Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1081 | 0 | 109 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 3404 | 2631.17312975006 | 262.14099754146 | 3914.68587270848 | -772.826870249937 |
2 | 3425 | 3228.48775955458 | -262.378682920996 | 3883.89092336641 | -196.512240445415 |
3 | 3631 | 3717.46836360721 | -308.564337631555 | 3853.09597402435 | 86.4683636072091 |
4 | 4141 | 4876.99255216305 | -416.191622272799 | 3821.19907010975 | 735.992552163053 |
5 | 3238 | 3368.62690060436 | -681.92906679951 | 3789.30216619515 | 130.626900604363 |
6 | 5390 | 6593.66676987864 | 423.51710493367 | 3762.81612518769 | 1203.66676987864 |
7 | 1994 | 1126.149841743 | -874.479925923229 | 3736.33008418023 | -867.850158257 |
8 | 4343 | 5002.70886442804 | -28.3094697052608 | 3711.60060527722 | 659.708864428037 |
9 | 4424 | 4539.93408532719 | 621.194788298588 | 3686.87112637422 | 115.934085327194 |
10 | 2762 | 1187.08386908223 | 705.561546218768 | 3631.354584699 | -1574.91613091777 |
11 | 3504 | 3192.12320294548 | 240.038754030745 | 3575.83804302378 | -311.876797054523 |
12 | 4279 | 4701.96640823671 | 319.399680785097 | 3536.63391097819 | 422.966408236711 |
13 | 3531 | 3302.42922352593 | 262.14099754146 | 3497.42977893261 | -228.570776474065 |
14 | 3210 | 3134.43835566395 | -262.378682920996 | 3547.94032725705 | -75.5616443360518 |
15 | 4489 | 5688.11346205007 | -308.564337631555 | 3598.45087558149 | 1199.11346205006 |
16 | 2395 | 1467.86989671297 | -416.191622272799 | 3738.32172555983 | -927.130103287026 |
17 | 2869 | 2541.73649126135 | -681.92906679951 | 3878.19257553816 | -327.26350873865 |
18 | 3193 | 1926.61170312652 | 423.51710493367 | 4035.87119193981 | -1266.38829687348 |
19 | 3044 | 2768.93011758176 | -874.479925923229 | 4193.54980834147 | -275.069882418238 |
20 | 4209 | 4154.48387746993 | -28.3094697052608 | 4291.82559223533 | -54.5161225300735 |
21 | 5590 | 6168.70383557221 | 621.194788298588 | 4390.1013761292 | 578.703835572209 |
22 | 6703 | 8275.53025734558 | 705.561546218768 | 4424.90819643565 | 1572.53025734559 |
23 | 4496 | 4292.24622922717 | 240.038754030745 | 4459.71501674209 | -203.753770772834 |
24 | 6277 | 7783.93252132793 | 319.399680785097 | 4450.66779788697 | 1506.93252132793 |
25 | 5524 | 6344.23842342669 | 262.14099754146 | 4441.62057903185 | 820.238423426693 |
26 | 4478 | 4855.69378168294 | -262.378682920996 | 4362.68490123805 | 377.693781682944 |
27 | 2899 | 1822.8151141873 | -308.564337631555 | 4283.74922344426 | -1076.1848858127 |
28 | 2265 | 770.913306351465 | -416.191622272799 | 4175.27831592133 | -1494.08669364853 |
29 | 2565 | 1745.1216584011 | -681.92906679951 | 4066.80740839841 | -819.878341598901 |
30 | 6319 | 8242.88382156203 | 423.51710493367 | 3971.5990735043 | 1923.88382156203 |
31 | 1926 | 850.089187313035 | -874.479925923229 | 3876.39073861019 | -1075.91081268697 |
32 | 2591 | 1398.18599797411 | -28.3094697052608 | 3812.12347173115 | -1192.81400202589 |
33 | 5863 | 7356.94900684931 | 621.194788298588 | 3747.8562048521 | 1493.94900684931 |
34 | 4287 | 4178.81911702426 | 705.561546218768 | 3689.61933675697 | -108.180882975739 |
35 | 4809 | 5746.57877730741 | 240.038754030745 | 3631.38246866184 | 937.578777307413 |
