| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 4435 | NA | NA | -62.2813 | NA |
| 2 | 4610 | NA | NA | -91.9062 | NA |
| 3 | 4955 | NA | NA | 29.2604 | NA |
| 4 | 5195 | 5082.3 | 5017.5 | 64.8021 | 112.698 |
| 5 | 5290 | 5166.03 | 5149.17 | 16.8646 | 123.969 |
| 6 | 5150 | 5251.18 | 5207.92 | 43.2604 | -101.177 |
| 7 | 5375 | 5161.47 | 5223.75 | -62.2813 | 213.531 |
| 8 | 5250 | 5143.51 | 5235.42 | -91.9062 | 106.49 |
| 9 | 5020 | 5299.26 | 5270 | 29.2604 | -279.26 |
| 10 | 5320 | 5351.47 | 5286.67 | 64.8021 | -31.4688 |
| 11 | 5305 | 5271.03 | 5254.17 | 16.8646 | 33.9688 |
| 12 | 5550 | 5272.43 | 5229.17 | 43.2604 | 277.573 |
| 13 | 5175 | 5126.47 | 5188.75 | -62.2813 | 48.5312 |
| 14 | 5060 | 5026.84 | 5118.75 | -91.9062 | 33.1563 |
| 15 | 4910 | 5017.18 | 4987.92 | 29.2604 | -107.177 |
| 16 | 4945 | 4874.8 | 4810 | 64.8021 | 70.1979 |
| 17 | 4840 | 4669.36 | 4652.5 | 16.8646 | 170.635 |
| 18 | 4445 | 4598.68 | 4555.42 | 43.2604 | -153.677 |
| 19 | 4145 | 4453.97 | 4516.25 | -62.2813 | -308.969 |
| 20 | 4200 | 4410.59 | 4502.5 | -91.9062 | -210.594 |
| 21 | 4605 | 4590.93 | 4561.67 | 29.2604 | 14.0729 |
| 22 | 4780 | 4716.89 | 4652.08 | 64.8021 | 63.1146 |
| 23 | 4840 | 4734.36 | 4717.5 | 16.8646 | 105.635 |
| 24 | 5155 | 4807.43 | 4764.17 | 43.2604 | 347.573 |
| 25 | 4520 | 4723.55 | 4785.83 | -62.2813 | -203.552 |
| 26 | 4610 | 4702.26 | 4794.17 | -91.9062 | -92.2604 |
| 27 | 4755 | 4791.34 | 4762.08 | 29.2604 | -36.3437 |
| 28 | 4890 | 4798.14 | 4733.33 | 64.8021 | 91.8646 |
| 29 | 4830 | 4739.78 | 4722.92 | 16.8646 | 90.2188 |
| 30 | 4780 | 4718.68 | 4675.42 | 43.2604 | 61.3229 |
| 31 | 4550 | 4526.47 | 4588.75 | -62.2813 | 23.5312 |
| 32 | 4455 | 4367.26 | 4459.17 | -91.9062 | 87.7396 |
| 33 | 4340 | 4339.68 | 4310.42 | 29.2604 | 0.322917 |
| 34 | 4265 | 4246.05 | 4181.25 | 64.8021 | 18.9479 |
| 35 | 3900 | 4097.7 | 4080.83 | 16.8646 | -197.698 |
| 36 | 3925 | 4061.18 | 4017.92 | 43.2604 | -136.177 |
| 37 | 3855 | 3926.47 | 3988.75 | -62.2813 | -71.4687 |
| 38 | 3945 | 3895.18 | 3987.08 | -91.9062 | 49.8229 |
| 39 | 4095 | 4023.43 | 3994.17 | 29.2604 | 71.5729 |
| 40 | 4160 | 4065.64 | 4000.83 | 64.8021 | 94.3646 |
| 41 | 3985 | 3987.7 | 3970.83 | 16.8646 | -2.69792 |
| 42 | 3925 | 3922.43 | 3879.17 | 43.2604 | 2.57292 |
