Structural Time Series Model -- Interpolation | |||||
t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
1 | 5133 | 5133 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 5155 | 5155.00000054561 | 22.0000004364862 | -5.45607700177061e-07 | 1.19935435374009 |
3 | 5174 | 5173.99999992524 | 18.9999991776908 | 7.47553502998034e-08 | -0.163548386518671 |
4 | 5201 | 5200.99999989407 | 27.0000000000001 | 1.05932941696098e-07 | 0.436128906298529 |
5 | 5221 | 5220.99999989407 | 19.9999999999996 | 1.05932941696097e-07 | -0.381612745606061 |
6 | 5205 | 5204.99999989407 | -15.9999999999999 | 1.05932941696097e-07 | -1.9625798345453 |
7 | 5235 | 5234.99999989407 | 29.9999999999996 | 1.05932941696098e-07 | 2.50774089969678 |
8 | 5255 | 5254.99999989407 | 19.9999999999992 | 1.05932941696098e-07 | -0.545161065151505 |
9 | 5272 | 5271.99999989407 | 17.0000000000005 | 1.05932941696097e-07 | -0.16354831954537 |
10 | 5299 | 5298.99999989407 | 27.0000000000001 | 1.05932941696097e-07 | 0.545161065151455 |
11 | 5318 | 5317.99999989407 | 19.0000000000005 | 1.05932941696097e-07 | -0.436128852121159 |
12 | 5340 | 5339.99999989407 | 22.0000000000001 | 1.05932941696097e-07 | 0.163548319545419 |
13 | 5385 | 5385 | 45.0000001140822 | -1.10371682047971e-22 | 1.2538704558456 |
14 | 5430 | 5430.00000114082 | 45.000001140816 | -1.14081632833179e-06 | 5.5973531515458e-08 |
15 | 5454 | 5453.99999972968 | 23.9999970264372 | 2.70323911341175e-07 | -1.14483845685915 |
16 | 5493 | 5492.99999967122 | 38.9999999999999 | 3.28781914126941e-07 | 0.817741777362243 |
17 | 5536 | 5535.99999967122 | 43.0000000000003 | 3.28781914126941e-07 | 0.218064426060615 |
18 | 5565 | 5564.99999967122 | 29.0000000000007 | 3.28781914126941e-07 | -0.763225491212048 |
19 | 5586 | 5585.99999967122 | 21.0000000000002 | 3.28781914126942e-07 | -0.43612885212121 |
20 | 5594 | 5593.99999967122 | 8.00000000000067 | 3.28781914126942e-07 | -0.7087093846969 |
21 | 5576 | 5575.99999967122 | -17.9999999999998 | 3.28781914126942e-07 | -1.41741876939387 |
22 | 5544 | 5543.99999967122 | -31.9999999999994 | 3.28781914126942e-07 | -0.763225491212048 |
23 | 5530 | 5529.99999967122 | -13.9999999999999 | 3.28781914126941e-07 | 0.981289917272636 |
24 | 5536 | 5535.99999967122 | 6.00000000000053 | 3.28781914126942e-07 | 1.09032213030298 |
25 | 5544 | 5544 | 8.00000032949054 | -4.31697982370632e-22 | 0.109032230973494 |
26 | 5564 | 5564.00000367754 | 20.0000036775389 | -3.67753918942339e-06 | 0.654193449231486 |
27 | 5596 | 5595.99999972153 | 31.9999969368006 | 2.7847266421112e-07 | 0.654192908269333 |
28 | 5596 | 5595.99999984624 | -2.8421709430404e-13 | 1.53762266473986e-07 | -1.74451527888403 |
29 | 5599 | 5598.99999984624 | 2.99999999999935 | 1.53762266473986e-07 | 0.163548319545424 |
30 | 5591 | 5590.99999984624 | -8.0000000000001 | 1.53762266473986e-07 | -0.599677171666598 |
31 | 5566 | 5565.99999984624 | -25.0000000000005 | 1.53762266473986e-07 | -0.926773810757535 |
32 | 5532 | 5531.99999984624 | -33.9999999999999 | 1.53762266473986e-07 | -0.490644958636302 |
