Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1321 | 0 | 133 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1.894 | 1.59652385562986 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.54026909462615 | -0.297476144370135 |
2 | 1.757 | 1.69200805380737 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.53926877425071 | -0.0649919461926332 |
3 | 3.582 | 4.04567426981546 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.53826845387526 | 0.463674269815458 |
4 | 5.321 | 5.28344362778411 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.53731585405548 | -0.0375563722158905 |
5 | 5.561 | 5.16893992684565 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.53636325423569 | -0.392060073154348 |
6 | 5.907 | 6.51619869503395 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.53674184473517 | 0.60919869503395 |
7 | 4.944 | 4.69336635926931 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.53712043523464 | -0.250633640730695 |
8 | 4.966 | 5.26836134089771 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.53868137755054 | 0.302361340897709 |
9 | 3.258 | 3.35181054075524 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.54024231986644 | 0.0938105407552374 |
10 | 1.964 | 1.62571151157865 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.54037050223812 | -0.338288488421346 |
11 | 1.743 | 1.44188523298909 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.54049868460979 | -0.301114767010914 |
12 | 1.262 | 1.1695892217735 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.53934672817847 | -0.0924107782265016 |
13 | 2.086 | 1.98259817850887 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.53819477174714 | -0.10340182149113 |
14 | 1.793 | 1.76088208439094 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.54239474366713 | -0.0321179156090619 |
15 | 3.548 | 3.9693480081036 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.54659471558713 | 0.421348008103596 |
16 | 5.672 | 5.9589038724409 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.56385560939869 | 0.286903872440903 |
17 | 6.084 | 6.1701866778711 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.58111650321025 | 0.0861866778711002 |
18 | 4.914 | 4.47208047673919 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.59486006302993 | -0.441919523260808 |
19 | 4.99 | 4.71388317165434 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.6086036228496 | -0.276116828345657 |
20 | 5.139 | 5.54014811364761 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.61289460480064 | 0.40114811364761 |
21 | 3.218 | 3.19486727387 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.61718558675167 | -0.0231327261299987 |
22 | 2.179 | 1.95530188797671 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.64078012584006 | -0.223698112023294 |
23 | 2.238 | 2.30800925267042 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.66437466492845 | 0.0700092526704248 |
24 | 1.442 | 1.3695856461688 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.69935030378316 | -0.0724143538311974 |
25 | 2.205 | 2.02446700761814 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.73432594263787 | -0.180532992381862 |
26 | 2.025 | 2.00908463323662 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.75819219482145 | -0.0159153667633785 |
27 | 3.531 | 3.69988427668569 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.78205844700503 | 0.168884276685694 |
28 | 4.977 | 4.33601199638323 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.79674748545636 | -0.640988003616772 |
29 | 7.998 | 9.76786665717365 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.8114365239077 | 1.76986665717365 |
30 | 4.88 | 4.18184132833478 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.81709921143434 | -0.698158671665223 |
31 | 5.231 | 4.98172489554296 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.82276189896099 | -0.249275104457039 |
32 | 5.202 | 5.46529592376599 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.81374679468226 | 0.26329592376599 |
33 | 3.303 | 3.17732117021815 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.80473169040353 | -0.125678829781855 |
34 | 2.683 | 2.81333656372327 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.7907454500935 | 0.130336563723265 |
35 | 2.202 | 2.1236247078154 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.77675920978348 | -0.0783752921846004 |
36 | 1.376 | 1.15180041930949 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.78513553064248 | -0.224199580690514 |
37 | 2.422 | 2.39928109875453 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.79351185150148 | -0.0227189012454678 |
38 | 1.997 | 1.90601699365985 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.80525983439823 | -0.0909830063401538 |
39 | 3.163 | 2.92893490639575 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.81700781729497 | -0.23406509360425 |
40 | 5.964 | 6.29169849645687 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.81506098538272 | 0.32769849645687 |
41 | 5.657 | 5.08418902761088 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.81311415347047 | -0.57281097238912 |
42 | 6.415 | 7.25696214197125 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.81197839779787 | 0.84196214197125 |
