Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2755 | NA | NA | 1.00405 | NA |
2 | 2765 | NA | NA | 0.969745 | NA |
3 | 3000 | NA | NA | 1.08662 | NA |
4 | 2890 | NA | NA | 1.00378 | NA |
5 | 2940 | NA | NA | 1.04628 | NA |
6 | 3290 | NA | NA | 0.986823 | NA |
7 | 2815 | 2771.75 | 2916.04 | 0.950517 | 1.01561 |
8 | 3035 | 3084.49 | 2939.58 | 1.04929 | 0.983955 |
9 | 3070 | 2963.42 | 2967.5 | 0.998625 | 1.03596 |
10 | 3040 | 3057.24 | 3004.37 | 1.0176 | 0.994362 |
11 | 2685 | 2964.07 | 3033.96 | 0.976964 | 0.905849 |
12 | 2540 | 2769.87 | 3044.79 | 0.909706 | 0.917012 |
13 | 3090 | 3055.88 | 3043.54 | 1.00405 | 1.01116 |
14 | 2995 | 2958.13 | 3050.42 | 0.969745 | 1.01247 |
15 | 3440 | 3336.37 | 3070.42 | 1.08662 | 1.03106 |
16 | 3335 | 3103.98 | 3092.29 | 1.00378 | 1.07443 |
17 | 3205 | 3281.38 | 3136.25 | 1.04628 | 0.976722 |
18 | 3285 | 3155.16 | 3197.29 | 0.986823 | 1.04115 |
19 | 2790 | 3079.67 | 3240 | 0.950517 | 0.90594 |
20 | 3225 | 3438.85 | 3277.29 | 1.04929 | 0.937815 |
21 | 3360 | 3310.86 | 3315.42 | 0.998625 | 1.01484 |
22 | 3275 | 3402.16 | 3343.33 | 1.0176 | 0.962624 |
23 | 3505 | 3295.63 | 3373.33 | 0.976964 | 1.06353 |
24 | 3185 | 3096.03 | 3403.33 | 0.909706 | 1.02874 |
25 | 3470 | 3443.07 | 3429.17 | 1.00405 | 1.00782 |
26 | 3510 | 3345.82 | 3450.21 | 0.969745 | 1.04907 |
27 | 3840 | 3751.32 | 3452.29 | 1.08662 | 1.02364 |
28 | 3605 | 3468.69 | 3455.62 | 1.00378 | 1.0393 |
29 | 3655 | 3612.27 | 3452.5 | 1.04628 | 1.01183 |
30 | 3555 | 3393.64 | 3438.96 | 0.986823 | 1.04755 |
31 | 3140 | 3258.09 | 3427.71 | 0.950517 | 0.963754 |
32 | 3380 | 3575.04 | 3407.08 | 1.04929 | 0.945445 |
33 | 3255 | 3361.21 | 3365.83 | 0.998625 | 0.968402 |
34 | 3460 | 3371.84 | 3313.54 | 1.0176 | 1.02614 |
35 | 3245 | 3200.17 | 3275.62 | 0.976964 | 1.01401 |
36 | 3120 | 2943.47 | 3235.62 | 0.909706 | 1.05997 |
37 | 3265 | 3202.1 | 3189.17 | 1.00405 | 1.01964 |
38 | 3220 | 3048.43 | 3143.54 | 0.969745 | 1.05628 |
39 | 3140 | 3370.55 | 3101.88 | 1.08662 | 0.931597 |
40 | 3050 | 3074.71 | 3063.12 | 1.00378 | 0.991965 |
41 | 3300 | 3162.59 | 3022.71 | 1.04628 | 1.04345 |
42 | 2950 | 2942.99 | 2982.29 | 0.986823 | 1.00238 |
43 | 2630 | 2866.8 | 3016.04 | 0.950517 | 0.9174 |
44 | 2795 | 3266.8 | 3113.33 | 1.04929 | 0.855576 |
45 | 2840 | 3197.06 | 3201.46 | 0.998625 | 0.888317 |
46 | 2945 | 3357.64 | 3299.58 | 1.0176 | 0.877104 |
47 | 2790 | 3322.29 | 3400.62 | 0.976964 | 0.839782 |
48 | 2605 | 3174.5 | 3489.58 | 0.909706 | 0.820603 |
49 | 4590 | 3605.39 | 3590.83 | 1.00405 | 1.27309 |
50 | 4230 | 3570.08 | 3681.46 | 0.969745 | 1.18485 |
51 | 4245 | 4102.44 | 3775.42 | 1.08662 | 1.03475 |
52 | 4300 | 3879.82 | 3865.21 | 1.00378 | 1.1083 |
53 | 4475 | 4117.31 | 3935.21 | 1.04628 | 1.08687 |
54 | 3910 | 3973.19 | 4026.25 | 0.986823 | 0.984095 |
55 | 4100 | 3820.29 | 4019.17 | 0.950517 | 1.07322 |
56 | 3500 | 4148.87 | 3953.96 | 1.04929 | 0.843604 |
57 | 4390 | 3970.16 | 3975.62 | 0.998625 | 1.10575 |
58 | 3550 | 4081.83 | 4011.25 | 1.0176 | 0.869708 |
59 | 3865 | 3903.99 | 3996.04 | 0.976964 | 0.990013 |
60 | 3715 | 3635.98 | 3996.88 | 0.909706 | 1.02173 |
61 | 3310 | 4042.16 | 4025.83 | 1.00405 | 0.81887 |
62 | 3945 | 3971.71 | 4095.63 | 0.969745 | 0.993274 |
63 | 5050 | 4526.22 | 4165.42 | 1.08662 | 1.11572 |
