Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	5532	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	5498	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	5484	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	5442	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	5447	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	5490	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	5544	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	5583	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	5628	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	5679	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	5691	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	5707	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	5724	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	5726	5741	5703.1522	5778.8478	0.2186	0.8107	1	0.8107
46	5745	5758	5673.3696	5842.6304	0.3817	0.7707	1	0.7845
47	5767	5775	5633.3863	5916.6137	0.4559	0.661	1	0.7599
48	5789	5792	5584.6988	5999.3012	0.4887	0.5934	0.9994	0.7399
49	5785	5809	5528.3129	6089.6871	0.4335	0.5555	0.987	0.7236
50	5785	5826	5464.9546	6187.0454	0.4119	0.5881	0.9371	0.7101
51	5806	5843	5395.1782	6290.8218	0.4357	0.6002	0.8724	0.6988
52	5827	5860	5319.4246	6400.5754	0.4524	0.5776	0.7999	0.689
53	5856	5877	5238.0548	6515.9452	0.4743	0.5609	0.7282	0.6806
54	5896	5894	5151.3716	6636.6284	0.4979	0.5399	0.7039	0.6732
55	5914	5911	5059.6338	6762.3662	0.4972	0.5138	0.6807	0.6666
56	5938	5928	4963.0655	6892.9345	0.4919	0.5113	0.6607	0.6607

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
45	0.0034	-0.0026	0.0026	0.0026	225	0	0	-0.75	0.75
46	0.0075	-0.0023	0.0024	0.0024	169	197	14.0357	-0.65	0.7
47	0.0125	-0.0014	0.0021	0.0021	64	152.6667	12.3558	-0.4	0.6
48	0.0183	-5e-04	0.0017	0.0017	9	116.75	10.8051	-0.15	0.4875
49	0.0247	-0.0041	0.0022	0.0022	576	208.6	14.443	-1.2	0.63
50	0.0316	-0.0071	0.003	0.003	1681	454	21.3073	-2.05	0.8667
51	0.0391	-0.0064	0.0035	0.0035	1369	584.7143	24.1809	-1.85	1.0071
52	0.0471	-0.0057	0.0038	0.0037	1089	647.75	25.4509	-1.65	1.0875
53	0.0555	-0.0036	0.0037	0.0037	441	624.7778	24.9956	-1.05	1.0833
54	0.0643	3e-04	0.0034	0.0034	4	562.7	23.7213	0.1	0.985
55	0.0735	5e-04	0.0031	0.0031	9	512.3636	22.6355	0.15	0.9091
56	0.083	0.0017	0.003	0.003	100	478	21.8632	0.5	0.875