| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0161 | 0.34 | 0.5105 | 0.3417 | -0.1783 | -0.2964 | -0.5275 |
| (p-val) | (0.9152 ) | (0.0026 ) | (0 ) | (0.0307 ) | (0.3997 ) | (0.0326 ) | (0.0154 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.346 | 0.5157 | 0.3551 | -0.1821 | -0.2982 | -0.5238 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (5e-04 ) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.3818 ) | (0.0301 ) | (0.0149 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.3839 | 0.4729 | 0.38 | 0 | -0.2285 | -0.6714 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0529 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.351 | 0.4885 | 0.3578 | 0 | 0 | -1.3207 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 4.68994266950877 |
| 404.219944528865 |
| 311.846683193867 |
| 81.305654208977 |
| -239.783116504484 |
| -365.690551325534 |
| 14.1070908628847 |
| -21.3753751526442 |
| 271.182149024718 |
| -248.806905773901 |
| 344.138818460068 |
| -202.878412037689 |
| -463.029506903377 |
| 31.7291973230469 |
| 141.400331337363 |
| -93.480693991384 |
| 316.101457976834 |
| 37.4348627226207 |
| 27.2000312800344 |
| 165.606607793108 |
| 293.214129901625 |
| 186.481942222666 |
| -27.4334736532448 |
| -162.302775551608 |
| -146.469078264525 |
| 355.92400218561 |
| 178.978782796676 |
| 22.5834167145821 |
| 295.765285873853 |
| 56.5059807202772 |
| -356.757890526054 |
| -315.440864661809 |
| -97.3890455293967 |
| 248.216165414042 |
| 104.332775092413 |
| -113.587804149818 |
| 1.76541127065008 |
| 69.5022147057894 |
| 114.777605508453 |
| 57.8358645231717 |
| 87.5624228418172 |
| -242.473975947016 |
| 923.433231104919 |
| 332.985687195857 |
| 23.7776240795599 |
| -51.7017906359784 |
| -56.6641171445678 |
| 26.8452120077226 |
| 492.317845577131 |
| -469.43739163203 |
| -30.8220363533332 |
| -19.626856709838 |
| 107.129591921221 |
| -126.901193192856 |
| 172.22528499679 |
| -140.884555084577 |
| 400.222822406647 |
| 185.804646857916 |
| -149.671333257134 |
| 9.93958452357161 |
| -382.307664962152 |
| 276.506620329727 |
| 42.2022651557897 |
| 388.268780196832 |
| -286.939088691271 |
| -40.8355656099545 |
| 186.417416122871 |
| 61.25758289046 |
| 259.266634839224 |
| -115.002971369755 |
| -42.7070407653684 |
| -274.943926049601 |
| -252.3368531856 |
| 90.2315639269535 |
| -27.2418560283387 |
| -83.3854242349839 |
| -74.7613172382117 |
| 237.591671953156 |
| 66.6730624931696 |
| -31.8418284927209 |
| 314.29492058836 |
| -160.104723545138 |
| 36.1409021896849 |
| -131.329161371886 |
| -284.294854475612 |
| -85.3767663279225 |
| -161.575591696811 |
| -328.216576566178 |
| 198.624664067341 |
| 120.276341488968 |
| -24.4070168060616 |
| 366.493216346581 |
| 121.723736189924 |
| -67.3221270365277 |
| -24.5583965270945 |
| 139.919771173509 |
| -168.909918678331 |
| 436.652332333136 |
| 133.894063790746 |
| 173.805137213911 |
| -104.093359395382 |
| -68.9408885910045 |
| -106.992758387717 |
| 195.819261063415 |
