Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 3404 | NA | NA | 357.295 | NA |
2 | 3425 | NA | NA | -243.345 | NA |
3 | 3631 | NA | NA | -321.21 | NA |
4 | 4141 | NA | NA | -510.554 | NA |
5 | 3238 | NA | NA | -708.189 | NA |
6 | 5390 | NA | NA | 271.67 | NA |
7 | 1994 | 2866.61 | 3716.54 | -849.929 | -872.613 |
8 | 4343 | 3735.35 | 3712.88 | 22.4774 | 607.648 |
9 | 4424 | 4467.3 | 3739.67 | 727.628 | -43.2951 |
10 | 2762 | 4416.1 | 3702.67 | 713.431 | -1654.1 |
11 | 3504 | 3856.93 | 3614.54 | 242.384 | -352.925 |
12 | 4279 | 3805.97 | 3507.62 | 298.342 | 473.033 |
13 | 3531 | 3817.13 | 3459.83 | 357.295 | -286.128 |
14 | 3210 | 3254.65 | 3498 | -243.345 | -44.6545 |
15 | 4489 | 3219.79 | 3541 | -321.21 | 1269.21 |
16 | 2395 | 3243.24 | 3753.79 | -510.554 | -848.238 |
17 | 2869 | 3251.14 | 3959.33 | -708.189 | -382.144 |
18 | 3193 | 4355.59 | 4083.92 | 271.67 | -1162.59 |
19 | 3044 | 3400.28 | 4250.21 | -849.929 | -356.28 |
20 | 4209 | 4408.56 | 4386.08 | 22.4774 | -199.561 |
21 | 5590 | 5100.3 | 4372.67 | 727.628 | 489.705 |
22 | 6703 | 5014.43 | 4301 | 713.431 | 1688.57 |
23 | 4496 | 4525.3 | 4282.92 | 242.384 | -29.3003 |
24 | 6277 | 4698.84 | 4400.5 | 298.342 | 1578.16 |
25 | 5524 | 4841.46 | 4484.17 | 357.295 | 682.538 |
26 | 4478 | 4126.82 | 4370.17 | -243.345 | 351.179 |
27 | 2899 | 3992.91 | 4314.12 | -321.21 | -1093.91 |
28 | 2265 | 3714.28 | 4224.83 | -510.554 | -1449.28 |
29 | 2565 | 3429.02 | 4137.21 | -708.189 | -864.019 |
30 | 6319 | 4346 | 4074.33 | 271.67 | 1973 |
31 | 1926 | 3045.28 | 3895.21 | -849.929 | -1119.28 |
32 | 2591 | 3742.77 | 3720.29 | 22.4774 | -1151.77 |
33 | 5863 | 4379.84 | 3652.21 | 727.628 | 1483.16 |
34 | 4287 | 4406.47 | 3693.04 | 713.431 | -119.472 |
35 | 4809 | 3947.47 | 3705.08 | 242.384 | 861.533 |
36 | 4455 | 3771.8 | 3473.46 | 298.342 | 683.2 |
37 | 3047 | 3631.3 | 3274 | 357.295 | -584.295 |
38 | 2757 | 3033.74 | 3277.08 | -243.345 | -276.738 |
39 | 2986 | 2821.29 | 3142.5 | -321.21 | 164.71 |
40 | 3158 | 2445.53 | 2956.08 | -510.554 | 712.47 |
41 | 1961 | 2136.73 | 2844.92 | -708.189 | -175.727 |
42 | 1364 | 2952.96 | 2681.29 | 271.67 | -1588.96 |
43 | 2094 | 1702.53 | 2552.46 | -849.929 | 391.47 |
44 | 2497 | 2516.23 | 2493.75 | 22.4774 | -19.2274 |
45 | 2727 | 3168.84 | 2441.21 | 727.628 | -441.837 |
46 | 2949 | 3070.89 | 2357.46 | 713.431 | -121.889 |
47 | 3479 | 2540.38 | 2298 | 242.384 | 938.616 |
48 | 1858 | 2668.55 | 2370.21 | 298.342 | -810.55 |
49 | 2552 | 2778.92 | 2421.62 | 357.295 | -226.92 |
50 | 1843 | 2168.11 | 2411.46 | -243.345 | -325.113 |
51 | 2639 | 2066.41 | 2387.62 | -321.21 | 572.585 |
52 | 1495 | 1830.9 | 2341.46 | -510.554 | -335.905 |
53 | 2197 | 1534.39 | 2242.58 | -708.189 | 662.606 |
54 | 2861 | 2423.46 | 2151.79 | 271.67 | 437.538 |
