Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[120])
108	1.169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	2.429	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	1.762	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
111	2.846	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
112	5.627	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
113	5.749	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
114	4.502	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
115	5.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
116	4.403	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
117	2.867	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	2.635	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	2.059	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	1.511	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	2.359	2.3848	1.5962	3.1734	0.4744	0.9851	0.4563	0.9851
122	1.741	1.7452	0.9151	2.5753	0.496	0.0736	0.4842	0.7099
123	2.917	3.0319	2.2	3.8638	0.3933	0.9988	0.6693	0.9998
124	6.249	5.2834	4.4292	6.1376	0.0134	1	0.2152	1
125	5.76	5.9359	5.0716	6.8002	0.345	0.2389	0.6642	1
126	6.25	4.5596	3.6938	5.4254	1e-04	0.0033	0.5518	1
127	5.134	5.4399	4.5733	6.3065	0.2445	0.0335	0.2632	1
128	4.831	4.5265	3.6585	5.3944	0.2458	0.085	0.6098	1
129	3.695	2.9185	2.0501	3.7869	0.0398	0	0.5463	0.9993
130	2.462	2.5495	1.6811	3.4179	0.4217	0.0049	0.4235	0.9905
131	2.146	2.1187	1.2502	2.9872	0.4754	0.2192	0.5536	0.9149
132	1.579	1.4395	0.5709	2.3081	0.3765	0.0554	0.4359	0.4359

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
121	0.1687	-0.0109	0.0109	0.0109	7e-04	0	0	-0.0263	0.0263
122	0.2427	-0.0024	0.0067	0.0066	0	3e-04	0.0185	-0.0043	0.0153
123	0.14	-0.0394	0.0176	0.0173	0.0132	0.0046	0.068	-0.1173	0.0493
124	0.0825	0.1545	0.0518	0.0548	0.9324	0.2366	0.4864	0.9857	0.2834
125	0.0743	-0.0305	0.0476	0.0499	0.0309	0.1954	0.4421	-0.1796	0.2626
126	0.0969	0.2705	0.0847	0.0937	2.8575	0.6391	0.7995	1.7256	0.5065
127	0.0813	-0.0596	0.0811	0.0886	0.0936	0.5612	0.7491	-0.3123	0.4787
128	0.0978	0.063	0.0789	0.0856	0.0927	0.5026	0.709	0.3109	0.4577
129	0.1518	0.2101	0.0934	0.1022	0.6029	0.5138	0.7168	0.7926	0.4949
130	0.1738	-0.0356	0.0877	0.0955	0.0077	0.4632	0.6806	-0.0894	0.4544
131	0.2091	0.0127	0.0808	0.088	7e-04	0.4211	0.6489	0.0279	0.4156
132	0.3079	0.0883	0.0815	0.0883	0.0195	0.3877	0.6226	0.1424	0.3928