| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.3175 | 0.0513 | 0.165 | 0.2055 | 0.1709 | 0.1782 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.5002 ) | (0.6584 ) | (0.0921 ) | (0.6639 ) | (0.1484 ) | (0.1456 ) | (0.0119 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1167 | 0.0745 | 0.152 | 0 | 0.1748 | 0.1788 | -0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0.2353 ) | (0.4439 ) | (0.1239 ) | (NA ) | (0.1382 ) | (0.1431 ) | (0.0108 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.1281 | 0 | 0.1467 | 0 | 0.161 | 0.1925 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (0.1915 ) | (NA ) | (0.137 ) | (NA ) | (0.1686 ) | (0.113 ) | (0.0326 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1365 | 0 | 0.1934 | 0.1598 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1688 ) | (NA ) | (0.0895 ) | (0.1791 ) | (0.0088 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1446 | 0 | 0.0987 | 0 | -0.8051 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1552 ) | (NA ) | (0.5434 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1578 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7255 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1125 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7476 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -20.7255792605697 |
| 51.1730083230995 |
| 364.584954309629 |
| 396.563324072351 |
| 443.560523351816 |
| -44.6408477162737 |
| 79.8148182471269 |
| 198.055660824557 |
| 126.841023560082 |
| 218.488009710104 |
| -19.0392656090287 |
| 88.5911378698456 |
| 65.2682360897622 |
| 44.8579293496602 |
| -67.5979344216213 |
| 229.55317954745 |
| 230.940813859739 |
| -46.9302004742101 |
| -157.984268694817 |
| -427.429402856871 |
| -376.276372590741 |
| 350.480307508112 |
| -315.405812226057 |
| 317.174039569544 |
| 377.125686734109 |
| -106.297889098779 |
| -206.985390295338 |
| 314.973420636291 |
| 13.4375086992769 |
| -118.572243688164 |
| 273.21026206406 |
| 232.421530049615 |
| 77.5413025670385 |
| 82.0021738996598 |
| -17.8562608585248 |
| -86.1468827769171 |
| -209.971829705431 |
| -230.300217913333 |
| -322.869855017402 |
| 414.796154022729 |
| -258.980935417113 |
| -1.40561721985836 |
| -115.26061689122 |
| -635.51249349541 |
| 90.8577745286899 |
| -59.9163597942485 |
| 127.125983517245 |
| 287.706910297163 |
| -46.0856744097104 |
| -210.86790477281 |
| -294.884539205336 |
| 496.462598535023 |
| -95.776885205666 |
| 436.550984814557 |
| -28.110827360023 |
| 125.837926523645 |
| 230.861478076635 |
| 138.267986113014 |
| -110.273816889196 |
| 200.660100389585 |
| -382.94131501803 |
| 476.961454220868 |
| -341.305598174038 |
| -247.5642276766 |
| 137.629188374798 |
| -6.50185068553642 |
| 184.356419128732 |
| 185.554691185865 |
| 120.811803580155 |
| -86.3776188142889 |
| 111.994006864084 |
| -6.70128318929939 |
| -165.712809760531 |
| -208.870558761589 |
| -125.769200009303 |
| 6.2507639061747 |
| 105.097142024869 |
| -41.4149059368903 |
| -375.175218500479 |
| 275.165499790399 |
| 158.234598181987 |
| -214.354188779043 |
| 93.9674056507312 |
| 104.091831199731 |
| 137.997046485534 |
| -140.223899331786 |
| -259.50405282694 |
| -72.363837812229 |
| 347.02919379578 |
| 167.465609911943 |
| -64.7331872160749 |
| 117.688476015313 |
| -58.8944643161926 |
| -68.5537161520938 |
| -89.928379544078 |
| -259.36279164381 |
| 91.0829412408438 |
| -325.474442242352 |
| 364.165090490723 |
| -291.76469604537 |
| -113.068008567998 |
| 252.877017936257 |
| 262.461378075562 |
| -110.924111448509 |
| -23.7746770525645 |
| 19.3995423157701 |
| 181.692183966881 |
| 123.861123302996 |
| -61.6834591526375 |
| 133.519085116483 |
| -278.375191728305 |
| 217.757984142686 |
| -493.202800738359 |
| 338.814436106487 |
