| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2576 | 0.1047 | 0.0558 | -0.8505 |
| (p-val) | (0.0584 ) | (0.3528 ) | (0.5961 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2307 | 0.0944 | 0 | -0.8195 |
| (p-val) | (0.1018 ) | (0.4239 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.1681 | 0 | 0 | -0.7488 |
| (p-val) | (0.2746 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6292 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.75499814459054 |
| 8.61763771835605 |
| 223.298790507443 |
| 6.55460847371788 |
| 71.9173402129208 |
| 390.580520385834 |
| -242.945200556538 |
| 118.585121030331 |
| 86.3869266068343 |
| 28.6617739479075 |
| -328.341065885841 |
| -330.934099912555 |
| 326.607146734288 |
| 57.0334936931043 |
| 503.646480806391 |
| 197.268077407036 |
| 35.3556152445801 |
| 128.328224903599 |
| -412.361818067407 |
| 209.464358319725 |
| 218.701658789039 |
| 56.0576848220721 |
| 286.264741316062 |
| -144.325726420047 |
| 230.735926716778 |
| 164.849270249125 |
| 446.707679644603 |
| 43.9949438924073 |
| 122.452293268831 |
| -16.7188439240384 |
| -410.705440362445 |
| 2.25320482466283 |
| -163.664077402295 |
| 103.470761730651 |
| -171.991642129799 |
| -217.6329072827 |
| 3.06093866600904 |
| -67.0869300449841 |
| -122.666312745008 |
| -168.397508032363 |
| 139.04199852631 |
| -287.923091079724 |
| -476.740455354478 |
| -138.163670726946 |
| -86.1931870527729 |
| 32.8959459291689 |
| -148.022403865859 |
| -269.773444501036 |
| 1814.10787025563 |
| 664.597520986642 |
| 573.152330108166 |
| 481.632884248859 |
| 526.38137844037 |
| -200.288234131268 |
| 135.025161330696 |
| -530.842949077975 |
| 593.402814943804 |
| -545.318039224201 |
| 47.9156061285998 |
| -167.083542498387 |
| -504.886355575216 |
| 325.052788728753 |
| 1241.62473070427 |
| 43.8981239446293 |
| -139.439763719138 |
| 229.350458247749 |
| 138.811926389043 |
| 656.415182134825 |
| 133.186782593074 |
| 299.279677877679 |
| 168.029182767622 |
| -424.142190387353 |
| -469.269532453661 |
| -465.179473238656 |
| 1372.75131159463 |
| 122.884077649907 |
| 836.251539988606 |
| -786.449587051216 |
| -904.454161221395 |
| 1307.72839159718 |
| 70.5713754898152 |
| 27.0378638658849 |
| -473.738821921068 |
| -223.130817079934 |
| -79.6377833510787 |
| -505.602113597422 |
| 423.720105342054 |
| -525.46925334982 |
| 497.602031694622 |
| -501.874453963921 |
| -550.527823795622 |
| 893.224533182918 |
| -542.190290432243 |
| 302.15834130829 |
| 170.454579509783 |
| -613.254592781351 |
| -115.606367891424 |
| -283.550278268208 |
| 254.58904786721 |
| -583.350515304341 |
| -49.0998721594356 |
| 497.840777337949 |
| 865.24900373906 |
| 408.669117843196 |
| -1020.46579234364 |
| 112.889184699521 |
| -674.757318372925 |
| -690.948334980362 |
| 177.242304095892 |
| -525.731481441443 |
| -456.176409413551 |
| -220.507533992577 |
| -156.080066393718 |
| -96.0701123951171 |
| 163.863076357953 |
| 302.343294924668 |
| 254.394655651175 |
| 509.552669250513 |
| 241.05091846461 |
| 84.7808776874172 |
| 671.975018058304 |
| -426.047148392468 |
| 210.539848166533 |
| 337.073604809884 |
| -483.8038482507 |
| -200.403734644513 |
