| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1558 | -0.106 | 0.0737 | -0.5025 | -0.0319 | -0.248 | -0.3326 |
| (p-val) | (0.7294 ) | (0.7243 ) | (0.7251 ) | (0.2446 ) | (0.9556 ) | (0.2983 ) | (0.5906 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1549 | -0.1039 | 0.0747 | -0.5035 | 0 | -0.2369 | -0.3663 |
| (p-val) | (0.7315 ) | (0.729 ) | (0.7212 ) | (0.2447 ) | (NA ) | (0.0848 ) | (0.0053 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.0078 | 0.14 | -0.6441 | 0 | -0.237 | -0.3638 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.9533 ) | (0.2545 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.087 ) | (0.0057 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1421 | -0.6471 | 0 | -0.2357 | -0.362 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.2255 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0841 ) | (0.0047 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6225 | 0 | -0.2652 | -0.3831 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0487 ) | (0.003 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -12.3623396614095 |
| -0.0293040752367858 |
| -42.6848742112531 |
| -27.8676241599963 |
| -63.4861363488505 |
| -34.4976399299591 |
| 23.4819970589727 |
| -115.365588150562 |
| -166.225637927605 |
| 115.259402749741 |
| -43.130367881288 |
| 74.9435310848619 |
| -69.8539756293883 |
| 21.484215388263 |
| -57.0216768351723 |
| 210.648612912124 |
| 118.032800379476 |
| 37.527531797114 |
| -44.7005634195582 |
| 32.44631962837 |
| 51.393174346073 |
| 49.5024589403065 |
| 130.894451140108 |
| 101.754253414899 |
| -2.1364636888707 |
| 49.0672656158292 |
| 145.045412023812 |
| 34.0804913772712 |
| -52.5017455058413 |
| 32.6612420702387 |
| -19.060688854051 |
| 31.7519320965156 |
| -6.58609608046869 |
| 15.0947566013581 |
| 155.312321083283 |
| 83.9388971005339 |
| -294.50819471867 |
| -25.8880057507652 |
| -33.6481076863718 |
| -38.5081501192988 |
| -124.60512671964 |
| -59.7072184025558 |
| -59.0194511288679 |
| -141.554792834723 |
| 111.914963059605 |
| 69.2079027252232 |
| 0.570865702022658 |
| -35.6585871092528 |
| -8.68638074618922 |
| 81.6912147653401 |
| -17.9096319225856 |
| 27.3462927256038 |
| -231.788781270102 |
| 40.3113485001227 |
| -52.2501245442782 |
| 70.6789742461478 |
| 94.6663262007896 |
| 7.09792014660528 |
| 8.07831240776879 |
| -169.573202035308 |
| -116.473669167648 |
| -63.4227138026701 |
| 44.5479511900308 |
| 22.2924125494176 |
| 164.412453375427 |
| 162.736667749087 |
| -119.694087205881 |
| -8.84671443476587 |
| 59.1280067436098 |
| 97.0811482597169 |
| 219.536201807775 |
| -177.904295036828 |
| 110.682416343917 |
| 152.54484370472 |
| -8.34524813621979 |
| -67.6435056169557 |
| 249.168357998487 |
| -158.338438791958 |
| 8.05672618102222 |
| -132.315981741757 |
| -10.319678864245 |
| 126.079002069327 |
| -43.7126885587174 |
| -29.4743206391005 |
| 104.811549748857 |
| -136.24135351223 |
| -219.640580964577 |
| -23.4443120095567 |
| -112.987576458727 |
| 172.057146906368 |