64 | 4350 | 4244.53 | 4228.54 | 1.00378 | 1.02485 |
65 | 4060 | 4518.6 | 4318.75 | 1.04628 | 0.898508 |
66 | 4345 | 4320.02 | 4377.71 | 0.986823 | 1.00578 |
67 | 4360 | 4207.42 | 4426.46 | 0.950517 | 1.03626 |
68 | 4915 | 4668.27 | 4448.96 | 1.04929 | 1.05285 |
69 | 4650 | 4456.99 | 4463.13 | 0.998625 | 1.0433 |
70 | 4805 | 4584.48 | 4505.21 | 1.0176 | 1.0481 |
71 | 4775 | 4483.66 | 4589.38 | 0.976964 | 1.06498 |
72 | 4220 | 4226.53 | 4646.04 | 0.909706 | 0.998454 |
73 | 3975 | 4632.25 | 4613.54 | 1.00405 | 0.858115 |
74 | 3820 | 4474.36 | 4613.96 | 0.969745 | 0.853753 |
75 | 5515 | 5060.02 | 4656.67 | 1.08662 | 1.08992 |
76 | 4895 | 4691.84 | 4674.17 | 1.00378 | 1.0433 |
77 | 5535 | 4875.43 | 4659.79 | 1.04628 | 1.13528 |
78 | 4230 | 4588.93 | 4650.21 | 0.986823 | 0.921783 |
79 | 3695 | 4448.22 | 4679.79 | 0.950517 | 0.830669 |
80 | 5590 | 4944.36 | 4712.08 | 1.04929 | 1.13058 |
81 | 5000 | 4686.26 | 4692.71 | 0.998625 | 1.06695 |
82 | 4875 | 4710.41 | 4628.96 | 1.0176 | 1.03494 |
83 | 4360 | 4461.27 | 4566.46 | 0.976964 | 0.977301 |
84 | 4405 | 4123.43 | 4532.71 | 0.909706 | 1.06828 |
85 | 4500 | 4550.46 | 4532.08 | 1.00405 | 0.988911 |
86 | 4070 | 4378 | 4514.58 | 0.969745 | 0.929649 |
87 | 4800 | 4839.07 | 4453.33 | 1.08662 | 0.991925 |
88 | 4080 | 4419.35 | 4402.71 | 1.00378 | 0.923212 |
89 | 4850 | 4606.45 | 4402.71 | 1.04628 | 1.05287 |
90 | 4105 | 4335.23 | 4393.12 | 0.986823 | 0.946892 |
91 | 3805 | 4140.69 | 4356.25 | 0.950517 | 0.918929 |
92 | 5060 | 4549.57 | 4335.83 | 1.04929 | 1.11219 |
93 | 4060 | 4308.65 | 4314.58 | 0.998625 | 0.94229 |
94 | 4600 | 4357.43 | 4282.08 | 1.0176 | 1.05567 |
95 | 4635 | 4132.15 | 4229.58 | 0.976964 | 1.12169 |
96 | 3900 | 3831.19 | 4211.46 | 0.909706 | 1.01796 |
97 | 4120 | 4303 | 4285.63 | 1.00405 | 0.957471 |
98 | 3960 | 4207.48 | 4338.75 | 0.969745 | 0.941181 |
99 | 4400 | 4693.29 | 4319.17 | 1.08662 | 0.937509 |
100 | 3700 | 4305.8 | 4289.58 | 1.00378 | 0.859306 |
101 | 3970 | 4432.07 | 4236.04 | 1.04628 | 0.895744 |
102 | 4550 | 4117.31 | 4172.29 | 0.986823 | 1.10509 |
103 | 5140 | 3939.5 | 4144.58 | 0.950517 | 1.30474 |
104 | 5000 | 4321.35 | 4118.33 | 1.04929 | 1.15705 |
105 | 3650 | 4045.47 | 4051.04 | 0.998625 | 0.902243 |
106 | 4300 | 4062.33 | 3992.08 | 1.0176 | 1.05851 |
107 | 3650 | 3864.91 | 3956.04 | 0.976964 | 0.944394 |
108 | 3355 | 3535.72 | 3886.67 | 0.909706 | 0.948886 |
109 | 4000 | 3794.91 | 3779.58 | 1.00405 | 1.05404 |
110 | 3450 | 3561.79 | 3672.92 | 0.969745 | 0.968613 |
111 | 3295 | 3955.52 | 3640.21 | 1.08662 | 0.833014 |
112 | 3390 | 3666.94 | 3653.12 | 1.00378 | 0.924478 |
113 | 3415 | 3846.37 | 3676.25 | 1.04628 | 0.88785 |
114 | 3440 | 3681.46 | 3730.62 | 0.986823 | 0.934411 |
115 | 3680 | 3602.85 | 3790.42 | 0.950517 | 1.02141 |
116 | 3900 | 4025.36 | 3836.25 | 1.04929 | 0.968858 |
117 | 3965 | 3887.77 | 3893.12 | 0.998625 | 1.01986 |
118 | 4295 | 4048.97 | 3978.96 | 1.0176 | 1.06076 |
119 | 4210 | 3947.95 | 4041.04 | 0.976964 | 1.06638 |
120 | 4100 | 3706.1 | 4073.96 | 0.909706 | 1.10628 |
121 | 4690 | NA | NA | 1.00405 | NA |
122 | 3860 | NA | NA | 0.969745 | NA |
123 | 4250 | NA | NA | 1.08662 | NA |
124 | 4495 | NA | NA | 1.00378 | NA |
125 | 3800 | NA | NA | 1.04628 | NA |
126 | 3845 | NA | NA | 0.986823 | NA |