33 | 5498 | 5497.99999984624 | -34.0000000000003 | 1.53762266473986e-07 | -1.9827952214294e-14 |
34 | 5484 | 5483.99999984624 | -14.0000000000006 | 1.53762266473986e-07 | 1.09032213030294 |
35 | 5442 | 5441.99999984624 | -42.0000000000001 | 1.53762266473985e-07 | -1.52645098242411 |
36 | 5447 | 5446.99999984624 | 4.99999999999954 | 1.53762266473987e-07 | 2.56225700621193 |
37 | 5490 | 5490 | 43.0000001672254 | -5.58039336204805e-22 | 2.07161205632515 |
38 | 5544 | 5544.000002023 | 54.0000020230016 | -2.02300130662203e-06 | 0.599677262319537 |
39 | 5583 | 5582.9999996861 | 38.9999965470801 | 3.13901827970877e-07 | -0.817741893211091 |
40 | 5628 | 5627.99999966271 | 45.0000000000006 | 3.37285048576863e-07 | 0.327096834341864 |
41 | 5679 | 5678.99999966271 | 50.9999999999999 | 3.37285048576862e-07 | 0.327096639090846 |
42 | 5691 | 5690.99999966271 | 12 | 3.37285048576862e-07 | -2.12612815409076 |
43 | 5707 | 5706.99999966271 | 16.0000000000002 | 3.37285048576863e-07 | 0.2180644260606 |
44 | 5724 | 5723.99999966271 | 17.0000000000003 | 3.37285048576863e-07 | 0.0545161065151562 |
45 | 5726 | 5725.99999966271 | 2.00000000000046 | 3.37285048576863e-07 | -0.817741597727211 |
46 | 5745 | 5744.99999966271 | 18.9999999999997 | 3.37285048576862e-07 | 0.926773810757474 |
47 | 5767 | 5766.99999966271 | 21.9999999999999 | 3.37285048576861e-07 | 0.163548319545452 |
48 | 5789 | 5788.99999966271 | 22 | 3.37285048576863e-07 | 8.29085994196534e-15 |
49 | 5785 | 5785 | -3.99999967192636 | 2.12719189601963e-22 | -1.41741875125746 |
50 | 5785 | 5785.00000340828 | 3.40827948708267e-06 | -3.40827968652679e-06 | 0.218064590157135 |
51 | 5806 | 5805.99999981541 | 20.9999979695579 | 1.84585654274495e-07 | 1.14483793606132 |
52 | 5827 | 5826.99999981541 | 21.0000000000002 | 1.84585662187541e-07 | 1.10691811490092e-07 |
53 | 5856 | 5855.99999981541 | 29.0000000000001 | 1.84585662187536e-07 | 0.43612885212118 |
54 | 5896 | 5895.99999981541 | 40 | 1.84585662187539e-07 | 0.599677171666624 |
55 | 5914 | 5913.99999981541 | 18 | 1.84585662187539e-07 | -1.19935434333326 |
56 | 5938 | 5937.99999981541 | 23.9999999999999 | 1.84585662187539e-07 | 0.327096639090884 |
Structural Time Series Model -- Extrapolation | |||
t | Observed | Level | Seasonal |
1 | 5940.08685012316 | 5943.96239217312 | -3.87554204996144 |
2 | 5953.7938877069 | 5970.61955616383 | -16.8256684569315 |
3 | 5963.34892415042 | 5997.27672015454 | -33.9277960041148 |
4 | 5990.00195112506 | 6023.93388414525 | -33.9319330201899 |
5 | 6025.65312645306 | 6050.59104813596 | -24.9379216828965 |
6 | 6067.39149192975 | 6077.24821212666 | -9.85672019691286 |
7 | 6107.60825531675 | 6103.90537611737 | 3.70287919938268 |
8 | 6146.90342419553 | 6130.56254010808 | 16.3408840874488 |
9 | 6188.67700213306 | 6157.21970409879 | 31.4572980342708 |
10 | 6212.32899532575 | 6183.87686808949 | 28.4521272362527 |
11 | 6236.25940137143 | 6210.5340320802 | 25.725369291232 |
12 | 6254.86821963333 | 6237.19119607091 | 17.6770235624199 |