185503 |
| 26 | 3510 | 3720.46807760729 | -154.753947182354 | 3454.28586957507 | 210.468077607286 |
| 27 | 3840 | 3910.45863357715 | 301.245469118833 | 3468.29589730402 | 70.4586335771501 |
| 28 | 3605 | 3722.75609216782 | 25.7020840244615 | 3461.54182380772 | 117.75609216782 |
| 29 | 3655 | 3741.41653166184 | 113.795718026736 | 3454.78775031142 | 86.4165316618446 |
| 30 | 3555 | 3726.7378088797 | -53.327899863865 | 3436.59009098416 | 171.7378088797 |
| 31 | 3140 | 3046.99514997051 | -185.387581627424 | 3418.39243165691 | -93.0048500294856 |
| 32 | 3380 | 3143.85776040498 | 228.465658503057 | 3387.67658109196 | -236.142239595015 |
| 33 | 3255 | 3151.22045649866 | 1.81881297433507 | 3356.96073052701 | -103.779543501343 |
| 34 | 3460 | 3517.05602207698 | 84.987262307603 | 3317.95671561542 | 57.0560220769789 |
| 35 | 3245 | 3275.89135197239 | -64.8440526762199 | 3278.95270070383 | 30.891351972391 |
| 36 | 3120 | 3333.071328249 | -331.493738125581 | 3238.42240987658 | 213.071328248996 |
| 37 | 3265 | 3298.31570872492 | 33.7921722257367 | 3197.89211904934 | 33.3157087249224 |
| 38 | 3220 | 3440.77859022906 | -154.753947182354 | 3153.9753569533 | 220.778590229058 |
| 39 | 3140 | 2868.69593602392 | 301.245469118833 | 3110.05859485725 | -271.304063976083 |
| 40 | 3050 | 3009.28802103988 | 25.7020840244615 | 3065.00989493566 | -40.7119789601188 |
| 41 | 3300 | 3466.2430869592 | 113.795718026736 | 3019.96119501406 | 166.243086959199 |
| 42 | 2950 | 2934.692849201 | -53.327899863865 | 3018.63505066287 | -15.307150799003 |
| 43 | 2630 | 2428.07867531575 | -185.387581627424 | 3017.30890631167 | -201.921324684247 |
| 44 | 2795 | 2277.13070590988 | 228.465658503057 | 3084.40363558706 | -517.869294090118 |
| 45 | 2840 | 2526.68282216321 | 1.81881297433507 | 3151.49836486245 | -313.317177836787 |
| 46 | 2945 | 2543.51743868669 | 84.987262307603 | 3261.49529900571 | -401.482561313309 |
| 47 | 2790 | 2273.35181952726 | -64.8440526762199 | 3371.49223314896 | -516.64818047274 |
| 48 | 2605 | 2051.6037036875 | -331.493738125581 | 3489.89003443808 | -553.396296312496 |
| 49 | 4590 | 5537.91999204707 | 33.7921722257367 | 3608.28783572719 | 947.919992047069 |
| 50 | 4230 | 4897.26530172981 | -154.753947182354 | 3717.48864545254 | 667.265301729809 |
| 51 | 4245 | 4362.06507570327 | 301.245469118833 | 3826.6894551779 | 117.065075703271 |
| 52 | 4300 | 4676.08784827998 | 25.7020840244615 | 3898.21006769556 | 376.087848279981 |
| 53 | 4475 | 4866.47360176004 | 113.795718026736 | 3969.73068021322 | 391.473601760044 |
| 54 | 3910 | 3890.71893651895 | -53.327899863865 | 3982.60896334492 | -19.2810634810503 |
| 55 | 4100 | 4389.90033515081 | -185.387581627424 | 3995.48724647661 | 289.900335150814 |
| 56 | 3500 | 2790.8692586716 | 228.465658503057 | 3980.66508282534 | -709.130741328398 |
| 57 | 4390 | 4812.33826785159 | 1.81881297433507 | 3965.84291917407 | 422.338267851592 |
| 58 | 3550 | 3045.2591491491 | 84.987262307603 | 3969.7535885433 | -504.740850850902 |
| 59 | 3865 | 3821.17979476369 | -64.8440526762199 | 3973.66425791253 | -43.8202052363054 |