55 | 1831 | 1303.99 | 2153.92 | -849.929 | 527.012 |
56 | 2516 | 2179.69 | 2157.21 | 22.4774 | 336.314 |
57 | 2136 | 2842.3 | 2114.67 | 727.628 | -706.295 |
58 | 2432 | 2822.72 | 2109.29 | 713.431 | -390.722 |
59 | 1623 | 2350.59 | 2108.21 | 242.384 | -727.592 |
60 | 1535 | 2318.51 | 2020.17 | 298.342 | -783.509 |
61 | 2926 | 2346.17 | 1988.88 | 357.295 | 579.83 |
62 | 1548 | 1787.11 | 2030.46 | -243.345 | -239.113 |
63 | 1913 | 1712 | 2033.21 | -321.21 | 201.002 |
64 | 2092 | 1556.24 | 2066.79 | -510.554 | 535.762 |
65 | 1574 | 1406.73 | 2114.92 | -708.189 | 167.273 |
66 | 1371 | 2438.63 | 2166.96 | 271.67 | -1067.63 |
67 | 2570 | 1370.15 | 2220.08 | -849.929 | 1199.85 |
68 | 2775 | 2235.14 | 2212.67 | 22.4774 | 539.856 |
69 | 1943 | 2912.84 | 2185.21 | 727.628 | -969.837 |
70 | 3431 | 2843.93 | 2130.5 | 713.431 | 587.069 |
71 | 1779 | 2324.76 | 2082.38 | 242.384 | -545.759 |
72 | 2628 | 2449.68 | 2151.33 | 298.342 | 178.325 |
73 | 3108 | 2527.13 | 2169.83 | 357.295 | 580.872 |
74 | 1188 | 1834.61 | 2077.96 | -243.345 | -646.613 |
75 | 1614 | 1769.87 | 2091.08 | -321.21 | -155.873 |
76 | 1078 | 1629.7 | 2140.25 | -510.554 | -551.696 |
77 | 1433 | 1445.69 | 2153.88 | -708.189 | -12.6858 |
78 | 3167 | 2360.42 | 2088.75 | 271.67 | 806.58 |
79 | 1218 | 1085.11 | 1935.04 | -849.929 | 132.887 |
80 | 1922 | 1940.31 | 1917.83 | 22.4774 | -18.3108 |
81 | 3111 | 2661.5 | 1933.88 | 727.628 | 449.497 |
82 | 3443 | 2637.1 | 1923.67 | 713.431 | 805.903 |
83 | 2094 | 2187.26 | 1944.87 | 242.384 | -93.2587 |
84 | 750 | 2201.3 | 1902.96 | 298.342 | -1451.3 |
85 | 1297 | 2209.3 | 1852 | 357.295 | -912.295 |
86 | 2586 | 1566.57 | 1809.92 | -243.345 | 1019.43 |
87 | 601 | 1415.08 | 1736.29 | -321.21 | -814.082 |
88 | 1846 | 1086.82 | 1597.38 | -510.554 | 759.179 |
89 | 1174 | 781.269 | 1489.46 | -708.189 | 392.731 |
90 | 2420 | 1784.34 | 1512.67 | 271.67 | 635.663 |
91 | 742 | 729.03 | 1578.96 | -849.929 | 12.9705 |
92 | 1388 | 1566.94 | 1544.46 | 22.4774 | -178.936 |
93 | 1878 | 2223.09 | 1495.46 | 727.628 | -345.087 |
94 | 1342 | 2221.35 | 1507.92 | 713.431 | -879.347 |
95 | 1605 | 1740.3 | 1497.92 | 242.384 | -135.3 |
96 | 1796 | 1747.34 | 1449 | 298.342 | 48.658 |
97 | 1842 | 1759.59 | 1402.29 | 357.295 | 82.4132 |
98 | 1213 | 1135.36 | 1378.71 | -243.345 | 77.6372 |
99 | 798 | 1025.62 | 1346.83 | -321.21 | -227.623 |
100 | 1948 | 854.28 | 1364.83 | -510.554 | 1093.72 |
101 | 832 | 704.019 | 1412.21 | -708.189 | 127.981 |
102 | 1588 | 1705.59 | 1433.92 | 271.67 | -117.587 |
103 | 453 | NA | NA | -849.929 | NA |
104 | 1111 | NA | NA | 22.4774 | NA |
105 | 1390 | NA | NA | 727.628 | NA |
106 | 2262 | NA | NA | 713.431 | NA |
107 | 1822 | NA | NA | 242.384 | NA |
108 | 2100 | NA | NA | 298.342 | NA |