Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[40])
39	4623.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	4720.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	4811.82	4782.297	4534.3454	5030.2486	0.4077	0.6884	0.6884	0.6884
42	4980.18	4810.1693	4367.8503	5252.4884	0.2256	0.4971	0.4971	0.655
43	5174.28	4835.6288	4268.7175	5402.54	0.1208	0.3086	0.3086	0.6552
44	5181.24	4868.2667	4203.6288	5532.9046	0.178	0.1834	0.1834	0.6689

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
41	0.0265	0.0061	0.0061	0.0062	871.6077	0	0	0.2398	0.2398
42	0.0469	0.0341	0.0201	0.0204	28903.6239	14887.6158	122.0148	1.3806	0.8102
43	0.0598	0.0654	0.0352	0.0362	114684.6454	48153.2924	219.4386	2.7501	1.4568
44	0.0697	0.0604	0.0415	0.0427	97952.2897	60603.0417	246.1769	2.5416	1.728