36 | 4455 | 5079.30318419701 | 319.399680785097 | 3511.2971350179 | 624.303184197008 |
37 | 3047 | 2440.64720108459 | 262.14099754146 | 3391.21180137395 | -606.352798915409 |
38 | 2757 | 2531.00411624552 | -262.378682920996 | 3245.37456667547 | -225.995883754475 |
39 | 2986 | 3181.02700565456 | -308.564337631555 | 3099.53733197699 | 195.027005654561 |
40 | 3158 | 3782.04482551565 | -416.191622272799 | 2950.14679675715 | 624.044825515647 |
41 | 1961 | 1803.1728052622 | -681.92906679951 | 2800.75626153731 | -157.827194737801 |
42 | 1364 | -375.510921939892 | 423.51710493367 | 2679.99381700622 | -1739.51092193989 |
43 | 2094 | 2503.24855344809 | -874.479925923229 | 2559.23137247513 | 409.248553448095 |
44 | 2497 | 2537.43245939374 | -28.3094697052608 | 2484.87701031152 | 40.4324593937445 |
45 | 2727 | 2422.28256355351 | 621.194788298588 | 2410.5226481479 | -304.717436446486 |
46 | 2949 | 2811.90499868378 | 705.561546218768 | 2380.53345509745 | -137.095001316221 |
47 | 3479 | 4367.41698392225 | 240.038754030745 | 2350.54426204701 | 888.416983922248 |
48 | 1858 | 1029.54404908536 | 319.399680785097 | 2367.05627012954 | -828.455950914637 |
49 | 2552 | 2458.29072424647 | 262.14099754146 | 2383.56827821207 | -93.7092757535329 |
50 | 1843 | 1568.79094251413 | -262.378682920996 | 2379.58774040687 | -274.209057485872 |
51 | 2639 | 3210.95713502989 | -308.564337631555 | 2375.60720260166 | 571.957135029892 |
52 | 1495 | 1074.55652549305 | -416.191622272799 | 2331.63509677975 | -420.443474506951 |
53 | 2197 | 2788.26607584167 | -681.92906679951 | 2287.66299095784 | 591.266075841672 |
54 | 2861 | 3064.41998880441 | 423.51710493367 | 2234.06290626192 | 203.419988804413 |
55 | 1831 | 2356.01710435723 | -874.479925923229 | 2180.462821566 | 525.017104357232 |
56 | 2516 | 2917.94863339439 | -28.3094697052608 | 2142.36083631087 | 401.948633394391 |
57 | 2136 | 1546.54636064567 | 621.194788298588 | 2104.25885105574 | -589.453639354332 |
58 | 2432 | 2089.52542551733 | 705.561546218768 | 2068.9130282639 | -342.474574482665 |
59 | 1623 | 972.394040497206 | 240.038754030745 | 2033.56720547205 | -650.605959502794 |
60 | 1535 | 733.990800665487 | 319.399680785097 | 2016.60951854942 | -801.009199334513 |
61 | 2926 | 3590.20717083176 | 262.14099754146 | 1999.65183162678 | 664.207170831758 |
62 | 1548 | 1334.19812823831 | -262.378682920996 | 2024.18055468268 | -213.801871761686 |
63 | 1913 | 2085.85505989297 | -308.564337631555 | 2048.70927773858 | 172.855059892973 |
64 | 2092 | 2505.34866766469 | -416.191622272799 | 2094.84295460811 | 413.348667664694 |
65 | 1574 | 1688.95243532188 | -681.92906679951 | 2140.97663147763 | 114.952435321881 |
66 | 1371 | 147.897257522588 | 423.51710493367 | 2170.58563754374 | -1223.10274247741 |
67 | 2570 | 3814.28528231337 | -874.479925923229 | 2200.19464360986 | 1244.28528231337 |
68 | 2775 | 3386.43392828827 | -28.3094697052608 | 2191.87554141699 | 611.433928288267 |
69 | 1943 | 1081.24877247728 | 621.194788298588 | 2183.55643922413 | -861.751227522719 |
70 | 3431 | 3995.90308228407 | 705.561546218768 | 2160.53537149716 | 564.903082284073 |
71 | 1779 | 1180.44694219907 | 240.038754030745 | 2137.51430377019 | -598.55305780093 |
72 | 2628 | 2813.84145221872 | 319.399680785097 | 2122.75886699618 | 185.841452218722 |
