Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2340 | NA | NA | 85.9698 | NA |
2 | 2377.5 | NA | NA | 67.4281 | NA |
3 | 2500 | NA | NA | 150.873 | NA |
4 | 2395 | NA | NA | 0.261454 | NA |
5 | 2375 | NA | NA | -120.715 | NA |
6 | 2395 | NA | NA | -99.6734 | NA |
7 | 2452.5 | 2463.28 | 2580.1 | -116.82 | -10.7846 |
8 | 2462.5 | 2466.84 | 2620.1 | -153.266 | -4.33784 |
9 | 2840 | 2518.57 | 2671.67 | -153.093 | 321.426 |
10 | 2750 | 2716.91 | 2737.92 | -21.0094 | 33.0927 |
11 | 2795 | 2690.69 | 2801.46 | -110.764 | 104.306 |
12 | 3035 | 3340.18 | 2869.38 | 470.808 | -305.183 |
13 | 2827.5 | 3026.7 | 2940.73 | 85.9698 | -199.199 |
14 | 2850 | 3076.49 | 3009.06 | 67.4281 | -226.491 |
15 | 3265 | 3213.89 | 3063.02 | 150.873 | 51.1057 |
16 | 3220 | 3094.01 | 3093.75 | 0.261454 | 125.989 |
17 | 3075 | 3012.1 | 3132.81 | -120.715 | 62.9026 |
18 | 3325 | 3082.2 | 3181.88 | -99.6734 | 242.798 |
19 | 3235 | 3106.72 | 3223.54 | -116.82 | 128.278 |
20 | 3320 | 3108.09 | 3261.35 | -153.266 | 211.912 |
21 | 3277.5 | 3126.49 | 3279.58 | -153.093 | 151.009 |
22 | 3050 | 3254.62 | 3275.62 | -21.0094 | -204.616 |
23 | 3432.5 | 3165.59 | 3276.35 | -110.764 | 266.91 |
24 | 3575 | 3745.08 | 3274.27 | 470.808 | -170.079 |
25 | 3287.5 | 3359.3 | 3273.33 | 85.9698 | -71.8031 |
26 | 3297.5 | 3365.14 | 3297.71 | 67.4281 | -67.6365 |
27 | 3255 | 3486.71 | 3335.83 | 150.873 | -231.707 |
28 | 3135 | 3397.34 | 3397.08 | 0.261454 | -262.345 |
29 | 3177.5 | 3350.33 | 3471.04 | -120.715 | -172.827 |
30 | 3172.5 | 3429.08 | 3528.75 | -99.6734 | -256.577 |
31 | 3365 | 3472.14 | 3588.96 | -116.82 | -107.139 |
32 | 3775 | 3498.4 | 3651.67 | -153.266 | 276.6 |
33 | 3737.5 | 3557.22 | 3710.31 | -153.093 | 180.28 |
34 | 4060 | 3755.03 | 3776.04 | -21.0094 | 304.968 |
35 | 4197.5 | 3741.42 | 3852.19 | -110.764 | 456.077 |
36 | 4195 | 4410.5 | 3939.69 | 470.808 | -215.495 |
37 | 4112.5 | 4101.91 | 4015.94 | 85.9698 | 10.5927 |
38 | 3977.5 | 4122.95 | 4055.52 | 67.4281 | -145.449 |
39 | 3982.5 | 4225.98 | 4075.1 | 150.873 | -243.478 |
40 | 3985 | 4075.99 | 4075.73 | 0.261454 | -90.9906 |
41 | 4155 | 3929.58 | 4050.29 | -120.715 | 225.423 |
42 | 4295 | 3934.87 | 4034.54 | -99.6734 | 360.132 |
43 | 4072.5 | 3918.66 | 4035.48 | -116.82 | 153.84 |
44 | 4017.5 | 3892 | 4045.27 | -153.266 | 125.495 |
45 | 3965 | 3908.12 | 4061.21 | -153.093 | 56.8844 |
46 | 3847.5 | 4045.2 | 4066.21 | -21.0094 | -197.699 |
47 | 3799.5 | 3950.13 | 4060.9 | -110.764 | -150.632 |
48 | 4215 | 4521.7 | 4050.9 | 470.808 | -306.704 |
49 | 4115 | 4130.51 | 4044.54 | 85.9698 | -15.5115 |
50 | 4210 | 4114.68 | 4047.25 | 67.4281 | 95.3219 |
51 | 4132.5 | 4209.27 | 4058.4 | 150.873 | -76.7693 |
52 | 3955 | 4086.57 | 4086.31 | 0.261454 | -131.574 |
53 | 4057.5 | 4002.6 | 4123.31 | -120.715 | 54.9026 |
54 | 4152.5 | 4077.93 | 4177.6 | -99.6734 | 74.5693 |
55 | 4062.5 | 4129.12 | 4245.94 | -116.82 | -66.6179 |
56 | 4092.5 | 4153.4 | 4306.67 | -153.266 | -60.9003 |
57 | 4157.5 | 4222.64 | 4375.73 | -153.093 | -65.1365 |
58 | 4325 | 4421.7 | 4442.71 | -21.0094 | -96.699 |