| 60 | 3715 | 3756.95260970959 | -331.493738125581 | 4004.54112841599 | 41.9526097095927 |
| 61 | 3310 | 2550.78982885481 | 33.7921722257367 | 4035.41799891945 | -759.210171145189 |
| 62 | 3945 | 3947.71103653558 | -154.753947182354 | 4097.04291064677 | 2.71103653558384 |
| 63 | 5050 | 5640.08670850708 | 301.245469118833 | 4158.66782237409 | 590.086708507079 |
| 64 | 4350 | 4437.59697033872 | 25.7020840244615 | 4236.70094563682 | 87.5969703387173 |
| 65 | 4060 | 3691.47021307371 | 113.795718026736 | 4314.73406889956 | -368.529786926291 |
| 66 | 4345 | 4371.35263034574 | -53.327899863865 | 4371.97526951812 | 26.3526303457447 |
| 67 | 4360 | 4476.17111149074 | -185.387581627424 | 4429.21647013669 | 116.171111490738 |
| 68 | 4915 | 5138.81916529502 | 228.465658503057 | 4462.71517620192 | 223.819165295018 |
| 69 | 4650 | 4801.9673047585 | 1.81881297433507 | 4496.21388226716 | 151.967304758501 |
| 70 | 4805 | 4993.34783239372 | 84.987262307603 | 4531.66490529868 | 188.347832393721 |
| 71 | 4775 | 5047.72812434603 | -64.8440526762199 | 4567.11592833019 | 272.72812434603 |
| 72 | 4220 | 4179.32930626828 | -331.493738125581 | 4592.1644318573 | -40.6706937317222 |
| 73 | 3975 | 3298.99489238985 | 33.7921722257367 | 4617.21293538442 | -676.005107610154 |
| 74 | 3820 | 3166.07734038085 | -154.753947182354 | 4628.6766068015 | -653.922659619148 |
| 75 | 5515 | 6088.61425266258 | 301.245469118833 | 4640.14027821859 | 573.614252662581 |
| 76 | 4895 | 5108.97339371789 | 25.7020840244615 | 4655.32452225765 | 213.973393717893 |
| 77 | 5535 | 6285.69551567656 | 113.795718026736 | 4670.5087662967 | 750.69551567656 |
| 78 | 4230 | 3828.49297468461 | -53.327899863865 | 4684.83492517926 | -401.507025315394 |
| 79 | 3695 | 2876.22649756561 | -185.387581627424 | 4699.16108406181 | -818.77350243439 |
| 80 | 5590 | 6264.9001235556 | 228.465658503057 | 4686.63421794135 | 674.900123555595 |
| 81 | 5000 | 5324.07383520478 | 1.81881297433507 | 4674.10735182088 | 324.073835204784 |
| 82 | 4875 | 5030.58486887113 | 84.987262307603 | 4634.42786882127 | 155.584868871128 |
| 83 | 4360 | 4190.09566685456 | -64.8440526762199 | 4594.74838582166 | -169.904333145438 |
| 84 | 4405 | 4584.32603434946 | -331.493738125581 | 4557.16770377612 | 179.32603434946 |
| 85 | 4500 | 4446.62080604368 | 33.7921722257367 | 4519.58702173058 | -53.3791939563216 |
| 86 | 4070 | 3812.2775966557 | -154.753947182354 | 4482.47635052666 | -257.722403344303 |
| 87 | 4800 | 4853.38885155844 | 301.245469118833 | 4445.36567932273 | 53.3888515584385 |
| 88 | 4080 | 3717.35303998507 | 25.7020840244615 | 4416.94487599046 | -362.646960014926 |
| 89 | 4850 | 5197.68020931506 | 113.795718026736 | 4388.5240726582 | 347.680209315063 |
| 90 | 4105 | 3888.79081794625 | -53.327899863865 | 4374.53708191761 | -216.209182053746 |
| 91 | 3805 | 3434.8374904504 | -185.387581627424 | 4360.55009117702 | -370.162509549596 |
| 92 | 5060 | 5551.04548408192 | 228.465658503057 | 4340.48885741502 | 491.045484081924 |
| 93 | 4060 | 3797.75356337265 | 1.81881297433507 | 4320.42762365302 | -262.246436627352 |
