| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.3796 | -0.1975 | 0.0993 | -0.1323 | -0.5903 | -0.1691 | 0.2793 |
| (p-val) | (0.7945 ) | (0.7952 ) | (0.8091 ) | (0.928 ) | (0.4649 ) | (0.5456 ) | (0.726 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.5108 | -0.2658 | 0.0636 | 0 | -0.5953 | -0.1688 | 0.2922 |
| (p-val) | (0.0018 ) | (0.1428 ) | (0.7714 ) | (NA ) | (0.4689 ) | (0.5426 ) | (0.7186 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.5263 | -0.293 | 0 | 0 | -0.6096 | -0.1957 | 0.2632 |
| (p-val) | (7e-04 ) | (0.0613 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.3785 ) | (0.4319 ) | (0.6986 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.5268 | -0.3002 | 0 | 0 | -0.3414 | -0.101 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (7e-04 ) | (0.0536 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0365 ) | (0.5236 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | -0.516 | -0.3042 | 0 | 0 | -0.3012 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (8e-04 ) | (0.0515 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0428 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | -0.3885 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3575 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0061 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0156 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -3.4017331915174 |
| 34.1204455521986 |
| 205.268788049863 |
| -0.753810042627777 |
| -91.2893018246676 |
| 17.5199651577966 |
| 129.591784063071 |
| -116.050516058935 |
| 75.2807116962316 |
| -207.446145814935 |
| -134.952618234808 |
| -104.164109946477 |
| -156.673657812008 |
| -77.8067817616043 |
| 287.900595915759 |
| 20.6548882956304 |
| 109.14132103461 |
| 16.6910183987052 |
| -14.2875186351075 |
| -54.3620717184276 |
| -56.8069485728647 |
| -71.3826774716781 |
| -121.178733636847 |
| -35.0002014872602 |
| -78.8112108612927 |
| -73.1823489379676 |
| 47.8259660193767 |
| -99.932656975443 |
| -150.485347907134 |
| 87.5173742899483 |
| 175.177094445363 |
| -54.6566092548073 |
| 46.2042659635886 |
| -103.943587549294 |
| 204.530982052489 |
| -35.38671105308 |
| 1.92089607488606 |
| -17.1285241868222 |
| -54.7498990868944 |
| 101.001539402457 |
| -30.5735397873814 |
| 38.9496695188009 |
| 85.8982289775496 |
| -56.5312483036486 |
| -30.1261124624916 |
| 133.601515489696 |
| 55.4296423380375 |