59 | 4210 | 4382.67 | 4493.44 | -110.764 | -172.673 |
60 | 5107.5 | 5025.18 | 4554.38 | 470.808 | 82.3173 |
61 | 4862.5 | 4710.87 | 4624.9 | 85.9698 | 151.634 |
62 | 4920 | 4751.28 | 4683.85 | 67.4281 | 168.718 |
63 | 5080 | 4897.64 | 4746.77 | 150.873 | 182.356 |
64 | 4615 | 4804.22 | 4803.96 | 0.261454 | -189.22 |
65 | 4615 | 4743.66 | 4864.38 | -120.715 | -128.66 |
66 | 5057.5 | 4859.39 | 4959.06 | -99.6734 | 198.111 |
67 | 4850 | 4937.97 | 5054.79 | -116.82 | -87.9721 |
68 | 4720 | 4994.96 | 5148.23 | -153.266 | -274.963 |
69 | 5040 | 5125.87 | 5278.96 | -153.093 | -85.8656 |
70 | 4815 | 5442.74 | 5463.75 | -21.0094 | -627.741 |
71 | 5170 | 5537.36 | 5648.12 | -110.764 | -367.361 |
72 | 6420 | 6268.83 | 5798.02 | 470.808 | 151.171 |
73 | 5847.5 | 6058.05 | 5972.08 | 85.9698 | -210.553 |
74 | 6177.5 | 6240.97 | 6173.54 | 67.4281 | -63.4698 |
75 | 6960 | 6506.71 | 6355.83 | 150.873 | 453.293 |
76 | 7170 | 6539.32 | 6539.06 | 0.261454 | 630.676 |
77 | 6485 | 6616.68 | 6737.4 | -120.715 | -131.681 |
78 | 6785 | 6864.08 | 6963.75 | -99.6734 | -79.0766 |
79 | 7300 | 7094.01 | 7210.83 | -116.82 | 205.986 |
80 | 7105 | 7279.86 | 7433.12 | -153.266 | -174.859 |
81 | 7030 | 7455.45 | 7608.54 | -153.093 | -425.449 |
82 | 7222.5 | 7720.76 | 7741.77 | -21.0094 | -498.261 |
83 | 7522.5 | 7776.01 | 7886.77 | -110.764 | -253.507 |
84 | 9500 | 8479.45 | 8008.65 | 470.808 | 1020.55 |
85 | 8697.5 | 8160.55 | 8074.58 | 85.9698 | 536.947 |
86 | 8662.5 | 8211.07 | 8143.65 | 67.4281 | 451.426 |
87 | 8685 | 8374.1 | 8223.23 | 150.873 | 310.897 |
88 | 8642.5 | 8345.26 | 8345 | 0.261454 | 297.239 |
89 | 8492.5 | 8314.39 | 8435.1 | -120.715 | 178.111 |
90 | 7702.5 | 8271.99 | 8371.67 | -99.6734 | -569.493 |
91 | 7965 | 8140.58 | 8257.4 | -116.82 | -175.576 |
92 | 8097.5 | 8005.07 | 8158.33 | -153.266 | 92.433 |
93 | 7947.5 | 7887.64 | 8040.73 | -153.093 | 59.8635 |
94 | 9227.5 | 7887.74 | 7908.75 | -21.0094 | 1339.76 |
95 | 7680 | 7669.76 | 7780.52 | -110.764 | 10.2432 |
96 | 7820 | 8172.58 | 7701.77 | 470.808 | -352.579 |
97 | 7635 | 7734.93 | 7648.96 | 85.9698 | -99.9281 |
98 | 7347.5 | 7638.47 | 7571.04 | 67.4281 | -290.97 |
99 | 7177.5 | 7641.29 | 7490.42 | 150.873 | -463.79 |
100 | 6982.5 | 7380.37 | 7380.1 | 0.261454 | -397.866 |
101 | 7075 | 7181.26 | 7301.98 | -120.715 | -106.264 |
102 | 7230 | 7218.56 | 7318.23 | -99.6734 | 11.4443 |
103 | 7170 | 7230.37 | 7347.19 | -116.82 | -60.3679 |
104 | 7022.5 | 7234.23 | 7387.5 | -153.266 | -211.734 |
105 | 7087.5 | 7300.87 | 7453.96 | -153.093 | -213.366 |
106 | 7440 | 7513.16 | 7534.17 | -21.0094 | -73.1573 |
107 | 7592.5 | 7506.22 | 7616.98 | -110.764 | 86.2848 |
108 | 8297.5 | 8221.85 | 7751.04 | 470.808 | 75.6506 |
109 | 7852.5 | 7975.03 | 7889.06 | 85.9698 | -122.532 |
110 | 8097.5 | 8039.3 | 7971.87 | 67.4281 | 58.1969 |
111 | 8022.5 | NA | NA | 150.873 | NA |
112 | 8062.5 | NA | NA | 0.261454 | NA |
113 | 7982.5 | NA | NA | -120.715 | NA |
114 | 9540 | NA | NA | -99.6734 | NA |
115 | 8172.5 | NA | NA | -116.82 | NA |
116 | 8007.5 | NA | NA | -153.266 | NA |