| 94 | 4600 | 4822.65040912146 | 84.987262307603 | 4292.36232857094 | 222.65040912146 |
| 95 | 4635 | 5070.54701918736 | -64.8440526762199 | 4264.29703348886 | 435.547019187362 |
| 96 | 3900 | 3868.25967419913 | -331.493738125581 | 4263.23406392645 | -31.7403258008717 |
| 97 | 4120 | 3944.03673341022 | 33.7921722257367 | 4262.17109436405 | -175.963266589784 |
| 98 | 3960 | 3804.79383252179 | -154.753947182354 | 4269.96011466056 | -155.206167478206 |
| 99 | 4400 | 4221.00539592409 | 301.245469118833 | 4277.74913495707 | -178.994604075905 |
| 100 | 3700 | 3113.99665620188 | 25.7020840244615 | 4260.30125977366 | -586.003343798125 |
| 101 | 3970 | 3583.35089738301 | 113.795718026736 | 4242.85338459026 | -386.649102616992 |
| 102 | 4550 | 4943.19954180965 | -53.327899863865 | 4210.12835805422 | 393.199541809649 |
| 103 | 5140 | 6287.98425010925 | -185.387581627424 | 4177.40333151818 | 1147.98425010925 |
| 104 | 5000 | 5637.6444247127 | 228.465658503057 | 4133.88991678425 | 637.644424712696 |
| 105 | 3650 | 3207.80468497535 | 1.81881297433507 | 4090.37650205032 | -442.19531502465 |
| 106 | 4300 | 4499.32982128453 | 84.987262307603 | 4015.68291640787 | 199.329821284528 |
| 107 | 3650 | 3423.8547219108 | -64.8440526762199 | 3940.98933076542 | -226.145278089202 |
| 108 | 3355 | 3193.92457793279 | -331.493738125581 | 3847.56916019279 | -161.075422067205 |
| 109 | 4000 | 4212.05883815411 | 33.7921722257367 | 3754.14898962015 | 212.058838154112 |
| 110 | 3450 | 3360.33960968611 | -154.753947182354 | 3694.41433749625 | -89.6603903138939 |
| 111 | 3295 | 2654.07484550882 | 301.245469118833 | 3634.67968537234 | -640.925154491177 |
| 112 | 3390 | 3109.71565804735 | 25.7020840244615 | 3644.58225792819 | -280.284341952654 |
| 113 | 3415 | 3061.71945148922 | 113.795718026736 | 3654.48483048404 | -353.280548510779 |
| 114 | 3440 | 3222.69801314348 | -53.327899863865 | 3710.62988672038 | -217.301986856518 |
| 115 | 3680 | 3778.6126386707 | -185.387581627424 | 3766.77494295672 | 98.6126386707019 |
| 116 | 3900 | 3728.39863436426 | 228.465658503057 | 3843.13570713269 | -171.601365635742 |
| 117 | 3965 | 4008.68471571702 | 1.81881297433507 | 3919.49647130865 | 43.6847157170155 |
| 118 | 4295 | 4543.71709766785 | 84.987262307603 | 3961.29564002455 | 248.717097667847 |
| 119 | 4210 | 4481.74924393577 | -64.8440526762199 | 4003.09480874045 | 271.749243935768 |
| 120 | 4100 | 4493.57906318955 | -331.493738125581 | 4037.91467493603 | 393.579063189548 |
| 121 | 4690 | 5273.47328664265 | 33.7921722257367 | 4072.73454113162 | 583.473286642648 |
| 122 | 3860 | 3770.90785139578 | -154.753947182354 | 4103.84609578657 | -89.0921486042157 |
| 123 | 4250 | 4063.79688043964 | 301.245469118833 | 4134.95765044152 | -186.203119560357 |
| 124 | 4495 | 4805.85075631777 | 25.7020840244615 | 4158.44715965777 | 310.850756317767 |
| 125 | 3800 | 3304.26761309925 | 113.795718026736 | 4181.93666887402 | -495.732386900754 |
| 126 | 3845 | 3544.82653653767 | -53.327899863865 | 4198.5013633262 | -300.17346346233 |
