Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[47])
438650-------
449050-------
457200-------
468600-------
477500-------
4882008055.27245611.726712788.48290.47610.59090.34020.5909
49100507852.35855274.886213256.05240.21270.44980.59350.5508
5099008014.25485001.417515505.13190.31090.29710.43910.5535
5195008004.87994787.063616901.38280.37090.33820.54430.5443


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
480.29980.01760.01760.017820946.0847000.18090.1809
490.35110.21870.11820.13174829628.08672425287.08571557.33332.74711.464
500.47690.19050.14230.1583556034.86162802203.0111673.97822.35721.7617
510.5670.15740.1460.16122235384.12762660498.29021631.10341.86891.7885