| 43 | 3935 | 3731.47 | 3793.75 | -62.2813 | 203.531 |
| 44 | 3505 | 3646.43 | 3738.33 | -91.9062 | -141.427 |
| 45 | 3435 | 3711.76 | 3682.5 | 29.2604 | -276.76 |
| 46 | 3795 | 3713.14 | 3648.33 | 64.8021 | 81.8646 |
| 47 | 3685 | 3683.11 | 3666.25 | 16.8646 | 1.88542 |
| 48 | 3555 | 3779.51 | 3736.25 | 43.2604 | -224.51 |
| 49 | 3895 | 3740.64 | 3802.92 | -62.2813 | 154.365 |
| 50 | 3760 | 3771.84 | 3863.75 | -91.9062 | -11.8438 |
| 51 | 4020 | 3972.18 | 3942.92 | 29.2604 | 47.8229 |
| 52 | 4010 | 4079.39 | 4014.58 | 64.8021 | -69.3854 |
| 53 | 4200 | 4118.11 | 4101.25 | 16.8646 | 81.8854 |
| 54 | 3990 | 4216.59 | 4173.33 | 43.2604 | -226.594 |
| 55 | 4320 | 4153.14 | 4215.42 | -62.2813 | 166.865 |
| 56 | 4375 | 4148.51 | 4240.42 | -91.9062 | 226.49 |
| 57 | 4270 | 4272.18 | 4242.92 | 29.2604 | -2.17708 |
| 58 | 4265 | 4278.97 | 4214.17 | 64.8021 | -13.9687 |
| 59 | 4245 | 4200.61 | 4183.75 | 16.8646 | 44.3854 |
| 60 | 3975 | 4253.68 | 4210.42 | 43.2604 | -278.677 |
| 61 | 3990 | 4224.8 | 4287.08 | -62.2813 | -234.802 |
| 62 | 4340 | 4283.93 | 4375.83 | -91.9062 | 56.0729 |
| 63 | 4625 | 4508.43 | 4479.17 | 29.2604 | 116.573 |
| 64 | 4830 | 4645.64 | 4580.83 | 64.8021 | 184.365 |
| 65 | 4745 | 4642.7 | 4625.83 | 16.8646 | 102.302 |
| 66 | 4715 | 4666.59 | 4623.33 | 43.2604 | 48.4062 |
| 67 | 4470 | 4498.97 | 4561.25 | -62.2813 | -28.9687 |
| 68 | 4400 | 4373.09 | 4465 | -91.9062 | 26.9062 |
| 69 | 4535 | 4428.43 | 4399.17 | 29.2604 | 106.573 |
| 70 | 4175 | 4418.55 | 4353.75 | 64.8021 | -243.552 |
| 71 | 4245 | 4326.03 | 4309.17 | 16.8646 | -81.0312 |
| 72 | 4425 | 4327.43 | 4284.17 | 43.2604 | 97.5729 |
| 73 | 4215 | 4256.05 | 4318.33 | -62.2813 | -41.0521 |
| 74 | 4120 | 4292.68 | 4384.58 | -91.9062 | -172.677 |
| 75 | 4515 | 4460.51 | 4431.25 | 29.2604 | 54.4896 |
| 76 | 4605 | 4535.64 | 4470.83 | 64.8021 | 69.3646 |
| 77 | 4610 | 4516.86 | 4500 | 16.8646 | 93.1354 |
| 78 | 4620 | 4523.26 | 4480 | 43.2604 | 96.7396 |
| 79 | 4495 | 4359.8 | 4422.08 | -62.2813 | 135.198 |
| 80 | 4190 | 4236.43 | 4328.33 | -91.9062 | -46.4271 |
| 81 | 4205 | 4273.43 | 4244.17 | 29.2604 | -68.4271 |
| 82 | 4220 | 4241.05 | 4176.25 | 64.8021 | -21.0521 |
| 83 | 3870 | 4117.7 | 4100.83 | 16.8646 | -247.698 |
| 84 | 4350 | 4139.09 | 4095.83 | 43.2604 | 210.906 |