43 | 6.208 | 6.94764415237868 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.81084264212527 | 0.739644152378677 |
44 | 4.5 | 4.06816738227965 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.8068753361686 | -0.431832617720349 |
45 | 2.939 | 2.45114483040975 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.80290803021192 | -0.487855169590248 |
46 | 2.702 | 2.8528358535914 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.78924616022537 | 0.150835853591401 |
47 | 2.09 | 1.90079962736006 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.77558429023881 | -0.189200372639935 |
48 | 1.504 | 1.43421101749321 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.75872493245876 | -0.0697889825067946 |
49 | 2.549 | 2.7049273755773 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.74186557467871 | 0.155927375577305 |
50 | 1.931 | 1.83993703129463 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.73933979676344 | -0.0910629687053706 |
51 | 3.013 | 2.70912870484254 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.73681401884818 | -0.303871295157456 |
52 | 6.204 | 6.84627659213143 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.74048288970816 | 0.642276592131431 |
53 | 5.788 | 5.41515142051321 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.74415176056814 | -0.37284857948679 |
54 | 5.611 | 5.72292865400338 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.73801188576574 | 0.111928654003377 |
55 | 5.594 | 5.7986147835406 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.73187201096334 | 0.204614783540602 |
56 | 4.647 | 4.4497035997133 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.71933911873495 | -0.197296400286699 |
57 | 3.49 | 3.64924663411513 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.70680622650655 | 0.159246634115127 |
58 | 2.487 | 2.52707039804184 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.68501161577493 | 0.0400703980418391 |
59 | 1.992 | 1.81716691255557 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.66321700504331 | -0.174833087444434 |
60 | 1.507 | 1.55805872983445 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.64087722011751 | 0.0510587298344509 |
61 | 2.306 | 2.3422555150643 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.61853743519172 | 0.0362555150642958 |
62 | 2.002 | 2.11643196588954 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.60484486216853 | 0.114431965889545 |
63 | 3.075 | 2.97879043454538 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.59115228914534 | -0.096209565454616 |
64 | 5.331 | 5.25416444568124 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.58659503615835 | -0.0768355543187598 |
65 | 5.589 | 5.17926539790999 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.58203778317136 | -0.409734602090013 |
66 | 5.813 | 6.27990750909761 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.58503303067151 | 0.466907509097608 |
67 | 4.876 | 4.50645851633229 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.58802827817166 | -0.369541483667711 |
68 | 4.665 | 4.61226481553254 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.59277790291571 | -0.0527351844674637 |
69 | 3.601 | 3.98052533296191 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.59752752765977 | 0.37952533296191 |
70 | 2.192 | 2.02751115931371 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.59457085450306 | -0.164488840686294 |
71 | 2.111 | 2.12676973625252 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.59161418134636 | 0.0157697362525151 |
72 | 1.58 | 1.76171261635184 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.58322333360013 | 0.181712616351838 |
73 | 2.288 | 2.34996046440212 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.57483248585389 | 0.061960464402119 |
74 | 1.993 | 2.13200470181743 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.57127212624064 | 0.139004701817433 |
75 | 3.228 | 3.30823095706334 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.56771176662739 | 0.0802309570633355 |
76 | 5 | 4.60704337222609 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.5717161096135 | -0.392956627773908 |
77 | 5.48 | 4.96758272848174 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.57572045259961 | -0.512417271518261 |
78 | 5.77 | 6.19435460786094 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.58458593190818 | 0.424354607860939 |
79 | 4.962 | 4.6730353832872 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.59345141121675 | -0.288964616712803 |
80 | 4.685 | 4.64415469095761 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.60088802749064 | -0.0408453090423904 |
81 | 3.607 | 3.98172821685715 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.60832464376453 | 0.374728216857149 |
82 | 2.222 | 2.07336522427409 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.60871678954268 | -0.148634775725906 |
83 | 2.467 | 2.82127498227805 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.60910893532082 | 0.354274982278054 |
84 | 1.594 | 1.7825930978236 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.59034285212836 | 0.188593097823603 |
85 | 2.228 | 2.23321618132011 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.5715767689359 | 0.00521618132010904 |
86 | 1.91 | 1.99144586154911 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.54583096650896 | 0.0814458615491085 |
