| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.448569230586372 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 8098.32 | 8078.53 | 19.7899999999991 |
| 4 | 9143.32 | 8280.4571850733 | 862.862814926695 |
| 5 | 9283.07 | 9712.51089406656 | -429.440894066563 |
| 6 | 9480.25 | 9659.6269226328 | -179.3769226328 |
| 7 | 9720.24 | 9776.34395446245 | -56.1039544624546 |
| 8 | 9765.41 | 9991.16744677638 | -225.757446776379 |
| 9 | 9724.25 | 9935.06960257675 | -210.819602576754 |
| 10 | 9207.97 | 9799.34241565637 | -591.372415656375 |
| 11 | 9015.39 | 9017.79094617539 | -2.40094617539035 |
| 12 | 7244.45 | 8824.13395559682 | -1579.68395559682 |
| 13 | 6243.13 | 6344.59633906512 | -101.466339065116 |
| 14 | 6218.68 | 5297.76166142026 | 920.918338579739 |
| 15 | 6251.37 | 5686.40729198986 | 564.962708010145 |
| 16 | 6088.65 | 5972.52217923196 | 116.127820768042 |
| 17 | 6265.25 | 5861.89354644355 | 403.356453556449 |
| 18 | 6146.75 | 6219.42684046741 | -72.6768404674149 |
| 19 | 5846.79 | 6068.3262460575 | -221.536246057498 |
| 20 | 4839.25 | 5668.99190261649 | -829.741902616493 |
| 21 | 4744.82 | 4289.25521577454 | 455.564784225459 |
| 22 | 4581.5 | 4399.1775605168 | 182.322439483199 |
| 23 | 4534.04 | 4317.64179691441 | 216.39820308559 |
| 24 | 4678.62 | 4367.25137237279 | 311.368627627213 |
| 25 | 4607.46 | 4651.50175809626 | -44.0417580962603 |
| 26 | 4808.33 | 4560.58598055335 | 247.74401944665 |
| 27 | 4944.31 | 4872.58632473891 | 71.7236752610916 |
| 28 | 5157.91 | 5040.7393585656 | 117.170641434396 |
| 29 | 5280.66 | 5306.89850304114 | -26.2385030411424 |
| 30 | 5405.02 | 5417.87871792024 | -12.8587179202386 |
| 31 | 5609.6 | 5536.47069271643 | 73.1293072835697 |
| 32 | 5930.32 | 5773.85424981794 | 156.465750182064 |
| 33 | 5855.98 | 6164.75997099022 | -308.779970990224 |
| 34 | 6069.38 | 5951.91077698266 | 117.469223017344 |
| 35 | 6135.39 | 6218.00385596913 | -82.6138559691253 |
| 36 | 5949.96 | 6246.95582216128 | -296.995822161282 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 37 | 5928.30263472703 | 5045.30680392831 | 6811.29846552575 |
| 38 | 5906.64526945406 | 4352.38377405762 | 7460.9067648505 |
| 39 | 5884.98790418109 | 3599.83851049023 | 8170.13729787194 |
| 40 | 5863.33053890811 | 2779.17996243774 | 8947.48111537848 |
| 41 | 5841.67317363514 | 1892.02430930099 | 9791.32203796929 |
| 42 | 5820.01580836217 | 941.604371638147 | 10698.4272450862 |
| 43 | 5798.3584430892 | -68.7760394761317 | 11665.4929256545 |
| 44 | 5776.70107781623 | -1136.08411326788 | 12689.4862689003 |
| 45 | 5755.04371254326 | -2257.61256396999 | 13767.6999890565 |
| 46 | 5733.38634727029 | -3430.95857388075 | 14897.7312684213 |
| 47 | 5711.72898199731 | -4653.9855161839 | 16077.4434801785 |
| 48 | 5690.07161672434 | -5924.78458352079 | 17304.9278169695 |