| 85 | 3950 | 4073.97 | 4136.25 | -62.2813 | -123.969 |
| 86 | 3830 | 4115.59 | 4207.5 | -91.9062 | -285.594 |
| 87 | 4505 | 4307.18 | 4277.92 | 29.2604 | 197.823 |
| 88 | 4405 | 4409.39 | 4344.58 | 64.8021 | -4.38542 |
| 89 | 4540 | 4466.86 | 4450 | 16.8646 | 73.1354 |
| 90 | 4525 | 4539.93 | 4496.67 | 43.2604 | -14.9271 |
| 91 | 4575 | 4413.14 | 4475.42 | -62.2813 | 161.865 |
| 92 | 4470 | 4333.09 | 4425 | -91.9062 | 136.906 |
| 93 | 4425 | 4429.26 | 4400 | 29.2604 | -4.26042 |
| 94 | 4230 | 4450.64 | 4385.83 | 64.8021 | -220.635 |
| 95 | 4110 | 4367.7 | 4350.83 | 16.8646 | -257.698 |
| 96 | 4655 | 4386.59 | 4343.33 | 43.2604 | 268.406 |
| 97 | 4275 | 4299.39 | 4361.67 | -62.2813 | -24.3854 |
| 98 | 4350 | 4318.09 | 4410 | -91.9062 | 31.9062 |
| 99 | 4455 | 4453.43 | 4424.17 | 29.2604 | 1.57292 |
| 100 | 4420 | 4507.72 | 4442.92 | 64.8021 | -87.7187 |
| 101 | 4500 | 4536.86 | 4520 | 16.8646 | -36.8646 |
| 102 | 4435 | 4632.84 | 4589.58 | 43.2604 | -197.844 |
| 103 | 4720 | 4583.97 | 4646.25 | -62.2813 | 136.031 |
| 104 | 4830 | 4612.26 | 4704.17 | -91.9062 | 217.74 |
| 105 | 4810 | 4808.84 | 4779.58 | 29.2604 | 1.15625 |
| 106 | 4745 | 4874.8 | 4810 | 64.8021 | -129.802 |
| 107 | 4870 | 4788.53 | 4771.67 | 16.8646 | 81.4688 |
| 108 | 4970 | 4793.26 | 4750 | 43.2604 | 176.74 |
| 109 | 4550 | 4687.3 | 4749.58 | -62.2813 | -137.302 |
| 110 | 4540 | 4625.59 | 4717.5 | -91.9062 | -85.5937 |
| 111 | 4840 | 4677.59 | 4648.33 | 29.2604 | 162.406 |
| 112 | 4710 | 4679.8 | 4615 | 64.8021 | 30.1979 |
| 113 | 4520 | 4653.95 | 4637.08 | 16.8646 | -133.948 |
| 114 | 4490 | 4689.93 | 4646.67 | 43.2604 | -199.927 |
| 115 | 4630 | 4594.39 | 4656.67 | -62.2813 | 35.6146 |
| 116 | 4725 | 4603.51 | 4695.42 | -91.9062 | 121.49 |
| 117 | 4770 | 4773.84 | 4744.58 | 29.2604 | -3.84375 |
| 118 | 4900 | 4836.05 | 4771.25 | 64.8021 | 63.9479 |
| 119 | 4795 | 4781.03 | 4764.17 | 16.8646 | 13.9688 |
| 120 | 4805 | 4800.34 | 4757.08 | 43.2604 | 4.65625 |
| 121 | 4635 | 4680.64 | 4742.92 | -62.2813 | -45.6354 |
| 122 | 4635 | 4624.34 | 4716.25 | -91.9062 | 10.6563 |
| 123 | 4775 | 4712.18 | 4682.92 | 29.2604 | 62.8229 |
| 124 | 4725 | NA | NA | 64.8021 | NA |
| 125 | 4650 | NA | NA | 16.8646 | NA |
| 126 | 4550 | NA | NA | 43.2604 | NA |