73 | 3108 | 3845.85557223636 | 262.14099754146 | 2108.00343022218 | 737.855572236364 |
74 | 1188 | 534.33612195458 | -262.378682920996 | 2104.04256096642 | -653.66387804542 |
75 | 1614 | 1436.4826459209 | -308.564337631555 | 2100.08169171066 | -177.517354079102 |
76 | 1078 | 471.278475570543 | -416.191622272799 | 2100.91314670226 | -606.721524429457 |
77 | 1433 | 1446.18446510565 | -681.92906679951 | 2101.74460169386 | 13.1844651056545 |
78 | 3167 | 3845.7015770402 | 423.51710493367 | 2064.78131802613 | 678.701577040203 |
79 | 1218 | 1282.66189156483 | -874.479925923229 | 2027.8180343584 | 64.6618915648291 |
80 | 1922 | 1882.22493746181 | -28.3094697052608 | 1990.08453224345 | -39.7750625381852 |
81 | 3111 | 3648.45418157292 | 621.194788298588 | 1952.35103012849 | 537.454181572919 |
82 | 3443 | 4252.49722324211 | 705.561546218768 | 1927.94123053913 | 809.497223242106 |
83 | 2094 | 2044.4298150195 | 240.038754030745 | 1903.53143094976 | -49.5701849805025 |
84 | 750 | -682.403254862299 | 319.399680785097 | 1863.0035740772 | -1432.4032548623 |
85 | 1297 | 509.383285253895 | 262.14099754146 | 1822.47571720464 | -787.616714746105 |
86 | 2586 | 3671.43904878487 | -262.378682920996 | 1762.93963413613 | 1085.43904878487 |
87 | 601 | -192.839213436062 | -308.564337631555 | 1703.40355106762 | -793.839213436062 |
88 | 1846 | 2461.94399039913 | -416.191622272799 | 1646.24763187367 | 615.943990399126 |
89 | 1174 | 1440.83735411978 | -681.92906679951 | 1589.09171267973 | 266.837354119781 |
90 | 2420 | 2850.26988849615 | 423.51710493367 | 1566.21300657018 | 430.269888496153 |
91 | 742 | 815.145625462604 | -874.479925923229 | 1543.33430046062 | 73.1456254626039 |
92 | 1388 | 1285.43026428231 | -28.3094697052608 | 1518.87920542295 | -102.569735717686 |
93 | 1878 | 1640.38110131614 | 621.194788298588 | 1494.42411038527 | -237.618898683856 |
94 | 1342 | 507.022361875268 | 705.561546218768 | 1471.41609190596 | -834.977638124732 |
95 | 1605 | 1521.5531725426 | 240.038754030745 | 1448.40807342666 | -83.4468274574047 |
96 | 1796 | 1841.6228327501 | 319.399680785097 | 1430.9774864648 | 45.622832750099 |
97 | 1842 | 2008.31210295559 | 262.14099754146 | 1413.54689950295 | 166.312102955591 |
98 | 1213 | 1282.26388591062 | -262.378682920996 | 1406.11479701037 | 69.2638859106223 |
99 | 798 | 505.881643113756 | -308.564337631555 | 1398.6826945178 | -292.118356886244 |
100 | 1948 | 2913.1230383359 | -416.191622272799 | 1399.0685839369 | 965.123038335902 |
101 | 832 | 946.474593443513 | -681.92906679951 | 1399.454473356 | 114.474593443513 |
102 | 1588 | 1342.78949934373 | 423.51710493367 | 1409.6933957226 | -245.210500656269 |
103 | 453 | 360.547607834025 | -874.479925923229 | 1419.9323180892 | -92.4523921659745 |
104 | 1111 | 824.637324657203 | -28.3094697052608 | 1425.67214504806 | -286.362675342797 |
105 | 1390 | 727.393239694499 | 621.194788298588 | 1431.41197200691 | -662.606760305501 |
106 | 2262 | 2384.36280017017 | 705.561546218768 | 1434.07565361106 | 122.362800170172 |
107 | 1822 | 1967.22191075405 | 240.038754030745 | 1436.73933521521 | 145.221910754049 |
108 | 2100 | 2440.62562437832 | 319.399680785097 | 1439.97469483658 | 340.625624378319 |