87 | 3.157 | 3.2138575596087 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.52008516408202 | 0.056857559608698 |
88 | 4.809 | 4.2949809575085 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.50177852433109 | -0.514019042491497 |
89 | 6.249 | 6.5978312965012 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.48347188458015 | 0.348831296501198 |
90 | 4.607 | 3.97783534113765 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.47510519863146 | -0.629164658862345 |
91 | 4.975 | 4.82574828182117 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.46673851268278 | -0.149251718178832 |
92 | 4.784 | 4.97737033565129 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.46567238279696 | 0.193370335651292 |
93 | 3.028 | 2.96744660771054 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.46460625291113 | -0.060553392289457 |
94 | 2.461 | 2.6949196455561 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.46516236826067 | 0.233919645556099 |
95 | 2.218 | 2.46666543398867 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.46571848361021 | 0.248665433988669 |
96 | 1.351 | 1.42597592063746 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.4609600293145 | 0.0749759206374625 |
97 | 2.07 | 2.03259137523722 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.4562015750188 | -0.0374086247627847 |
98 | 1.887 | 2.05356415078577 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.43771267727231 | 0.166564150785765 |
99 | 3.024 | 3.0487189441649 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.41922377952582 | 0.0247189441649045 |
100 | 4.596 | 3.97171481967825 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.39904466216134 | -0.624285180321751 |
101 | 6.398 | 7.00043763628448 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.37886554479686 | 0.602437636284484 |
102 | 4.459 | 3.78170916576849 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.37523137400063 | -0.677290834231508 |
103 | 5.382 | 5.73488959129956 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.37159720320439 | 0.352889591299557 |
104 | 4.359 | 4.20974143552094 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.38330128292731 | -0.149258564479065 |
105 | 2.687 | 2.35504749797144 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.39500536265024 | -0.331952502028562 |
106 | 2.249 | 2.32723347702621 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.40884853679056 | 0.0782334770262052 |
107 | 2.154 | 2.38169220666799 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.42269171093089 | 0.227692206667986 |
108 | 1.169 | 1.09143108949931 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.43150486045265 | -0.0775689105006867 |
109 | 2.429 | 2.7664749402816 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.44031800997441 | 0.3374749402816 |
110 | 1.762 | 1.79334102852248 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.4479357995356 | 0.0313410285224767 |
111 | 2.846 | 2.65638913459394 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.45555358909678 | -0.189610865406057 |
112 | 5.627 | 5.96844087884213 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.46431860299746 | 0.341440878842127 |
113 | 5.749 | 5.6082195641832 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.47308361689814 | -0.140780435816798 |
114 | 4.502 | 3.76187701728395 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.48106352248516 | -0.740122982716045 |
115 | 5.72 | 6.29344336643176 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.48904342807218 | 0.573443366431766 |
116 | 4.403 | 4.17842996929148 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.50261274915677 | -0.224570030708522 |
117 | 2.867 | 2.59387079038032 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.51618207024136 | -0.273129209619683 |
118 | 2.635 | 2.96107709646633 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.54700491735044 | 0.326077096466331 |
119 | 2.059 | 2.03655615313936 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.57782776445952 | -0.0224438468606394 |
120 | 1.511 | 1.58845275192609 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.61848319802588 | 0.0774527519260877 |
121 | 2.359 | 2.40765431866377 | -1.34879295025601 | 3.65913863159224 | 0.048654318663774 |
122 | 1.741 | 1.5090389938038 | -1.71727682805807 | 3.69023783425427 | -0.231961006196202 |
123 | 2.917 | 2.53260568677441 | -0.419942723690721 | 3.72133703691631 | -0.38439431322559 |
124 | 6.249 | 6.94298981963154 | 1.82124051816041 | 3.73376966220805 | 0.693989819631539 |
125 | 5.76 | 5.35710089358156 | 2.41669681891865 | 3.74620228749979 | -0.402899106418442 |
126 | 6.25 | 6.98119910650325 | 1.76105946023088 | 3.75774143326587 | 0.731199106503251 |
127 | 5.134 | 4.841206215472 | 1.65751320549605 | 3.76928057903194 | -0.292793784527997 |
128 | 4.831 | 4.75692109680817 | 1.12495728155175 | 3.78012162164008 | -0.0740789031918316 |
129 | 3.695 | 3.97509019637346 | -0.376052860621676 | 3.79096266424822 | 0.280090196373459 |
130 | 2.462 | 2.3622642114943 | -1.23808201381677 | 3.79981780232247 | -0.0997357885057029 |
131 | 2.146 | 1.97971097720215 | -1.49638391759888 | 3.80867294039673 | -0.166289022797852 |
132 | 1.579 | 1.52746314065333 | -2.18493594995197 | 3.81547280929864 | -0.0515368593466734 |