| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.4057 | -0.2841 | -0.1464 | -0.2908 | 0.0262 | 0.0686 | -0.8591 |
| (p-val) | (0.2361 ) | (0.2322 ) | (0.3672 ) | (0.3955 ) | (0.9046 ) | (0.7252 ) | (0.0041 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4139 | -0.2868 | -0.1496 | -0.2807 | 0 | 0.0572 | -0.8316 |
| (p-val) | (0.2329 ) | (0.2335 ) | (0.3562 ) | (0.4176 ) | (NA ) | (0.7333 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.4212 | -0.294 | -0.1427 | -0.2776 | 0 | 0 | -0.8179 |
| (p-val) | (0.2293 ) | (0.2272 ) | (0.3862 ) | (0.4277 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.6824 | -0.4563 | -0.2272 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.202 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0237 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -19.13577055795 |
| -3.65957555794956 |
| -10.9227073536597 |
| -8.15924473741152 |
| -35.4355157612088 |
| 2.88582801606673 |
| -260.927618339162 |
| 346.929317139206 |
| -66.1009507474112 |
| -92.7362950528768 |
| -161.49561091688 |
| -63.9781224207688 |
| -24.3809020990444 |
| -3.54954066338427 |
| -243.561396047807 |
| 51.1907933467011 |
| 6.83981151920024 |
| 24.7252594492629 |
| 155.372870939547 |
| 130.511703703625 |
| -100.943140812302 |
| -55.0344049913344 |
| 2.52972574479108 |
| -55.9825886127076 |
| 21.0067608444904 |
| 3.95487657933501 |
| 67.3868823416131 |
| -73.1572354388292 |
| -28.3945610837207 |
| -28.3239351756759 |
| 74.0789033987178 |
| 86.9165166762305 |
| -87.7985234288072 |
| -33.5432347361958 |
| -4.53710861704261 |
| -32.5245351483796 |
| -12.5368709066764 |
| -18.7873297688586 |
| 54.0347235797212 |
| -87.3060020039313 |
| 18.3004682558417 |
| -10.7357908621778 |
| 67.3794189793215 |
| 75.6917496377728 |
| -62.1865490159402 |
| -36.9502072305854 |
| -35.0351573179554 |
| -56.4809598022167 |
| -50.7833143314714 |
| -41.6308163865338 |
| -8.42155602300948 |
| -36.6545466637151 |
| -49.6370550018465 |
| -72.0109891860645 |
| 13.403948190608 |
| 38.8538408621974 |
| -47.1472000031582 |
| -44.7806280986517 |
| -31.4300900215126 |
| -72.9386130601415 |
| -67.218761756474 |
| -80.9548387508373 |
| -25.0940035293449 |
| -51.810011917289 |
| -27.412675193777 |
| -31.2354647018235 |
| 24.5283206005658 |
| 40.9127659729146 |
| -18.6329493378787 |
| 16.8379444376597 |
| 26.2004919030688 |
| 17.3633925238705 |
| -271.356010974634 |
| 145.315488567642 |
| 176.657439081746 |
| 138.892610958301 |
| 142.663504324242 |
| 30.6007702300798 |
| 74.0149690543682 |
| 83.3341421888942 |
| -37.4327547672294 |
| 72.8908623475173 |
| 88.2000185360396 |
| 80.3248648107666 |
| 160.701029348473 |
| 59.0018279946765 |
| 66.6533679735123 |
| 45.7316446492171 |
| 30.2257096518777 |
| 42.3161982700176 |
| 37.0533366209149 |
| 32.7280809715352 |
| -28.5534226579017 |
| -543.800052305453 |
| 251.482860788851 |
| 188.924723201765 |
| 252.027293722674 |
| 171.222313946863 |
| 11.071858113347 |
| 76.7844048597868 |
| -43.9238200923376 |
| 84.5127933972057 |
| 104.716040141504 |
| -20.1071213109123 |
| -7.44909910837694 |
| 192.221330457901 |
| 36.6458826253384 |
| -303.059912965148 |
| 174.901220393918 |
